June 19th v Rockies1

Batter pLI WPA
Cabrera – LF 0.76 -0.034
Bautista – RF 0.50 0.030
Encarnacion – DH 0.71 -0.023
Lind – 1B 0.80 0.170 Pitcher pLI WPA
Rasmus – CF 0.37 0.037 Buehrle – SP 1.11 0.107
Arencibia – C 0.43 -0.049 Wagner – SP 0.87 0.067
Izturis – 3B 0.60 0.002 Cecil – RP 0.95 0.073
Bonifacio – 2B 0.64 -0.039 Delabar – RP 1.10 0.045
Kawasaki – SS 0.60 -0.004 Janssen – RP 0.45 0.035
Total 0.59 0.172 Total 1.01 0.328

Bests / Worsts of the game after the jump!


GBOOT: Adam Lind, 17.0%
Griffin: J.P. Arencibia, -4.9%
Impact At-Bat: Adam Lind 3-run HR, Bot 1, 20.5%
Impact Pitch: Carlos Gonzalez Solo HR, Top 5, -8.5%
Highest Leverage AB: Lind HR, Bot 1, 1.88
Highest Leverage Opp. AB: Tyler Colvin Strikeout, Top 5, 2.19
Lineup Contribution: 17.2%
Pitching Contribution: 32.8%
Average Leverage Index: 0.81
Chart explanation

- Mark Buehrle’s line: 5.0ip, 8h, 2er, 1hr, 4k, 1bb, 92 pitches, 10 swinging strikes, 46 game score, 4.65FIP.

- Juan Nicasio’s line: 5.0ip, 4h, 2r, 1hr, 3k, 1bb, 97 pitches, 2 swinging strikes, 49 game score, 5.05FIP.

- Mark Buehrle showcased his best ‘bend but don’t break’ stuff in this game, allowing baserunners in each of the 5 full innings he pitched. Jordan Pacheco scored after a leadoff double in the 2nd and Carlos Gonzalez homered to lead off the 5th, but otherwise Buehrle worked himself into trouble with walks and singles, and worked his way out of it with strikeouts and timely ground balls.

- Neil Wagner and Brett Cecil combined to strikeout four of the six batters they faced in the 6th and 7th innings. Steve Delabar struck out the side in the 8th and Casey Janssen picked up a low-leverage save in the 9th. The Jays pen continues to be ridiculous, combining to allow 1 hit (with 2 outs in the 9th) and 1 walk over 4 innings of work, striking out 7.

- The bats continued the recent trend of jumping on teams early, as Adam Lind (9) hit his 5th home run in the month June to take advantage of an earlier Nolan Arenado throwing error and put 3 runs on the board in the 1st inning.

- Lind has followed up his .346/.409/.590 month of May by hitting .397/.408/.676 so far in June. He’s up to .340/.406/.555 on the season. He’s so hot right now, Mark DeRosa refuses to look at him.

- The Jays added insurance in the 4th, when DJ LeMahieu’s error allowed Colby Rasmus to get to 3rd and be driven in by Emilio Bonifacio’s fielder’s choice. Another run was added in the 7th when Munenori Kawasaki hit his fourth(!!!!) triple of the season and was driven in by a Melky single.

- J.P. Arencibia drew a walk, his 3rd of the month and 7th of the season.

- The Jays managed 7 hits, with Izturis and Arencibia being the only two to not record one. Thanks to the errors and walks, every player in the lineup managed to get on base at least once.

-The Jays took advantage of some miscues by the Rockies, scoring 2 unearned runs.

- Encarnacion was beaned in the 7th by Rob Scahill, nothing come of it other than a dirty look.

- Almost 27,000+ in attendance on a Wednesday night.

- The (35-36) Blue Jays win their 8th straight, sweep the Rockies and move within 1 game of .500. The next series is a 3 game set that starts Friday against (42-31) Baltimore. Following that, the Jays head out for 7 games on the road; 3 in Tampa Bay (1.5 games ahead) and 4 against Boston (7.5 ahead). A continuation of the hot streak through the end of the month could mean big things for the Jays positioning in the AL East before the start of July.

- The projected match-up for the series opening is R.A. Dickey (4.88FIP, 0.5fWAR) v Jason Hammel (5.07FIP, 0.3fWAR).

{All numbers via Fangraphs}

Comments (88)

  1. Great game last night.

  2. Tugboat from the WWF is a Jays fan. Cool.

    • I prefer to think of him as “120% of Andrew Stoeten”

      • This…the extra 20% went from the beard to the body.

        • I prefer to think of him as time-traveler Future Stoeten, come back to enjoy the turnaround of a great Jays team that would go on to be more renowned and successful than even the 92/93 teams.

  3. Now can we hold serve against our AL East rivals?

    • In order for this 8 game win streak to mean much of anything, the Jays should probably set a 7-3 mark as their goal over this next stretch, both to make up ground in the AL East, and by extension work to getting back to .500 against AL East opponents.

