Archive for the ‘Keith Law’ Category

lawmoses

Before it gets too stale, and before a fresh round comes our way– and… y’know… because there isn’t a whole hell of a lot else to do at the moment– let’s catch up on some highlights from Keith Law’s most recent chat with readers over at ESPN.com!

And for good measure, let’s throw in a few items from the week before– even though it was the most recent Thursday chat that really took the direct route in terms of their Jays-related tidbits.

To wit:

From Thursday, November 15th

James (San Diego)
AFL aside, what does the future hold for Aaron Sanchez?
Klaw
Ace potential, but I’ve outlined my concerns with his delivery and still think that is a serious obstacle for him and the Jays.

I wrote about Sanchez yesterday, of course, and back on Thursday, and yeah… there are concerns about the short stride coming from more places than just Law. One of the issues, raised in yesterday’s piece, was about how the lack of stride impacted him, specifically, from the stretch. Funny– though certainly not “ha ha” funny– that similar concerns were being discussed yesterday about how Josh Johnson’s season went so badly awry, and that Brandon Morrow has had troubles from the stretch in the past, aaand how in today’s Daily Duce we noted a Gregor Chisholm piece where he suggested the club was re-thinking some of its player development strategy. Issues from the stretch weren’t specifically noted (and obviously Johnson was brand new to the organization this year), but still… interesting. Would be nice to see this, y’know, not be a thing.

 

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aaron-sanchez

As regular readers will surely be able to tell, this post began as a Daily Duce. There was just so much Aaron Sanchez stuff to go around, though, that I figured it would be a waste to combine what was really two posts, and devote a little more attention to the club’s top prospect, who pitched again last night in the Arizona Fall League (with some additional nuggets– like some Jays-related tidbits from last week’s KLawchat– thrown in for good measure). Apologies to those who really wanted to read about Gold Glove nominations, Fielding Bible awards, and an extended agreement with the New Hampshire Fisher Cats…

Aaron Sanchez had another good night in the AFL last night, though he did create a bit of a jam for himself in the fourth inning, which included trouble with high-end prospects Addison Russell and Jorge Soler, who singled and walked respectively. But there’s not a whole lot to dislike in the box score, apart from the three walks in 4.1 innings: just the one hit, no runs, and four strikeouts. Marcus Stroman gave up just a single hit in his one inning of work, as well.

“We’re out here with the best of the best and that’s where I want to be. You have to be on your game or something can go south real quick. It’s fun good to be out here with good competition and that’s where I want to be,” explained Sanchez, according to an MiLB.com recap of the outing, which took his AFL numbers to a sparkling 1.35 ERA and sub-1.00 WHIP with ten strikeouts, and an ugly eight walks, in 13.1 innings.

A tweet from Eno Sarris of FanGraphs sends us towards the latest AFL Trackman, which shows us AFL leaders by various intriguing metrics, and includes the fact that Sanchez’s average fastball velocity is highest among starters in the league (though he hasn’t quite topped out the way some of the other prospects have), and that his slider rotation bodes very well for his ability to miss bats with it at the big league level.

Partly based on that kind of outstanding stuff, Sanchez– as well as Marcus Stroman– will be taking part in the AFL’s Fall Stars Game, which takes place on Saturday and will be streamed live on MLB.com.

The reports aren’t all entirely good, however, so don’t go forgetting about all the consternation of last week quite yet…

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aaron-sanchez

With John fucking Farrell on his way to the World Series, last week wasn’t exactly the time that I was itching to address the struggles and the not-so-glowing reports on the Jays’ top prospect, Aaron Sanchez, who is pitching in Arizona Fall League this month, making up for time lost during the middle of the season with blister troubles, and with the club being extra cautious about arm problems. But I certainly wouldn’t want to be accused (by morons) of trying to sweep away a troublesome report by not addressing it– and I certainly wouldn’t want to not get this stuff written about before Sanchez’s arm falls off, which could be as soon Wednesday, when he’s due to make his next AFL start!

OK, maybe it’s not quite that dire. But the Jays– assuming they’re not working to change things– and Keith Law certainly don’t see eye-to-eye on where the potential ace’s mechanics are at.

At the beginning of last week’s Behind the Dish podcast– which is a must listen, as it also features Dirk Hayhurst– Law explained:

If you check the site tomorrow– that’s Wednesday, I guess depending on when you’re listening to it– I’ll have another column up, listing ten guys who performed in a way, or showed skills that disappointed me somehow. They did not meet my expectations in Fall League, and I’m a little lower on them than I was a year ago– leading off with Aaron Sanchez from Toronto, who I love, and have always loved him. I thought he was better than Noah Syndergaard when they were both in the same organization, but the truth is, Syndergaard looks better at this point, delivery-wise, whereas Sanchez has clearly taken a step backwards. Toronto has made some adjustments to his mechanics. The stuff is good, the command isn’t there, and now I’m starting to get worried about potential arm injury– which is not something I would have said about Sanchez six or nine months ago.

