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Hey gang! It’s that time again. I want to start off and just put it out there that any feedback on what you’d like to see in these would be great. If enough people want it, I can average the predictions for each game. For next season, I’ll also be running a success total to see over the long term which models perform best against the house odds.

And again, I’d love to go beyond the Premier League but the vast majority of non-betting odds models deal with the Big Show, so until that changes here we are.

On another note, Counter Attack is pleased to note we’ve been nominated for several end of year awards by EPL Talk. If you like the site, you can vote for it here. If you like me (haha), you can vote here. And if you like the Counter Attack podcast, you can vote for it here.

Notes

Pretty straightforward week. Some notable exceptions. Fulham vs Liverpool has a bit of a tossup flavour, and a bet on the home side could turn out nicely. Ditto for QPR vs Newcastle. Sunderland vs Southampton shows the most difference from the betting models and the lines, so that might be one to risk on as well.

Aston Villa vs Chelsea

Source Home Win Draw Away Win
Odds Checker Aggregate 22 26 54
Euro Club Index 23 30 48
Pena.lt/y 21 32 47
Decision Technology 24 22 54
The Football Forecast 15 28 57
Bloomberg 21 23 57

Stoke vs Tottenham

Source Home Win Draw Away Win
Odds Checker Aggregate 22 28 52
Euro Club Index 27 31 42
Pena.lt/y 24 32 44
Decision Technology 21 28 51
The Football Forecast 22 30 47
Bloomberg 28 29 43

Everton vs West Ham

Source Home Win Draw Away Win
Odds Checker Aggregate 65 22 13
Euro Club Index 66 13 11
Pena.lt/y 67 20 12
Decision Technology 61 22 17
The Football Forecast 63 23 14
Bloomberg 55 25 20

Fulham vs Liverpool

Source Home Win Draw Away Win
Odds Checker Aggregate 26 22 48
Euro Club Index 34 32 34
Pena.lt/y 31 33 36
Decision Technology 25 23 52
The Football Forecast 23 30 46
Bloomberg 23 24 53

Norwich vs West Brom

Source Home Win Draw Away Win
Odds Checker Aggregate 44 29 28
Euro Club Index 41 31 28
Pena.lt/y 37 32 31
Decision Technology 38 26 36
The Football Forecast 32 30 38
Bloomberg 38 26 36

QPR vs Newcastle

Source Home Win Draw Away Win
Odds Checker Aggregate 29 29 42
Euro Club Index 30 31 39
Pena.lt/y 32 32 35
Decision Technology 35 25 40
The Football Forecast 39 29 31
Bloomberg 36 27 37

Sunderland vs Southampton

Source Home Win Draw Away Win
Odds Checker Aggregate 36 30 34
Euro Club Index 51 29 20
Pena.lt/y 49 29 22
Decision Technology 35 28 37
The Football Forecast 43 29 28
Bloomberg 36 29 35

Man United vs Swansea City

Source Home Win Draw Away Win
Odds Checker Aggregate 75 18 8
Euro Club Index 81 15 5
Pena.lt/y 76 15 9
Decision Technology 68 19 13
The Football Forecast 78 16 6
Bloomberg 65 20 16

Arsenal vs Wigan

Source Home Win Draw Away Win
Odds Checker Aggregate 75 18 9
Euro Club Index 74 19 7
Pena.lt/y 71 18 11
Decision Technology 74 16 11
The Football Forecast 79 15 5
Bloomberg 64 21 16

Reading vs Man City

Source Home Win Draw Away Win
Odds Checker Aggregate 13 22 67
Euro Club Index 13 24 63
Pena.lt/y 8 28 64
Decision Technology 15 20 65
The Football Forecast 11 26 63
Bloomberg 15 21 65