Animated FIP

Giant crotch grab to Bradley Woodrum, for not only personifying luck in the form of a dragon (dragonifying?), but explaining FIP through an animated sequence that can make sense to everyone.

You can check out Bradley’s Homebody and Woman blog as well.

Comments (13)

  1. This is just plain awesome.

  2. 100 % accurate as well.

  3. WIN!!!!! Wow. That was too good.

  4. Wouldn’t the skill of the catcher play a role in a pitcher’s FIP?

  5. @spitballer – in terms of pitch calling? It takes a lot more skill to execute the pitch than it does to call it.

  6. I know that Drew, but in the video, Bradley says that with FIP, the only factors in play are the ump, the ballpark conditions, and a bit of luck.

    I think that having a skilled catcher would help a pitcher’s performance, and I was asking if that is the case. And if it is the case, then it was erroneously omitted.

  7. I think it has been proven to be false. The whole catcher’s ERA thing is overblown, most pitchers are equally effective no matter who receives them.

    • If there’s any effect that a catcher has, it’s an unquantifiable minimum. You could also then say that the pitcher’s parents, high school coach, college coach, pitching coach, etc. all have an impact on FIP/ERA.

  8. Just curious, how does one quantify luck in these calculations?

  9. Batted ball information such as the rate at which balls in play are converted into outs. Also the rate at which fly balls turn into home runs.

  10. So a pitcher is luckier every time Aaron Hill comes up and hits a weak fly ball to short? I mean, with a little bad luck that ball would have cleared the yard.

    I just don’t see the stability in trying to quantify this. Too many variables at play. Not trying to get down on FIP as a whole, just the ‘luck’ aspect.

    • You definitely have to compare it to what else is happening with the pitcher’s numbers. You can’t just look at a high BABIP alone as evidence of luck. Compare his past BABIP and WHIPs. Kyle Farnsworth is a really good example. He pitched fairly similarly between 2009 and 2010, but his 2010 ERA and WHIP is much lower than 2009. The main difference? The batting average of the players who put balls into play against him.

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