He elaborated during last week’s KLawchat at ESPN.com:

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jaysESPNrank

It’s been a while now, but from time to time around here we used to breathlessly pour over a little exercise that ESPN does each year, getting Keith Law, Jim Bowden and Buster Olney together to rank the MLB teams in terms of their future championship viability in what they call their Future Power Rankings.

The crew ranks each club in terms of the quality of their Major and Minor League talent, their finances, the value and stability of their management and coaching staff, and the flexibility of their roster.

Today they updated the project for the end of the 2013 season (Insider Only), and… uh… well… as you can see above…

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klawmoses

There weren’t a whole lot of Jays-related tidbits in yesterday’s Keith Law chat at ESPN.com, but that’s actually OK, because I totally meant at some point to pull out the numerous ones from Keith’s chat the week before and managed to not. So here a double dose of… er… Law layin’. Or something.

Mike (Dublin)
Any thoughts on Brett Lawrie’s recent resurgence?
Klaw
Fully healthy. This is more like the player I thought he’d be. But again, SSS applies.

Full heath definitely helps, but I do believe he’s slowed some of his excess pre-pitch movement and straightened himself up a bit in the box– which, I suppose, could have to do with actually being healthy enough to not hunch over quite as much. Whatever it is, it’s working. By fWAR Lawrie’s second half so far has been worth 1.5 wins, tying him with Paul Goldschmit, Evan Longoria, Brandon Belt, Bryce Harper, Jonathan Lucroy, Elvis Andrus, and Aaron “how the fuck did the Jays not ever figure him out” Hill for the 16th highest mark among all hitters in baseball.

Kevin (Chicago, IL)
The 2014 draft is __% better than the 2013 in terms of talent.
Klaw
25%.

Aaaaand suddenly missing on Phil Bickford and having a disasterfuck of a season (according to MLBTR’s Reverse Standings they’re currently in line for the eighth overall pick) doesn’t seem quite so bad.

Well, maybe it does, but that’s at least something.

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klawdredd

Let’s go back in time a little bit for a moment here. Back to the magical post trade-deadline world of last Friday, where everything was possible and the world cared as much about BioGenesis as… well, probably about as little as it does right now. Because there were a bunch of Jays-related tidbits in Keith Law’s chat with readers over at ESPN.com back then, and like Arthur Crandall, I’m thinking that if I slap them together here, then go on and start editing this week’s Griff Bag, that outta hold the little S.O.B.’s.

So, without further ado…

Jim (Hartford, CT)
What’s up with Aaron Sanchez (not 100%, command issues)?
Klaw
Minor non-arm issues this year, most recently a blister he tried to pitch through. He’ll be fine.

Ahhh. Well that sure makes up for the dispiriting tweet from Jim Callis that I noted in my Assorted Weekend Thoughts post this morning. (To wit: “Toronto may rue the R.A. Dickey trade … more than the Giants regret the Carlos Beltran deal.”)

Tom (Spain)
What seems to be the difference for Teheran this year? Last year he seemed to regress, but has been among the best rookie pitchers this year.
Klaw
He started throwing this short 80-83 mph slider in mid-May – Bloomberg’s data shows no sliders before 5/14 – and it’s been very effective, a little bigger than a cutter, but short enough that he’s been able to throw it for strikes. All he ever really needed was a third pitch – that and a catcher who’d call his freaking changeup now and then – and now he’s justifying all those high rankings I gave him.

He’s a good example of how Noah Syndergaard could fulfill his potential, although in his case the curve is well ahead of the slider.

Oh FFS. SHOULDN’T SYNDERGAARD BE A RELIEVER BY NOW!!

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klawmoses

There were a couple of rather interesting Jays-related tidbits in today’s Keith Law chat over at ESPN.com, and since there’s a little bit of a party going on in the office at the moment, I’m… uh… I’m just going to go ahead and pass those along here, since it probably behooves me to do at least a little more work before calling it a day (apart from the Game Threat, that is)…

Bret (Toronto)
Hey Keith, I know you saw Marcus Stroman last weekend. What were your thoughts?
Klaw
I did indeed, and apologize for failing to turn it into a post. He was good, but I’m quite convinced now that he’s a reliever down the road. He had some more life on his fastball than he did in college, but still isn’t missing enough bats with it – he misses bats with the slider, and the changeup will eventually do that for him as well, but between his height and the contact on the heater, I think he’s a future closer or setup man.

If the Jays are smart enough to trade some of their relievers – Janssen and Cecil jump out as obvious candidates – there will be a spot for Stroman soon enough.

The last part here sounds pretty bang on… unless you can convince some team that Stroman is a starter and trade him. I still kinda see him– or Sean Nolin– as the Zach Stewart element of the potential 2013 edition of the Colby Rasmus trade. Darren Oliver is then Octavio Dotel. Rajai Davis is Corey Patterson. Delabar, Janssen, or Cecil are Jason Frasor. Shit, maybe even Aaron Loup is Marc Rzepczynski. Turn all that into a quality MLB ready infielder or a rotation piece that you can actually count on to be an above-average three or better in 2014? Damn right you do that. Is it possible? That’s what AA gets paid for, isn’t it?

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