The Milwaukee Brewers and Ryan Braun have agreed on a five year $105 million extension to be tacked on to the end of his already existing a seven-year, $45 million contract which was signed in 2008 and doesn’t expire until 2015. The new deal means that Braun will remain with the Brewers until 2020 with a mutual option for 2021.

Here’s how Braun’s annual salary will break down after earning $4 million this year: Signing bonus – $10 million, 2012 – $6 million, 2013 – $8.5 million, 2014 – $10 million, 2015 – $12 million, 2016 – $19 million, 2017 – $19 million, 2018 – $19 million, 2019 – $18 million, 2020 – $16 million, 2021 – $20 million mutual option or $4 million buyout. And that’s why he doesn’t feel the need to yield to a third base coach.

Brewers Chairman and Principal Owner Mark Attanasio:

One of the cornerstone pledges we made when purchasing the Brewers was to build a perennially competitive team, and Ryan Braun has already shown that he is a very rare and special talent. This is an historic occasion for our franchise and for our fans, knowing that we were able to make Ryan’s desire to wear a Brewers uniform for the long term a reality.

The first comparison that comes to mind is Troy Tulowitzki. Both were selected in the early part of the 2005 draft and they are the only two players in all of Major League Baseball now signed through the year 2020. Braun and Tulowitzki also signed their latest deals despite having multiple years left on pre-existing contracts.

Obviously, both are great players and if it works out, $105 million for five more years might be a very good bargain for the Brewers who already locked up Rickie Weeks until 2015 this past February. However, just like Tulowitzki’s contract, I don’t understand the benefit of locking a guy up past his present contract when multiple years at a good rate remain. It seems to me like an unnecessary risk considering how much can change in baseball between potential injuries, future performance and the development path of youngsters already in an organization.

Comments (12)

  1. I’m seeing a big decline for him after his prime, right when the additional 5 years kick in. His OBP is AVG driven right now and he’s a terrible OF. So they just agreed to pay 105m for those declining years for no reason at all other than “we need to keep our stars”, I guess. At least Tulo would move to 3B and still be valuable.

    • I wouldn’t say it’s average driven. He’s been around league average in walk rate. Still, I don’t really get these extension to extension contracts at all. What’s the point in taking on that much risk? Saving a few million each year, if he’s really good and staves of his decline years longer than most?

  2. Dustin,

    Why no mention of your favorite anti-Bautista-contract argument? Age regression? Seems a little strange that you beat that horse to death with a guy who is signed for 5/65 and won’t be nearly as old or over paid as these guys in the twilight of their careers.

    What gives?

  3. Extended warranty? How can I lose?!

  4. Now this is a bad contract.

  5. I… don’t understand. Weird.

  6. Hey moron, Parkes didn’t bring it up because not everything is comparable to the little bit of baseball that you know about.

    As Parkes has said a million times, there’s a difference between decline and regression. Learn it.

  7. Whoa…got out of hand quick here. Jeez. Everyone just take it easy.

    I don’t understand the deal either, nor did I understand the Tulo deal…at least Tulowitzki has upside defensively whereas Braun only stands to get worse in the outfield as he ages which could mean disaster at some point. I don’t know why you’d extend an extension. Weird.

    Apparently this is going to be the new trend for entering-their-prime players/

  8. hey, “jerky” maybe he should talk about the contacts in the way he talked about bautista’s? and yes, i was referring to declining production in like, say, 2018. but thanks anyway fucking clown.

  9. Ryan Braun is three years older than Bautista. This would have been the equivalent of the Blue Jays given Bautista a 7 year contract with an option for an 8th year, age wise. If you thought the 5 year Bautista contract was too much, this is much worse. Especially since the Blue Jays were basically forced into a corner with Bautista. No such case here for the Hebrew Hammer.

  10. So much hostility…makes me sad.

  11. Whoa. Simmer.

    Regression refers to a player coming back or moving up to more expected numbers (technically, you can regress up). Decline refers to the expected drop in numbers one undergoes as one gets older.

    Talking about regression in Braun isn’t an issue because he’s been fairly consistently good as a Major Leaguer. I didn’t think comparing his expected decline to Bautista was necessary because they’re different ages and have completely different deals.

    I made no bones about not liking the deal, so I don’t really understand what the problem is. Not to side with Jerky, but not everything compares to Bautista. There’s a far more apt comparison in Tulowitzki.

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