Top Dog: JP Arencibia, 14.3%
The Worst: Henderson Alvarez, -23.1%
Top Arm: Luis Perez, 4.3%
Worst Bat: Jose Bautista, -16.4%
Impact AB: JP Arencibia 2-Run HR, Bot 3, 8.9%
Impact Pitch: Billy Butler Bases Loaded E5, Top 3, 10.2%
Highest Leverage AB: JP Arencibia 5-3 Groundout, Bot 8, 2.09
Highest Leverage Opp. AB: A. Escobar RBI Single, Top 3, 2.69
Lineup Contribution: -16.7%
Pitching Contribution: -33.3%
Average Leverage Index: 0.81
Chart explanation
Well that sucked, didn’t it? Like, a lot?
Other than Colby, JP, and Yunel it was a pretty rough outing all around.
Leave your thoughts on the game in the comments.
(WPA data courtesy Baseball Reference)
(Idea for a post game graph courtesy Lookout Landing)





I would have taken the pic of Alvarez coming off the mound where just after breaking his glasses for a second it looked like he was about to cry…
heartless bastard, you don’t do that kind of shit
Hard to be critical of Bautista, but he’s had big K’s the last two nights, once with the bases loaded and last night with 2 on in a 3-run game. Would love to see him have a crazy, Hamilton-like 7 RBI game one of these days. If RBI’s matter. I forget what I’m allowed to like sometimes….
RBIs matter in that you’re driving in runs and helping to win a game. Where they don’t matter is when you’re trying to actually evaluate or value the player as an individual.
Scoring runs still matters
He was swinging for the fence, when all he had to do was get it by the infield…
I had a feeling I’d be enjoying these graphs far less when they trended towards 0.
They’re a lot less fun to make as well.
I was curious to see who had the biggest fail index, Alvarez or Cordero. Question answered!
Coco came in with a 14% chance to win took credit for -12%. Still quite an accomplishment.
From now on, a negative slope in these graphs is known as a Cordero Phase.
Verified through empirical data, this limit is thought to be nearing formal proof:
http://i.imgur.com/tMBTX.png
Hahahaha +1.
Excellent.
We really need the “like” button back on here!
Ha Ha! Well done.
Ok, that was awesome.
Definitely super nerdy, but fantastic at the same time.
He was totally demoralized after that missed strike 3 call. I guess that’s the biggest diff between a vet and a rookie. I’m thinking someone like Roy Halliday would not let it affect him like that. He would just stare down an ump likes he’s an f’ing retard for missing such an obvious call.
Someone at the Score needs to post the pitch f/x graph for the strike zone of the entire night. It seemed like the home plate ump was calling pitches based on a coin flip he was doing instead of paying attention to the pitch. Some of the worst balls and strikes in a long time.
http://www.brooksbaseball.net/pfxVB/zoneplotNonNorm.php?
I believe this is what you were going after:
http://www.brooksbaseball.net/pfxVB/zoneTrack.php?month=7&day=5&year=2012&game=gid_2012_07_05_kcamlb_tormlb_1%2F&prevDate=75
Yeah, so a couple high strikes were not called in Toronto’s favor, but they got a couple of calls in their favor on the left side (in LHB and RHB situations. I’d say it evened out, except that the non-strike for Alvarez came in a particular high-leverage moment.
I’m starting to think I’m bad luck…
Break me out foo! I gotz game!
Damn I love this addition to DJF! Lets make sure it stays.
Archi Zuber – how does it feel to contribute to the site and not be listed under the “contributors” heading? You’ll note by my username than I am rather vainglorious, and I would threaten the editor with the “Strike” word.
I get to stare right into Stoeten’s beautiful beard every day here at the office. It soothes any sting.
thats his pubic hair, blind guy