May29th v Braves

Batter pLI WPA
Cabrera – LF 0.91 0.213
Lind– PH 0.19 -0.010
Bautista – RF 0.70 -0.078
Encarnacion – 1B 0.50 0.084
Arencibia – C 0.80 -0.029
Rasmus – CF 0.46 -0.022
Izturis – 3B 0.61 -0.071 Pitcher pLI WPA
Bonifacio -2B 0.58 0.013 Rogers – SP 1.13 0.093
Kawasaki – SS 0.48 0.019 Perez – RP 1.01 0.194
Rogers – P 1.22 -0.034 Wagner – RP 0.86 0.096
Gose – PH / LF 0.22 -0.003 Janssen – RP 0.48 0.036
Total 0.63 0.081 Total 0.99 0.419

Bests / Worsts of the game after the jump!

GBOOT: Melky Cabrera, 21.3%
Griffin: Jose Bautista, -7.8%
Impact At-Bat: Cabrera 2-run Single, Top 2, 16.4%
Impact Pitch: Andrelton Simmons Double Play, Bot 8, 8.6%
Highest Leverage AB: J.P. Arencibia RBI Fielder’s Choice, Top 1, 1.91
Highest Leverage Opp. AB: Juan Francisco Popout, Bot 4, 2.26
Lineup Contribution: 8.1%
Pitching Contribution: 41.9%
Average Leverage Index: 0.78
Chart explanation

- Esmil Rogers’ line: 3.1ip, 3h, 0er, 2bb, 4k, 62 pitches, 7 swinging strikes, 56 game score, 3.36 FIP.

- Juan Perez’s line: 2.2ip, 0h, 0er, 0bb, 4k, 37 pitches, 7 swinging strikes, 0.06 FIP

- Neil Wagner’s line: 2.0ip, 1h, 0er, 0bb, 2k, 29 pitches, 5 swinging strikes, 1.06 FIP

- Casey Janssen’s line: 1.0ip, 0h, 0er, 0bb, 1k, 15 pitches, 0 swinging strikes, 1.06 FIP

- Kris Medlen’s line: 2.0ip, 4h, 3er, 1bb, 1k, 38 pitches, 3 swinging strikes, 36 game score, 3.56 FIP.

- Naturally, what the Jays needed to get the pitching going was a start by Esmil Rogers and 4+ innings of work from guys that have been in Buffalo all year. I included the line of each reliever because this really was a full effort from everyone on the staff and felt like 3 relief appearances as opposed to anyone actually starting. The most trouble came in the 2nd inning, when Freddie Freeman led off with a triple and Brian McCann followed with a walk, but Rogers made a heads-up play with 1-out to catch Freeman in a rundown and get out of the inning unscathed. Juan Perez made his first appearance this season and struck out B.J. Upton, Andrelton Simmons, Justin Upton, and Freddie Freeman in 2+ innings. Not a bad way to start a year off.

- Kris Medlen left the game early for the Braves after taking an Emilio Bonifacio comebacker off the leg in the 2nd. He finished the inning off but not before giving up a pair of runs.

- The Jays tallied 8 hits in the game, three from Melky Cabrera, three from Edwin Encarnacion and two from Bonifacio.

- The Jays drew 7 walks in the game, including two from Munenori Kawasaki, which seems like an appropriate opportunity to remind you that’s one less walk than J.P. Arencibia has drawn all year.

- Arencibia opened the scoring in the 1st with a 3-6-3 fielder’s choice that scored Cabrera. Melky added to the lead in the 2nd, driving home Bonifacio and Kawasaki with a line drive to left.

- Bonifacio stole a base and was caught stealing, and also turned a nice double play while crossing the bag early in the game.

- The 5-6-7 hitters went 0-for-12 with a walk and 1 RBI.

- This was a weird one to have to try to describe. It seemed like it was a matter of time before the Jays pitching staff bent or broke and it never ended up happening. Not the kind of thing you want to be banking on for the rest of the season, but we’ll take it.

- The series wraps up this evening at 7:10 EST, the projected match-up is R.A. Dickey (4.88FIP, 0.5fWAR) v Mike Minor (3.27FIP, 1.2fWAR).

{All numbers via Fangraphs}

Comments (42)

  1. I agree about the weirdness. I felt like I was on the edge of my seat waiting for the pitching to crumble the entire game, but it never happened, making for a pretty exciting game.

    Also 11 Ks/2 BBs? Who is this pitching staff?

    • Speaking of weird.. how about the circular patch of hair on the back of Reyes’ head? New style or lost bet?

  2. just a minor thing: Bonifacio hit 7th last night and had two hits so the 5, 6, 7 weren’t 0 for 12

    5, 6, 7 hitters were rasmus, izturis, and bonifacio. think you mean 4 (arencibia), 5, 6.

    maybe you forgot because the parrot didn’t get taken for a walk?

    love these posts though.

  3. Cabrera is clutch

  4. I could watch Juan Perez pitch everyday, he has such a unique throw. I hope these new bullpen guys keep it up.

  5. Fully expected the GIF to be Freddie Freeman endlessly mouthing the word “whoops”.

  6. Juan Perez was outstanding last night.

    But lord, I hope they work on his mechanics when he goes back down to the minors. He’s obviously got a live arm, but there’s no way you’re going to have a long career with a delivery like that.