  4. only in upper Canada would you see a 40 year old man wearing the “Le Jean on Jean” look with a too small jersey and hat lol. Even his friends (assuming he didn’t buy 1 ticket to come alone) dont want to look at him lol. But yes, we were all mad at the bean ball.

    Lets hope the jays can take 7 of the next 10 at least from the AL East games. That would put us in a great spot. Not on top, as thats a long road, but man would the Div really be up for grabs then.

  5. hopefully the jays continue to play with a chip on their shoulder the rest of the season…

  6. Colby’s superb base running continues. I was impressed by his ability to get 3rd on the error.

    • I think the reason he is good at baserunning is the same reason he is good at fielding: he just always seems to know exactly where the ball is going to land.

      • That was exactly my thought on Izturis’ blooper the other day, Rasmus, at second base, got a perfect read on it.

  7. One of my favourite parts of this Rockies series has been coming up with new and interesting ways to pronounce ‘LeMahieu’


  8. The whole EE situation of being hit and how the Jays handled it shows their mentality now…..

    They said screw you Rockies, don’t care if the HBP was on purpose or not, we are just going to close you out.

    • Agreed. My first instinct was “fuck that guy up!”, but it only lasted about 1/2 of a second as Edwin’s cool stare calmed me down.

      By the by: My lipreading on biggy blue-jeans up there is that he is saying, “What the hell is wrong with you?” ..

  9. So good to be able to say I told you so to all the Colby haters from early in the season. He is a legit CF stud. Defense, power bat and good base running. WTF else do you want? Anthony who? Slide over to LF son, (I’m guessing that’s who takes duties when Melky is suspended :(:().

    It’s so nice not to have to bitch and complain every night about ridiculous play. The Orioles are going to be a very tough opponent, would be huge if we could take 2 of 3. Go Jays!

    • Word. Unfortunately people still bitch about the “6-9 hitters” (which includes Colby) while Melky seems to get a free pass despite being kinda shitty.

      • I haven’t looked further back, but yesterday Colby hit fifth. I think I commented on the game threat yesterday about the 6-9 hitters, and wasn’t including Colby in that mix, fwiw.

        • Nah, wasn’t aimed at anyone specific. Just feel that Colby isn’t getting nearly enough credit for doing a lot of things very well.

          • The TV crew has been sucking his balls. I am pretty sure Stoeten has given him some love lately too. Even Old Grumps McCown has been saying positive things on Dinner Time for Old Folks Sports.

            • Bob McGowan is such a fool. I know it’s part of his schtick, but the garbage he got on with about Colby was so ridiculous. Of course he will never admit he was wrong.

    • Hey Riggs! We fucking beat the fuck out of Yu Darvish twice. Still want to bone him?

  10. This run has been a lot of fun – but it’s the next 3 series that really matter both as divisional rivals and because the Os and Red Sox will provide a better calibre of opposition that the past two series.

    I’m nervous, but excited because the Jays could take 6 of 9 or thereabouts. If that happens we get a whole new season and anyone could win.

  11. I am grateful for a shot at the WC…but I would do ANYTHING to dismount the Red Sux from the division lead. Can you imagine? Lets all just sit back and imagine.

  12. Without the incredible 8 game winning streak, none of the upcoming games would have mattered anyways.

    Guys… baseball that matters!

  13. So this is what anticipation for important games feels like.

  14. Some food for thought.
    Earlier this week there was a Ka-fuffle on here about the prospect of trading Casey Janssen to a “legitimate contender” looking for a closer.

    Well what about some of these other back of the bullpen guys who have been lights out this year. Small sample size and all that, but whats stopping another GM from looking at a guy like Cecil, seeing what hes done this year and deciding he could be a closer – if they have no other options.

    Is Cecil a guy people would be willing to see go if the right return was there? Would other GMs even be willing to take the risk on him?

    Something I was thinking about while I watched Goggles dominate his inning last night. I dont want to see him go anywhere ‘cuz hes been so damn good. Just kinda curious about other peoples opinions on this.

    • It’s possible Janssen would be the only trade chip to net any kind of return because of the myth of the closer.

      It’s definitely worth thinking about, but I’m hesitant to let any solid bullpen arm go from a “win now” team. Who knows what the future holds for Cecil, Delabar, Wagner, etc.?

      • Trade nothing! We are on a run. That would totally send the wrong message.

        I think we are in with this team. When we are going well, you can see where Bonifacio, De Rosa and Rajai Davis fit in. Gives you a very fast (not DeRosa) and versatile bench. Davis is a terror of a late-game weapon on the basepaths.

        If we fall out of it before the 31st of July, then maybe some pieces get moved, i.e. DeRosa would be a guy you would look to trade (“veteran presents” and all).

        AA is way ahead of us on these things.

      • We got Rasmus without giving up a closer (just two or three relievers).

        I don’t think GMs are as stupid as all that, to believe in the closer role as being so much more important. All teams want shut down guys for all innings. Cecil is a huge trade piece right now, but so are Oliver, Delabar, Wagner even and Loup. But at the end of the day, they are not worth as much as a starter or a position player solely due to the amount of time they are in the game.

