April 14th v Royals

Batter pLI WPA
Bonifacio – CF / RF 1.62 -0.101
Cabrera – LF 1.50 -0.005
Bautista – 3B 1.68 -0.121
Encarnacion – DH 1.34 0.189
Arencibia – C 1.55 -0.160
Lind – 1B 1.03 -0.051 Pitcher pLI WPA
Davis – RF 1.50 0.013 Morrow – SP 1.25 0.053
Rasmus – CF / PH 1.79 -0.044 Cecil – RP 2.11 0.014
Izturis – 2B 1.29 -0.166 Delabar – RP 2.55 0.179
Kawasaki – SS 1.18 0.064 Oliver – RP 2.40 -0.364
Total 1.42 -0.383 Total 1.63 -0.117

Bests / Worsts of the game after the jump!

Shamsky: Edwin Encarnacion, 18.9%
Griffin: Darren Oliver, -36.4%
Impact At-Bat: Encarnacion Solo HR, Top 6, 17.3%
Impact Pitch: Alex Gordon Walk-Off RBI Single (duh), Bot 9, 30.3%
Highest Leverage AB: J.P. Arencibia Strikeout, Top 8, 3.52
Highest Leverage Opp. AB: Lorenzo Cain Strikeout, Bot 8, 3.61
Lineup Contribution: -38.3%
Pitching Contribution: -11.7%
Average Leverage Index: 1.53
Chart explanation

- Brandon Morrow’s line: 6.0ip, 6h, 2er, 1bb, 3k, 2.49FIP.

- Sorry I missed Friday and Saturday’s post-gamers, I was drinking myself into a coma over the Reyes injury unavailable.

- Steve Delabar (4 outs, 1 hit, 1 walk, 0 er) earns a shutdown, Darren Oliver (1 out, 2 hits, 1 earned run) earns a meltdown. Brett Cecil’s strikeout statistics remain ridiculous.

- Edwin Encarnacion carried the offensive load with a long ball, 2 runs driven in and a walk in four plate appearances.

- Munenori Kawasaki went 1-for-3 with a walk and a stolen base. The Jays lead the league in steals and have not yet been caught stealing.

- Bonifacio started in CF and moved to right after Rasmus pinch-hit for Rajai. The early impression he made in the infield is going to have people holding their breath all year when the ball comes anywhere near him.

- Two more hits from Melky Cabrera.

- I guess this feels a little better than having the starter get shelled?

- The Jays are back in the what is sure to be a slightly less lively Rogers Centre for a set against the White Sox, who no longer have A.J. Pierzynski but remain pretty annoying to look at and hear about.

- This evening’s projected match-up is Buehrle (5.99FIP, -0.1fWAR) v Gavin Floyd (3.08FIP, 0.3fWAR).

{All numbers via Fangraphs}

Comments (49)

  1. “- J.P. Arencibia’s hot start continues. His base clearing double was the piece of timely hitting that was sorely missing in previous games.”

    Ooh I must have forgotten about that

  2. Forget who it was, but someone on the Fan this weekend said the Jays’ stolen base totals have been rather disappointing so far. I’m certainly not upset with the 11-0 they’re rocking right now.

    • there’s only one SB result that i’ve been upset about so far…

    • McCown said it Friday afternoon in a rant about how they weren’t doing “anything” right or well. Brunt quickly corrected him and McCown retracted that portion of his rant.

      • I thought I heard it Saturday. About how they only had 10 or whatever, but that wasn’t a bad number considering their team OBP was so low.

        • I think it was WIlner and Hayhurst on the Sunday broadast

          • Hope they can explain how averaging a SB a game is just “okay” rather than great. 11 SB puts us among the league leaders, and the only genuinely weak catcher we’ve faced so far was 2 games against Salty with BOS.

      • you know, when it comes to storytime, McCown is awesome… but that’s just the thing. The man is stuck in the “glory” days of the 70s and 80s when apparently everything was made of gold.

    • Not that 10 steals without any caught stealings is bad, but I’d have liked to see a little double steal action yesterday when we had Davis/Kawasaki/Boni on base in 2 separate times at 1st/2nd with 0 or 1 out. instead we leave them on base, pop-out, hit in DP.

      When the bats aren’t really connecting, it would be nice to force the other guys D to make the plays.

    • Can’t win with fucking fairweather fans..

      It’s funny how, under Farrell, the Jays were running into outs and everybody was hating the over-aggressive running game..

      And now, under Gibby, the Jays have actually been pretty smart running the bases so far and people are saying it’s not aggressive enough.

      Maybe people need to fucking understand you can’t steal if you can’t get on base, and save for one player, they weren’t great at doing it for the first 9 games.

      Jays talk callers are fucking infuriating.

  3. Tough loss, but these happen. I’d like to see Melky in RF for the time being.

    Anybody else catch RA Dickey on 60 Minutes? I thought it was a fascinating, well done piece.

    • I completely forgot RA was supposed to be on 60 Minutes but I noticed it in the guide only about mid-segment, so I tuned into it later on on a west coast CBS feed. Well done piece.

  4. Let the debate continue….Lawrie at second base? JBats stays at third? Or just stay the course til Lawrie comes back and put back him in third? Play Gose in right? Trade someone?

    Are three expresso coffees too much by 0930? D’ya think? Waddayasay?