    Big when we needed him though.

    • He’s not going to have that long of a career in the majors anyways…he’s something like 34! Drafted in 1999, iirc from the broadcast.

  7. Im looking forward to tonight
    Dickey in a pitchers fly ball park should be lights out
    the HRs that have killed him this year have been into the BP type shots, just over the wall shit.

    I expect 8+ tonight from him. Might get him into a groove.

  8. Bonifacio quietly had himself a game last night. Defensively I think that’s the best he’s been yet. He made a few nice plays that i note of.

    Rogers was pretty good. Whether or not he can be counted on as a starter to be able to rear back and huck in a 96 mile an hour fastball for strikeouts on a consistent basis – I don’t know, but he pitched a great 3+ innings. His play on Freeman was surprisingly athletic.

    I’m still trying to wrap my head around Juan Perez’ delivery.

    Wagner had some serious heat on his fastball. It was deceptively fast. One of the first one’s that he threw looked decent – and then the gun popped up with 98. That will play.

    Also – Melky. That is all.

  9. How about Rogers’ bunts!

    When was the last time we had a starter in interleague play have 2 productive ABs in a game?

  10. Anyone hear how Atlanta greeted former Brave Melky Cabrera?

    So can all the prissy fucking dumbass fuckernaughts borrow a neighbor’s ladder so they can get off their high fucking horse about how Toronto is the only city classless enough to boo former players.

    I’m sorry if your tea party at the ballpark got ruined by all of the cretinous booing. It’s part of participating in a spectator sport in front of 20,000-50,000 drunks. If someone offered you an extra couple million to get booed while doing your job, I suspect you’d take the money.

    I get that we live in 2012 and you can’t say ‘broad’ or write vaguely homophobic hispanic slurs that no one really understands on our face without apologizing to everyone, doing community service and sacrificing a lamb to everyone’s favorite deity to avoid offending any faiths (then apologize to PETA and start the process again). But at least, can we please call off the holier than though brigade on the fucking booing? Fuck, I choose to save my voice for booing Alex Rodriguez, David Ortiz and Coco Cordero, but if another paying customer wants to boo Jake Shields for throwing to first, why do you have to be a dick about it?

    I’m sorry, that video from a few weeks ago REALLY pissed me off. If booing offends you so much, watch the game on mute. Just do it and derive your false sense of superiority from spaying and neutering more cats and dogs.

    • Here is a list of stupid things:

      - Booing your home team
      - Throwing beer cans at opposing players
      - Booing former members of your home team who had the gall to be traded or sign with another team
      - Dumb-ass, straw man arguments like yours that assume that fans who dislike boorish fan behavior are also politically correct sissys

      • Thank you for proving my point. And that’s not even the right straw man argument. People who get their panties knotted up about booing the home team most likely are charter members of the PC brigade. Which is fine, if a little tiresome. But if you feel the need to evangelize about when and against whom fans boo and ESPECIALLY if you use that impulse to demonize Toronto fans as ‘bros’ or morons, you still might not be a sissy, but you’re definitely a fucking dick.

        • I’ll take your point that the YouTube video was more than a little patronizing.

        • Ray,
          I like your style today.
          This website is without a doubt the best place to come for jays news and discussion.
          It is also full to the brim of people who feel like they are a higher caliber of fan who are more educated on how to be a fan than you are, and can’t wait for their chance to tell you. Personally, I don’t boo the home team, but I sure don’t give a fuck if you want to. It’s called drunk jays fans but everyone absolutely hates anyone at a game being drunk, its a bit ridiculous. There is also a smaller section on here that absolutely hates anyone who cares about their fitness, they call them total bro’s like somehow that makes it an insult.

    • Ah yes, the everyone who doesn’t agree with me is just over sensitive argument.

    • I’m also sick of “enlightened” fans who tell others how to enjoy sports, which happens a lot around here, such as:

      1. You can’t like the fact that a player was born in Canada.
      2. You can’t do the wave.
      3. You can’t boo in specific situations.

      Not sure what that was about ladders and broads, though.

    • Jake Shields does not play baseball.

      It’s not that you’re not allowed to call women broads or to write homophobic slurs. You’re allowed to. You’re just a fucking ignorant douche if you do.

    • If you get this worked up over nothing, maybe you should take up exercise, or getting more sleep, it’ll help with your condition.

  11. We are getting our best starts out of scrapheap guys.. Now if we can get some quality out of our supposed good starters, we could start rolling

  12. Only 14 days until Dustin McGowan’s 30 day rehab stint is up.

    I believe that that he Jays are obligated to either bring him to the majors or have to release him at that time (according to CBA rules), please correct me if I’m wrong.

    Keeping an eye on the days between appearances, performance, and innings pitched will be kinda fun.

    http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&sid=t422&t=p_pbp&pid=430661

    • Just read a few interpretations and as far as I can tell you’re right but I could have sworn I read somewhere they could keep on extending him on the DL and rehab assignment. It looks as though once he’s assigned to rehab on a minor league team, it’s for 30 days and that’s it: No more extensions.

  13. Slow, steady progress. Hope Dickey has a good game tonight.

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