July 10th1 v Cleveland

Batter pLI WPA
Reyes – SS 0.87 -0.128
Bautista – RF 0.66 -0.007
Encarnacion – DH 1.13 -0.161
Lind – 1B 1.24 -0.013 Pitcher pLI WPA
Rasmus – CF 1.53 0.070 Rogers – SP 0.97 0.163
Izturis – 3B 1.98 -0.056 McGowan – RP 1.96 0.106
Thole – C 2.12 -0.061 Cecil – RP 3.70 -0.335
Arencibia – PH / C 2.29 0.049 Wagner – RP 5.37 0.133
Bonifacio – LF 3.26 0.340 Janssen – RP 1.40 -0.200
Kawasaki – 2B 2.80 0.362 Delabar – RP 8.24 0.239
Total 1.69 0.394 Total 1.81 0.106

Bests / Worsts of the game after the jump!


GBOOT: Munenori Kawasaki, 36.2%
Griffin: Brett Cecil, -33.5%
Impact At-Bat: Kawasaki 3-run Single, Top 9, 43.1%
Impact Pitch: Michael Brantley RBI Single, Bot 8, -28.9%
Highest Leverage AB: Kawasaki 3-run Single, Top 9, 8.24
Highest Leverage Opp. AB: Michael Brantley Flyout, Bot 9, 8.24
Lineup Contribution: 39.4%
Pitching Contribution: 10.6%
Average Leverage Index: 1.75
Chart explanation

- Esmil Rogers’ line: 6.0ip, 4h, 7k, 3bb, 1er, 100 pitches, 9 swinging strikes, 64 game score, 2.23FIP.

- Justin Masterson’s line: 6.2ip, 4h, 6k, 5bb, 120 pitches, 8 swinging strikes, 59 game score, 3.52FIP.

- Esmil Rogers struck out a buttload of Clevelands in his 6 innings of work, only taking damage in the 2nd inning, where he did himself in with 2 walks to start the inning. He got a double play ball after allowing 2 hits in the 1st, and stranded runners in the 3rd and 5th to make for a completely acceptable 100 pitch start.

- Dustin McGowan worked a 10 pitch 7th inning, collecting a strikeout, walk, and double play ball. American League All Star Brett Cecil came on the work the 8th and gave up a lead-off single to Michael Bourn followed by a 2-out walk of Nick Swisher. Michael Brantley struck with a single up the middle to tie the game at 2.

- Casey Janssen came on in a save situation and struggled to get the third out. After a pair of groundouts Bourn got on base again followed by an Asdrubal Cabrera RBI single and Jason Kipnis walk. Disaster struck when Kawasaki’s throwing error allowed a run to score and the game-winning run to move into scoring position.

- American League All Star Candidate Steve Delabar was called on to get the last out and he threw one pitch to Brantley to achieve the game-ending flyout.

- The Blue Jays offense sputtered early again, as Masterson didn’t allow a hit until the 5th and didn’t get into any real trouble until the 7th. The Jays loaded the bases on a Lind double and pair of walks, loading the bases for Emilio Bonifacio. Dismissive wanks and snark abounded on twitter, but Boni managed to single to score a pair of runs thanks to some bobbly Drew Stubbs D.

- In the 9th, with the game tied at 2, the Jays once again loaded the bases thanks to a pair of walks and an Arencibia single, Munenori Kawasaki stepped to the plate and once again the Jays benefited from an unlikely hitter and some bobby Cleveland D. 3 runs scored on Kawasaki’s line drive single and the error by Bourn.

- Yes, you read all of that correctly. After a game and a half of offensive futility the Jays won this game with Emilio Bonifacio and Munenori Kawasaki delivering in big situations. All 5 runs were scored with 2 outs and driven in by hitters with SLG% under .310.

- The Jays managed 6 hits and drew 7 walks, with the Kawasaki and Bonifacio hits standing out in a game where the team went 2-for-8 with RISP.

- Colby Rasmus and Adam Lind chipped in the lone extra base hits, the 17th double of the season for both guys.