    • I say go with Bautrista @ 3B and Lawrie @ 2B until it proves to be a shit show. It gives us the best chance to win, considering that the alternatives are Izturis/Bonafacio or Kawasaki/Izturis as the SS/2B combo. If Lawrie and Bautista can give us league average defence that’s enough b/c they’d give us plus plus offence at those positions. Move Melky to right b/c of his arm. Then Bonafacio/Davis cover left. The question of who leads off remains. No need to rush Gose just yet (IMO) Obviously, a trade for a SS could be the ticket — but what’s out there and who do you give up? Is any team going to trade a starting caliber SS at this stage in the season? It may be that AA can’t find anyone who is much of an improvement over Izturis.

      • To get a serviceable day-to-day shortstop, you’re giving up valuable pieces (especially when other teams KNOW you’re in a pickle)….or you’re picking a guy off someone else’s scrapheap.
        And what do you do with the guy when Reyes comes back?

        Maybe just shortstop by committee til the All-Star break.

    • Zubes Pubes, who would have thought that we’d be debating such things back in February. Team seemed set.

      I’d prefer Lawrie stay at two-bag but since it probably won’t happen I’ve chosen to once again trust in AA.

      Lawries definitly proved he’s athletic enough to handle it, I hope his hands and foot work can keep up with his torso. If he does show he can adequately handle the keystone defensively he instantly becomes one of the top 5-7 second basemen in baseball.
      Second basemen with .280 20/20 potential are pretty rare. Plus the shit load of doubles he’ll produce. He had upside at third but he was never going to produce the big counting stats like a traditional corner guy. I’ll miss the way he could cut off a ball going down the line, the way he can charge a slow hopper, his arm is great too but so is Bautista’s.

  5. I always thought it was ok to sacrafice a little offence for up the middle defence. It’s certainly good to see the last 3 starts from our starters. Who can tell me something about J Johnson? Is he relying on power, location or movement?

  6. not a bad road trip all things considered. Lost a great player for a while, but the SP is showing signs of life. Bats still hit or miss. Once this team gets rolling may be hard to stop them.

  7. Of all our starters I’m only really concerned about Buerhle. How can a guy who throws 80-85 not get shelled on a regular basis (especially with our current defense)? Yikes.

    • Changing speeds and command of pitch location. That’s how.

      He never had wicked stuff.. just amazing control.

  8. Can we flip these charts? A line going up should = a win, no?

    • they are from Fangraphs I believe. I think home team is on top…?

      • You got it.

        Last season I made the graphs from scratch but man, it’s a long tedius process to end up with the exact same thing I get from two clicks. The trade off this season is that I get to make game notes. I’d flip the downloaded chart, but then all the text would upside down as well.

        If anyone has a quick and non-sarcastic fix that would save me time I’m all ears, otherwise we’re stuck with upside-down charts when the Jays are on the road.

  9. Not to pile on Bonifacio, but did anybody else notice that both runs KC scored yesterday to tie and win the game, were on plays where a clean throw probably could have got the runner at plate?

    Both hits were singles to Bonifacio (6th inning to CF, 9th inning to RF) and both throws were 2 hoppers way off target. Billy Fatass Butler should not fucking score from 2nd on a base hit.

    • I totally noticed this and thought it was the difference in the game. That and early in the game when the Jays had 1st and 3rd with 1 out and Bautista hit into a DP. Royals had the same situation in the bottom of the inning and hit the sac fly to tie the game. Just a really bad lack of execution from the Jays yesterday.

      Also unhappy that the Jays allowed Shields to go 9 innings and Santana 8. I hope this was the strategy to avoid the solid KC bullpen, but if it was not, it is concerning.

      • “the Jays allowed Shields to go 9 innings and Santana 8. I hope this was the strategy to avoid the solid KC bullpen, but if it was not, it is concerning.”

        > lol come on, this makes no sense.

    • meh. Billy Butler has that Gerald Laird vibe going on. Fat, but for some goddamn reason, are faster than they appear.

      • No he’s not fast at all. It was an out they should have got.

        Just like Prince Fielder beating out TWO fucking infield hits last week – subpar throws to first each time.

  10. Hey, the team won a series, on the road. All the starters perfomed reasonably well, and the bullpen was excellent.

    And it’s a beautiful day!

  11. just gotta get the bats going now. too many holes with Reyes and Lawrie out….

  12. fuckin Rios coming to town today, that fuckin bum

  13. Not too upset about this result. Morrow was solid, and we hit a lot of balls hard that would have been doubles/HRs at the dome… If EE’s bomb had landed fair we wouldn’t even be speculating about Billy Butler beating a throw home or whatever.

  14. God I hate to play the “what if” game but had Bautista been in RF on that final Alex Gordon hit, I doubt that the third base coach would have sent the runner. Bonafacio’s throw wasn’t terrible but it was way off the mark.

    • Enter The Brett Lawrie Effect.

      He’s the Blue Jays MVP so far this season, and he hasn’t even played a game yet.

  15. I say if Kawasaki can get on base 2/4 every game keep him till reyes comes back. Thats really nothing to sneeze at.

    • I’ll take an on base percentage of .275 thank you very much.

    • If kawasaki had the ability to consistently get on base 2/4 times per game he would be making a lot of money and would not be a backup

  16. No Jose tonight

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