        • I’d think Oliver could get you a decent prospect because of his track record, and honestly I’d rather keep the rest of the guys anyway. Based on nothing other than enjoying how they’re all redemption stories.

        • speaking of great trades, remember when the dodgers literally GAVE carlos santana away to the indians for veteran presents of casey blake.?

    • Delabar seems like more of a “prototypical” closer, but yeah. I’d hate to see Goggles go, he’s been dynamite.

    • Interesting thoughts if your playing mlb the show ’13.. however, no.. you have to find a dance partner who has something you want… (ie. a better catcher/2b/cf/shortstop/starter) The Jays have a pretty good set up up the middle of the field at the moment, but possibly they could use a better bench option.. although the guys they have are doing fine.. Plus if you think of the return you get would be from a club trying to make a run for it.. while your trying to make a run for it.. it doesn’t make sense.. I doubt AA does anything at the trade deadline other than something small.. possibly move a reliever for another bench option… even that would be a stretch.

      • I agree with you entirely. I think this team has all the pieces it needs right now and it has taken a while for everything to fall into place, but we are really seeing what this team can do now that they have.

        I wasnt saying these trades should be made. I just found it curious about the polarizing opinion and minor uproar that came out of the Janssen trade idea, I was curious to see what the response would be about other bullpen guys.

  15. As much a small sample size as it is for Cecil, and as much as I adore Casey Janssen, I think if push came to shove, I’d trade Janssen over Brett. As a capital “c” Closer with 16(?) saves, I feel like Casey would garner more on the trade market. And Cecil’s only 26. And cheap. And a lefty.

    • Spot on.

    • I’d trade Darren Oliver over all of them. Cecil is a legit bullpen lefty now, it seems.

    • Casey’s shoulder issues worry me a bit moving forward as well. Aside from shititis for a couple of years Cecil has been healthier. Casey likely would get the biggest return on the market and in this hypothetical world he’d be the one to part with. Black Magic stays. Relievers don’t typically get much of a return on the trade market, so I don’t think we need to go nuts wishing/hoping/praying for such a trade to go down.

    • Agreed.

      But I really don’t think you can take any reliever off the trade market.

      If you can pick up a long term everyday player or starter for a package centred around a reliever? You have to consider that atleast.

      With pitchers getting healthy and a potential 7 man pen when Reyes comes back, moving someone is probably an option.

  16. Guy in the top right corner of the reaction to the E Double beaning gif looks like a young Mark Buehrle.

  17. This town is coming to life again (baseball-wise). I was watching in a bar that I go to every week and usually no one is really paying attention much to the game. But yesterday, every big play was getting attention and applause. Honestly the baseball game was getting more love than the hockey game.

    Then I hit a club not too far from the Dome and it was just full of people from the game. Everyone in good spirits, proudly rocking their Jays attire on the dance floor, talking about the game.

    Once hockey and basketball are officially done and summer really “arrives”, if the Jays are still playing well and looking to have a chance again, I think it will blow up big time in this city. And compared to before the season, people will actually appreciate what it takes to win. These wins are much sweeter thanks to how painful it was earlier.

    • clubbing is ghey.

      • Hahah, I liked the comment because of the general positive Blue Jays overtone of it.

        But when I read the whole thing, my main response thought was also .. “clubbing is ghey”

  18. GG to the Rox.. hopefully this can spark another 8 game win streak!

  19. So next 10 games. My heart says 7-3 but my brain says 5-5. I’ll settle for 6-4.

  20. Seems everyone here understands just how crucial the next 10 games are going to be. It’s not just because of who the Jays are playing, but who the rest of the AL East is playing for the next 10 games:

    Blue Jays: 3 against Baltimore, 3 against Tampa, 4 against Boston.

    Red Sox: 4 against Detroit, 2 against Colorado, 3 against Toronto.
    Orioles: 3 against Toronto, 4 against Cleveland, 3 against New York.
    Tampa: 4 against New York, 3 against Toronto, 3 against Detroit.
    New York: 4 against Tampa, 3 against Texas, 3 against the Orioles.

    All of the AL East teams are mostly playing against divisional rivals. If the Jays can keep it up over the next 10 games, with the rest of the AL East beating each other up, they can make up ground very quickly.

  21. the guy in the gif looks like stoeten’s more handsome older brother…

  22. If only we had a sparkplug like Jose Reyes to throw onto the top of the lineup. Wouldn’t that be something!

  23. Have you noticed that during this winning streak the lo viste crap has been cut down to a minimum ?

    • The jays haven’t played any games against shit teams like the Astros or twins right?

    • It should only even happen after a big hit in a key situation, or a really ballsy play.

      Or whenever Kawasaki wants to bust it out, it’s hilarious seeing the Japanese guy do the Dominican things. He could do it after fouling off a tough pitch and I’d be all over it.

  24. I’d comment there more, but then my comments would be the only ones there. Then the entire internet would think I’m some kind of loser stalker loner guy. I can’t be risking my internet reputation.

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