First off, I’d like to thank everyone for a warm welcome to Getting Blanked. I’ll be a weekly contributor from here on out, and I’m ecstatic about the opportunity. I am a columnist at Beyond the Box Score and my contributions to Getting Blanked will be similar to those that I do over at BtB. You can also follow me on Twitter: @Dave_Gershman

The Jays bullpen is an interesting one to say the least. Following an off-season in which they lost Scott Downs and Kevin Gregg, Alex Anthopoulos took initiative and fixed what was a semi-depleted bullpen. With the signings of Jon Rauch and Octavio Dotel and the acquisition of Carlos Villanueva to go along with re-signing Jason Frasor, John Farrell should have no problems feeling comfortable with the right handed heavy revamped pen.

In terms of projection systems, I personally like to use Marcel. Their basic forecasting system seems to get pitchers more accurately than hitters which is why I use them for projecting certain bullpens. Thus, in terms of FIP (fielding independent pitching), as well as walks per nine innings and strikeouts per nine innings, I’ve gone with Marcel’s projections for the Jays pen.

Comments (24)

  1. Alex Anthropolous

  2. A cool follow up would be to look at the same data, if available, for the guys not making the bullpen due to FA signings. Jojo Reyes, Jesse Carlson, Josh Roenecke, Scott richmond, wilfredo ledezma and whoever else i am forgettting.

  3. I think we see Janssen get sent down before Carlson. All these guys are RHers.

  4. Can we spell the GM’s name right? Pleaaaase? Or let’s just start calling him GM Alex Snuffleupagus.

    Also, welcome Dave!

    Dustin: I think both will be sent down. The 6/7 spot -should- be down to Purcey, Reyes, and Villanueva. I’m not sure any are a lock, but I’d actually like to see Reyes get a shot at the 7th spot. They need to stop trying to make him a starter, it just doesn’t work.

  5. Anthopoulos shouldn’t be that hard to spell. It seems like almost every Greek name ends the same way. :)

    Welcome, Dave! I’m looking forward to more of your posts!

  6. I think Francisco, Rauch, Frasor and Dotel are all locks. Next group has Camp due to lack of options and then you have to consider carrying at least two LHPs. One isn’t enough, especially when Francisco (the best RHP vs. LHB) is more than likely going to end up in the closer’s role.

    It’s too bad. I’d really like to see Villanueva get a chance. Potentially impressive numbers no?

  7. I think Villanueva has a crazy amount of upside. I haven’t followed him yet in the spring, but is it possible that he could be converted back to a starter? I think that would be smart considering the depth in the ‘pen.

    Also, does Janssen still have options?

  8. Villaneuva has been getting a lot of flack because everyone expects he’s going to give up too many HRs. But he’s another guy who has always been bounced around between relief and starting. As a reliever, his K/9 jumps from 6.0 to 9.2, and K:BB goes up from 1.8 to 2.92.

    Either way, the kid has an arm and this would be his 2nd year as a defined reliever, and I’d like to see how he does. I’d also like to see how Reyes can perform as a reliever, though.

    I believe players always have more value as a starter than a reliever, but sometimes the starter experiment doesn’t work. How many years do you try until you just give someone the opportunity to make a career as a reliever?

  9. Hey guys, thanks for the welcome.

    My bad on the AA spelling. I should have just said “The awesome GM.”

  10. Welcome aboard Dave, I welcome your ability to make me look like a rank amateur with open arms.

  11. Graph off! Do it, boys.

  12. Thanks for the welcome Drew,

    and hey, you’re a natural.

  13. A natural? My lack of training and skill comes off that obviously. Sigh, looks like it’s suicide again for me.

  14. Ha. Don’t worry, Drew. I’m nothing special!

  15. I don’t understand all this love for Jo-Jo Reyes? He’s not good and just because he’s a lefty he shouldn’t be on the team. Give me Janssen or Villenuava over this guy any day of the week.

  16. Janssen has options, his spot will be taken up by Reyes. I don’t think having a second lefty is worth losing Villanueva but it might happen. I’d much rather see Purcey than Carlson in that case.

  17. I’ll take a healthy Jesse Carlson and David Purcey as my lefties over Reyes any day.

  18. @noisyflowers. I thought Villanueva still had options left.

    • Villanueva is on a Minor League deal and doesn’t Reyes still have options? He only has a year and a bit of service time. I don’t know why he’s appealing to anyone at all. I’d love to eat crow on that, but I just don’t see it.

  19. @Parkes. Even if that means losing Reyes with out taking a look against mlb hitters?

    Worst scenario would be to hold onto Reyes but not give him innings and then release him at the end of April.

  20. I would never take Reyes over Villanueva, but I fail to see why Carlson is any better of an option.

  21. Ugh. That drop-shadow, it burns.

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