Archive for the ‘AA’s Quest for Pitchers’ Category

When it comes to the possibility of significant roster turnover, it’s hard not to pick up where we left off a year ago this time, when we thought anything was possible, and something truly significant was surely on the horizon. Hardened by a calendar year in which the only “non-relief” “contributors”– both terms used rather loosely– added to the MLB roster were Aaron Laffey, Jesse Chavez, JA Happ, Ben Francisco, Jeff Mathis and Yorvit Torrealba, and understanding how the trick Anthopoulos needs to pull has grown in degree of difficulty after a year of injury and regression, a lot of fans seem to have stopped letting their minds race too quickly at ideas of seeing a multitude of new faces on the roster next year.

There are prospects to deal, free agents to sign and changes to be made, to be sure. But the sense I’ve got is that, with a few obvious exceptions, fans seem to figure that most of the players under team control and on the current roster will be here next April.

Is that really so? Could it possibly be so?

Given that teams, if they’re going to be giving up anything that helps the Jays’ big league club, are going to be much more focussed on acquiring MLB-ready players in trade, I don’t think it can be. And seeing as even the usually-secretive front office is being open about the fact that the Jays have to make some acquisitions, certainly there must be guys slated now to return who we won’t be seeing in a Jays uniform next season– y’know, unless Anthopoulos can get really creative, perhaps, as a reader astutely suggested the other day, by striking a lower-cost deal with the Angels or White Sox, who apparently aren’t going to pick up the options on Dan Haren and Jake Peavy anyway, in order to acquire one of those pitchers for the last, expensive year of their current deals… which would be totally badass and not nearly as high-risk as going all-in on some long-term commitment to a free agent.

But no… they’re probably going to have to trade someone of value from the MLB roster. Like one of these guys!

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Happy winter! Danny Knobler of CBS Sports Knobbled his way to some Jays traffic (um… for his Tweet?) yesterday afternoon, giving us the first ever-so-slightly shifting flake of innuendo in what’s presumably going to grow into an off-season avalanche:

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Last night on Twitter I was asked what seemed to me to be a simple enough question: “Would you be cool if only additions to Jays rotation are Dan Haren and Brett Anderson?”

Obviously I said yes. Or, at least, I thought the answer was obvious. Yet, much to my surprise, some people were taken aback. Pointing to Haren’s poor season and Anderson’s injury history and lack of overwhelming stuff, actual fans were turning their noses up at the suggestion.

No, really!!

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With the Blue Jays in obvious need of at least one quality, established Major League starter to add to their 2013 rotation, they’ll be looking to both the trade and free agent markets to make an acquisition. Two weeks ago we looked at the free agent market for pitching, and now it’s time for the much more difficult task of trying to find what may be available in trade, starting last week with the AL, and concluding today by looking at the National League…

NL Central

OVERVIEW:

There’s a little something of everything in the NL Central, with a couple of very strong rotations at the top, and the Houston Lucas Harrells at the bottom. The Reds, despite the reputation of their manager, have had reasonable success, remarkable health– until mid-August they’d only used five starters all season– and have their entire rotation under contract next year. The Cardinals have Kyle Lohse set to hit free agency, but Jake Westbrook was recently extended, Lance Lynn and Adam Wainwright will be back, Chris Carpenter is a possibility, top prospect Shelby Miller is finally surging after a tough year, Joe Kelly handled a rotation spot very nicely over twelve starts, and Jaime Garcia has now returned to the rotation after being off since early June.

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With the Blue Jays in obvious need of at least one quality, established Major League starter to add to their 2013 rotation, they’ll be looking to both the trade and free agent markets to make an acquisition. A week ago we looked at the free agent market for pitching, and now it’s time for the much more difficult task of trying to find what may be available in trade, starting today by looking at the American League…

AL Central

OVERVIEW:

I’ll do it anyway, but the American League Central is about as poor a division as any in which to begin scouring the Majors for potential starting pitchers to acquire in an off-season trade, as three of the five teams are essentially bereft of starters themselves. The Twins dealt free-agent-to-be Francisco Liriano this summer, and will likely lose Carl Pavano and Scott Baker to free agency as well, leaving the surprisingly effective Scott Diamond as their top holdover starter, with not a whole lot in behind him. In Kansas City, with apologies to Bruce Chen, the Royals don’t have adequate pitching assets of their own, let alone any kind of surplus to deal from, and while Cleveland has Justin Masterson, they don’t have much else in this department, and the impetus to deal their top pitcher would seem likely to be quite low.

So… we’re left looking at basically just the two division leaders, Detroit and Chicago.

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If the Jays have any intention of appearing like a serious contender in 2013– and it’s within their grasp to do so, and would almost certainly flush most of what’s left of the vast reservoir of goodwill they’ve built up in the early part of the Anthopoulos era if they didn’t– they’ll need to improve the overall quality of their starting rotation.

Aaron Laffey and Carlos Villanueva have filled in admirably this season; JA Happ is another depth option under team control; Chad Jenkins might be as well, or John Stilson, or Deck McGuire; Henderson Alvarez has been okay-enough to be a four or a five, but that’s not a terribly inspiring base of talent. And with injuries to the most promising of their young, near-ready arms– Kyle Drabek and Drew Hutchison– and confidence in the potential contributions of Brett Cecil and Dustin McGowan even less than where it was coming into this spring, it simply will not fly to hope to cobble together a trio of pitchers from this group to slot in behind Brandon Morrow and Ricky Romero.

Help must come from outside the organization, and with some dollars saved in the construction of the bullpen, cash in reserve due to international spending tamped down by the CBA keeping, and the mythical spectre of Rogers’ spending power ever looming, free agency has to be an option that’s on the table. So, who are some of the potential targets?

Well… these guys, basically.

Though, obviously some of these players may choose to re-sign with their current clubs, some may have options picked up unexpectedly, and there may be others whose options are declined or who are non-tendered that could change the nature of this list a bit by the time we get to the Winter Meetings in early December. But as it stands right now, here’s what the market for pitching looks like…

Zack Greinke

Now that Cole Hamels is off the market, the obvious crown jewel of the free agent market, and one that will draw considerable attention from the newly wealthy Dodgers, as well as the Angels, and other front offices not beholden to crippling layers of bureaucracy, an austere plan that enabled their employment, or a team president dead set against lengthy deals to pitchers, and probably smarting after the season had by Ricky Romero, the homegrown hurler for whom he bent the rules. Greinke likely will be too expensive and too coveted by others to be a serious candidate to land in Toronto.

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