Back on Thursday, Keith Law had his weekly chat with readers at ESPN.com, and… uh… for lack of a better preamble, here are the Jays-related tidbits…
With a few teams in the playoff hunt needing a 2B, what are the chances the Mets could get a top 100 (or top 150) caliber prospect for Daniel Murphy? How much does the fact that Murph is not a Qualifying Offer candidate affect his value (I am assuming a team wouldn’t give him $16 million after 2015)?
If someone believes he can play an average 2b, then yes.
The Jays, as we’ve heard, are not one of those teams who think he can play an average second base, so even though he could certainly help them — he has a 116 wRC+ this season, and has already accumulated 2.6 WAR per FanGraphs, after a three win season last year (though the fact that he hits left mitigates just how much “right now” value he might have for the Jays) — I guess we don’t have to worry about it. Assuming those original reports are true, that is.
If not, a top 100 calibre prospect, eh? You’d like to think the Jays could solve their infield issue for less, which… yeah, that probably goes a decent way to explaining the whole stalemate on the trade front, eh?
How the heck did Jeff Hoffman manage to get full slot from the Jays?
I don’t know.
This is one that didn’t really get as much attention as it should. The way the Jays spun it was that they figured they’d already gotten a big discount on Hoffman simply by his sliding due to Tommy John surgery from a likely top three pick down to them at nine, which… is really kind of insane, isn’t it? I mean, I’m glad they got him signed and we didn’t have to go through the whole Phil Bickford/Tyler Beede/James Paxton nonsense again, but it sure seemed like Hoffman didn’t have the kind of leverage to get slot money — he wasn’t going to be back on the mound in time next spring to show enough to improve his stead much, and even if so, as a college senior at that point his option would be to either sign what’s in front of him or go to independent ball for a year.
I don’t know. I’m not saying it isn’t a bit ugly when teams play hardball with players like they’d have had to — look at what’s going on with the Astros and top pick Brady Aiken — but for all their talk in previous years about holding firm to their valuations and not wanting to set bad precedents, this sure seemed a bit off. Good for Hoffman, and good on him, but I wonder what the story is.
There seems to be a relatively high bust rate among July 2 players who get top dollar signing bonuses. Would teams be better off emphasizing quantity over quality in spending their allotments for these players? And pretend for the purposes of this question that there was a significant disincentive to going over the cap.
I had that discussion with a front office guy recently – who’s the last 7-figure guy from the DR to become a top 100 prospect (or a big leaguer). Sano?
I think Franklin Barreto is progressing well in the Jays system…he signed for $1.6 I believe (though VEN not DR)…
Still a long ways away, but yes, Venezuelan and Colombian kids are a slightly different market. They tend to be more polished and nearly always more educated than Dominican kids.
Interesting stuff, though not wholly Jays-related, obviously. Except, of course, for the mention of Barreto, and KLaw’s acknowledgement that he sure is doing well (albeit a long way off).
In case you missed it, Barreto is tearing it up in Vancouver this season as an 18-year-old. His wRC+ of 137 is in the top 15 among players with at least 50 plate appearances in the Northwest League, despite the fact that Barreto is 3.3 years younger than the league average age for position players, and that among the players he trails there are just two 19- and one 20-year-old, with the rest older still. Impressive, impressive stuff. But a long way off.
James (San Diego)
Read that Zimmer I was giving the green light to throw again. Do you see him as a typical AFL use case?
He’d be ideal for it – AFL could be great if teams send all their guys who need the reps: Buxton, Correa, Zimmer, Archie Bradley, Soler, Eddie Butler … probably forgetting a few too.
Another possible name? Roberto Osuna. That’d be fun — it was great last year to actually be able to watch guys like Stroman and Sanchez pitch in the AFL, thanks to MLB.tv — and it’s definitely possible that, as Osuna returns from Tommy John surgery, he’ll need the reps. You don’t see a lot of 19-year-olds pitch in the AFL — the last one, as far as I can tell, was Manny Banuelos in 2010 — but with all the reports on how advanced Osuna is as a pitcher and the fact that he would have been on the cusp of Double-A this season had it not been for the surgery, it doesn’t seem like the craziest idea… unless I’m missing something (which is entirely possible).
Is Travis d’Arnaud finally starting to live up to his hype?
Hope so. Don’t think he’s a high-avg hitter but I believe in the power and he should be a good receiver … but I also worry about any catcher who’s had concussion problems staying at the position.
We mentioned this on the podcast, but don’t look now: d’Arnaud since his recall on June 24th has hit .295/.338/.525 in 65 plate appearances, which is good for a 142 wRC+. Small sample, yes, and Keith’s not wrong about not being worried for the long-term viability of a catcher who is potentially susceptible to concussions, but… y’know… *GULP*.
If the Mets do surrender a flamethrower for a power bat, how would you rank [from gone to don't trade] the list of Montero, Harvey, Syndergaard, Wheeler, deGrom?
Don’t trade Harvey. Most willing to trade Montero. Could make good arguments for any order of the other three but I might trade Thor before Zack.
On the other hand, maybe Syndergaard’s stock is a bit down. So… that’s OK?
I know, I know, we should probably just get over it.
Hey, and here’s one more tidbit via Twitter:
— keithlaw (@keithlaw) July 16, 2014
Not Jays related or anything, I just wanted to point out that Minihane landed in the Book Of Moron around here a long time ago. Real winner.