Archive for the ‘Prospecting’ Category

With a bunch of promotions, injuries and regressions already changing the nature of who is considered a prospect at this point in the season, ESPN’s Keith Law has decided to revise his rankings, publishing today an updated top 25 prospects list (Insider Only)– and Las Vegas catcher Travis d’Arnaud finds himself in fourth!

That ranking is up two spots from the sixth-place ranking d’Arnaud achieved in Law’s pre-season Top 100. There was actually quite a bit of shuffling required to get there, as Matt Moore, Bryce Harper and Mike Trout have all graduated from the list, Cardinals prospect Shelby Miller dropped, while Orioles phenom Dylan Bundy and Texas shortstop Jurickson Profar vaulted over d’Arnaud into first and second respectively– with another Oriole prospect (gulp!), Manny Machado, also ahead.

“Yes, it’s Las Vegas, which is a notorious hitters’ park, but he’s on a tear right now, hitting .341 with five homers in his last 10 games,” Law writes. “The combination of plus defense, power and enough OBP makes him a potential All-Star.”

The 23-year-old catcher is the only Blue Jays prospect to make the top 25, though Law also lists Lansing pitcher Aaron Sanchez among his honourable mentions/players to keep an eye on.  That’ll play.



Yan Gomes
got the call and made his debut on May 17 against the Yankees, earning his first major-league hit with a single to center field off of Phil Hughes. Gomes’ first big-league home run came the following day as part of the Blue Jays’ 14-5 thrashing of the New York Mets.

On the farm, the biggest story of the week was the likely season-ending injury to New Hampshire catcher A.J. Jimenez, whose sore right elbow may require Tommy John surgery to repair. Instead of handing the regular job at New Hampshire to backup Brian Jeroloman, the Blue Jays promoted Sean Ochinko from Dunedin. Jeroloman hadn’t made a compelling case for more playing time, hitting .095/.240/.095 in 42 at-bats. Ochinko’s departure from the Dunedin roster opens the door for Jack Murphy to receive the lion’s share of starts behind the plate for the D-Jays. Read the rest of this entry »

 Hentgen always had a keen eye for young talent.

As an employee of the club, it’s hard not to take anything Pat Hentgen– who filled in as bullpen coach last night for Pete Walker, who is home in Connecticut due to a family medical issue–  without a mammoth grain of salt, but according to the latest from Richard Griffin’s Jays blog at the Toronto Star, the 1996 Cy Young winner really– really– likes what he sees in Lansing pitchers Aaron Sanchez and Noah Syndergaard.

You should really read Griff’s whole piece for a lot more background and extra quotes, but here’s the money shot:

“When I saw Syndergaard first, I came back and said, ‘Wow, that’s the best pitching prospect I’ve seen here since ’04-’05,’ Then when I saw Sanchez from behind the rubber, I thought, ‘Wow, now we’ve got 1 and 1-A. You know, they’re Carpenter and Halladay. That’s my best analogy. That’s what I’m thinking right there, if they develop. They’re both hard workers. They just remind me a lot of Carp and Doc. They’re big-bodied kids that haven’t even filled out yet.”

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Like with the hitters report, I made some adjustments to how stats are presented in the table below. Gone are games, games started (innings should suffice), and raw hits, home runs, strikeouts, and walks. In their places, I’ve decided to use rates (H/9, HR/9, SO%, BB%). Follow the daily progress of the Blue Jays’ top 20 prospects, as ranked by Kevin Goldstein, via the Baseball Prospectus Prospect Tracker.
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Lansing outfielder Christopher Hawkins is quietly putting together a breakout season, though his value would be greater had the 2010 third-round pick been able to stay at his high school position of third base. Jake Marisnick is also having a solid year at Dunedin, though his batting average has taken a tumble in recent weeks.

I tweaked the way stats are presented in the table below, substituting plate appearances for at-bats and replacing walks and strikeouts with percentages. Full stats are always available via each player’s Baseball-Reference link. Also, you can follow the daily progress of Blue Jays players ranked among Kevin Goldstein’s top 20 prospects by visiting the Baseball Prospectus Prospect Tracker.
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After ripping  Kevin Ahrens last week, the former first-rounder got his act together with an 11-hit week, including a five-game multi-hit streak, though he still couldn’t slug his way out of a paper bag.  At Las Vegas, Travis d’Arnaud has cooled off but Anthony Gose has been on fire at the plate and on the base paths.
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After discussing the Blue Jays’ crop of hitting prospects on Wednesday, we’ll tackle pitchers in today’s edition of Greetings From Dunedin.

Four of the organization’s most promising young arms continued to pitch in tandem at Class A Lansing, though one of the quartet was allowed to stretch his outing to a fourth inning last night. Further up the ladder, Toronto’s top picks in the 2009 and 2010 drafts continued to struggle—and not miss very many bats—at Double-A, and a 2010 supplemental first-rounder exited his most recent start after being hit on the hand with a line drive.

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