Visual approximation of Jason Parks
Last week Jason Parks had himself a monster, eight hour chat over at Baseball Prospectus, and– as is likely to happen when someone is talking about baseball for that long– the Jays came up several times, and I’m here to scoop up all those delicious mentions for you! Or at least most of them.
I say only “most” because, damn it, I haven’t pulled out these specific quotes just so you don’t have to go and read the whole, massive, awesome, bloody thing for yourselves. In fact, I’ll let you know that missing from my compilation is: a spitballed 2014 top ten including Aaron Sanchez; analysis of Wulimer Becerra, the far away prospect also sent to the Mets in the Dickey deal; a second mention of former Dodgers GM (and BP writer!) and current Jays scout, Dan Evans; an additional Travis Snider comment; something positive about Miles Jaye, who the Jays dealt to Chicago last winter to regain Jason Frasor; a comparison of Sean Nolin and Mike Foltynewicsz; plus probably some other Jays stuff that I missed, and a whole lot more outstandingness from around the league.
So go check it out, and stop making me feel guilty about “borrowing” content already.
Zack Mortimer spoke very highly on Lansing catcher Santiago Nessy. He mentioned that he had ++leadership. What is your thoughts on him? Does he #shimmer?
He has the kind of qualities you want to see in a field general, and I’m very high on that. Big questions about the bat, but it takes time to develop on both fronts, so its too early to say he won’t hit.
Can Alberto Tirado be a top 101 prospect next year?
Yes. I think he will. He needs to clean up the delivery, but the stuff already belongs in the 101 discussion.
froston (Peterborough, ON):
Hey Parks, who are some of your favourite non-top 101 potential risers? (Guys who weren’t on the 101 but very well could be, and maybe highly rated, by midseason)
Miguel Almonte, Alberto Tirado, Matt Wisler, Andrew Heaney, Rafael DePaula, Joey Gallo, Owens, Snell, Seager
Thoughts on Adonys Cardona? Seems like he’s been written off after a rough first year.
There were some in the industry that weren’t high on Cardona to begin with. Not that its accurate, but some labeled him a “flag in the ground” sort of signing, the kind that will open up a particular market to a team for several years. I don’t agree with that assessment, but I didn’t think he was the top arm to ever come out of Venezuela either. He’s still very young and he has bat missing potential with the arsenal. It might take a few years, but I think he develops into a legit prospect.
Sweet Lou (Pittsburgh):
Hi Jason, Is it too early for calls of “free Travis Snider,” or is there nothing left to free there? Just seems strange that he has already been “out-platooned” vs righties by the RH Gaby Sanchez
It would be like freeing a domesticated house cat. It’s not likely to hurt anybody in the wild, and eventually it will just wander back home to sleep at your feet and shit in a box.
froston (Peterborough, ON):
Parks, you’re higher on the Blue Jays system than most prospectors. What guys in the system are underrated, and who are some guys that have a decent shot at rising into the 2014 top 101?
I’ve mentioned Tirado; he’s on the rise. You can’t discount developmental steps forward from prospects like Davis, Smoral, and Norris. The system has a lot of depth and that depth has impact potential.
Do you think Marcus Stroman sticks as a starter or ends up in relief?
I think he ends up in relief.
What does Sanchez have to accomplish this season to get to your #5 top prospect crystal ball projection? Cut down on the BBs? Think it would be wise to get him up to AA by August if he dominates early?
If the command takes a step forward, he’s a monster.
Stroman fall into your “good underdog prospect because of size” category?
He was a first-round pick and he has a plus-plus arm, so its hard to be much of an underdog. He might be an underdog starting prospect, as I believe him to be a reliever long-term.
Does Matt Smoral have top of the rotation potential? Doyou expect him to make lo-A this year or strictly an extended spring to rookie ball path?
No. But not many do. It’s very early, but I think a 2/3 ceiling is more realistic. I think it depends on how he looks in ext ST. I assume they will set the developmental schedule based on how he looks.
Note: These next three comments from Mike in Utica should really be taken as a single poem of bad information.
Mike (Utica, NY):
I heard a lot of bad things on D.J. Davis, is his ceiling in the Brinson range?
Bad things? Haven’t we determined through the years that your sources on players are usually bad?
Mike (Utica, NY):
Mortimer was the one that was tweeting that he swinging and missing on 60% of his swings.
That’s not really something I would consider “bad.” It’s spring training and he’s young. You could just say that you heard he has some swing and miss in his game, which he does, much like half of the prospects in the minors.
Mike (Utica, NY):
Has anyone verified D.J. Davis’s age as well, MLB.com has him at 6/27/93 and others 7/25/94, that’s a significant gap.
MilB.com has Davis listed as 07/25/94, as does every other source I checked.
David (San Francisco, CA):
At LA event last year I enjoyed speaking with Dan Evans the most. I don’t know why, but I always envisioned GM’s (current and former) as corporate, shark-like, business-suit guys. Evans was incredibly nice.
Evans is one of the nicest people in the industry, while also being one of the most respected and knowledgable around. I probably learned more about scouting in three days at Dan Evans’ side than I had the previous three years of watching games. It’s remarkable how much he knows and how much he ias able to absorb in a limited viewing.
Note: As mentioned above, Evans is a former BP writer, Dodgers GM, and was hired by the Jays back in February.
Sleeper prospect in Jays org?
Tirado and Nessy
Can you name the pitchers with a real chance at being a 1P, and who are outside of the BP top 20 at the current moment?
Aaron Sanchez, Archie Bradley, Lucas Giolito
Also, why is it the Jays have some great young pitching prospects, but can’t seem to develop/draft hitters? More emphasis on drafting quality pitching?
The Jays seem to grab talent when talent is available, be it a pitcher or a position player. In recent years, I think more arms have fallen in their lap than positional talent. I don’t think its about not being able to draft or develop bats as much as they’ve been highly successful in the procurement of quality arms.
Highest ceiling for a Jays postion player?
DJ Davis; could be a first-division player
Colby Rasmus (Toronto):
You’re not giving me any more chances are you…?
I’d give you more chances