- 0-fer for Encarnacion, while Bautista, Izturis, and Thole all went hitless but managed to draw walks. Thole raised his OBP to .200.

- Munenori Kawasaki’s game-winning hit earned him another post-game interview. The phrase book did not make an appearance.

- The (44-46) Jays have their chance to take the series this afternoon at The Prog at 12:05pm EST. The Jays follow this series with a 3-game set in Baltimore to lead into the All-Star break.

- The projected series closing matchup is R.A. Dickey (4.89FIP, 0.7fWAR) vs Danny Salazar (N/A, -.-fWAR)

Comments (33)

  1. What’s Dickey’s excuse for today’s start? Game starting too early?

  2. The AL East went 5-0 yesterday.

    • Seems to be happening a lot lately….FUCK OUR LIFE….why couldn’t Bud put us in the Central….screw Houston…

  3. I’m happy they won, but a bottom 3 of JP, Bonehead and Kawasaki is just plain scary. And I don’t mean good scary.

    • JP has been talked about to death. Kawasaki is supposed to be on the bench. And Bonifacio is a good valuable piece of the lineup. Half a season of sucking doesn’t change all his batting before that or change what he is capable of going forward.

      • What?

        • What what? Bonifacio will be fine. You’ll all like him. Just like you guys hated Edwin for so long despite his obvious qualities, so too will you come to like Bonifacio.

          JP sucks and you all are such geniuses for noticing that daily.

          Kawasaki is filling in for an injured player – what team has a .300 batter on the bench as backup?

  4. need this series. and 2/3 vs. Baltimore would be a nice way to get into the break. any word on happ/morrow/lawrie return dates??

    • Happ is supposed to after ASB, Morrow sometime in Aug and Lawrie, I believe is ok but working on his walks and swing.

  5. Tank pls

  6. Why was Thole starting yesterday, if Dickey is pitching an afternoon game today?
    JP … should … have been … playing … ??

    Man the production from the Jays catcher is just so intimidating …

    • Masterson is a beast against RH batters, and we really needed this win. So Thole got the start because Gibby thought he was the better offensive option.

      You read that right.

      (Note: I’m not disagreeing with Gibby here. I’m just pointing out how crazy it is when Thole gets a start based on offense.)

      • Fair enough .. the lesser of two evils I suppose.

        The thing I was most excited about with the potential lineup coming into this season was for guys like JP, not really needing his bat cuz the rest of the lineup would be able to cover the occasional .210 hitter. Well that has not been the case so far.

        Granted the real projected lineup really hasnt all been together yet this year with the injuries, and I know the bottom third came through in a big way last night, but you cannot rely on guys like Boni, Kawa, JP/Thole to do that very often.

  7. “…completely acceptable 100 pitch start.”

    Am I missing something in tone?

    This was a fantastic start. Rogers has been an amazing bonus to the Jays rotation this year. Let’s give him a little more love for 6ip 1ER, shall we?

    • ?!

    • Completely agree, that was a more than acceptable start for Rogers. Maybe Zuber is expecting alot of Rogers these days? After all he is our best SP since he came into the rotation.

      • I’m ok with Esmil for starter for the rest of this season and next year. What with Morrow, and JJ, the Jays can’t be choosers anyway. Also among Romero Drabek and Hutch there isnt a sure thing between the 3 of them.

  8. Casey had trouble last night because everyone (except for stubbs) in the cleveland lineup is either a lefty or a switchhitter:

    CF Michael Bourn (L)
    SS Asdrubal Cabrera (S)
    2B Jason Kipnis (L)
    1B Nick Swisher (S)
    LF Michael Brantley (L)
    C Carlos Santana (S)
    DH Jason Giambi (L)
    3B Lonnie Chisenhall (L)
    RF Drew Stubbs (R)

    Not worried about him though.He threw well enough to get the save anyway. But some bad luck and that last throw by Muni was the end of him.

  9. It does hurt when you pick up a win and then take a look at the AL East and everyone wins.

    I often day dream we’re in the AL Central

  10. @StivBators: So the White Sox have sent scouts to check out Blue Jays prospects among other teams, Beckham perhaps?

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