Oh, hello. Anything interesting happen today?
Ho ho ho. Yes, yes, the Encarnacion deal– which I totally heard about, only… like, three minutes after Parkes had already taken the reins on that post. But it certainly wasn’t the only interesting thing to take place around here today (not that you’d know it based on my level of activity), because Keith Law published his mid-season top 50 prospects list at ESPN.com (Insider Only), and followed it up with a related chat with his readers, both of which were rich with Jays content.
First and foremost, there’s the list itself, which not only– as the title of this post kinda gives away– features Aaron Sanchez listed as highly as we’ve likely ever seen him, but also has Travis d’Arnaud way up in fifth, and Jake Marisnick rounding out the club’s contingent in the 32nd spot.
d’Arnaud’s qualities we know about, though Law gives word to our deepest fears about him, suggesting that his latest injury in a long string may indicate “it’s possible, even likely, he is always going to be an injury-prone player, one who is great when he plays but won’t average 140 games a year the way you’d want.”
But Sanchez is the big one for me, as he’s way up at 25 from being 96th pre-season. To contrast, he made his first appearance in John Sickels’ top 120 list at Minor League Ball earlier in the month, coming in at 49.
Granted, Jim Callis of Baseball America recently ranked the arms in the Jays’ system and placed Sanchez– who “misses bats with mid-90s fastball and curve, just needs command”– at the top, so Law isn’t the only one becoming more and more enamoured of the Lansing righty, but the big jump, I think, is telling.
“He has an electric arm that is loose and easy with life on the fastball and an out-pitch slider,” Law writes. Later in the chat he adds that, long term, he sees him as “a very good #2, a top 30 starter in the majors but not a top 15 guy.”
Um… I’ll take that.
Marisnick “is still a five-tool guy,” he says, “but he did nearly all of his damage in the Florida State League against lefties, so it’s a little surprising to see him moved up to Double-A.” Still, his 32nd ranking– up from 47th– indicates that the bloom is far from off the rose.
Nuggets from the chat…
Do you see Alex Anthopoulos trading away prospects for 2012 rental players? Which prospects do you think are most likely to be moved?
No. I could see them trading a prospect or two for a longer-term asset, though.
Thoughts on the Encarnacion extension? I like it for Toronto.
I do too. Modest enough that it’s not a disaster if he regresses, but offers substantial upside for the club.
What do you think of Anthony Gose? Is he coming up this year?Thanks
I don’t believe his approach has improved as much as the raw Las Vegas/PCL stat line says it has. I think he’s a plus defender in center who can run, throw, and has a little more pop than you’d expect, but he might be a low OBP guy with a lower ceiling as a result. Very good player, definitely a top 75 prospect.
Whats your future projecteed of Aaron Sanchez, a number 1? More of a Ricky Romero like pitcher? I’m just curious because Toronto doesnt seem to have many future aces in the minors.
Maybe more of a very good #2, a top 30 starter in the majors but not a top 15 guy. More likely than Syndergaard (still lacks an avg breaking ball) or Nicolino (command guy, very good but no out pitch).
Marcus Stroman is alleged to be the closer to MLB than any other draftee this yr. Given the nightmares the Jays have had in the ‘pen the past 2 years, would you try and move him through the system rather quickly as a reliver? Or, would a sounder strategy allow for his development as a starter?
I’d be fine using him as a reliever this year and revisiting the decision in the offseason. There’s no reason to start him now after a full spring of starting at Duke.
David (Yucaipa, CA)
Within the past 10 years, who is the player that you absolutely knew was a can’t miss guy the first time you saw him?