Despite what Pat Tabler may want to tell you over and over again during each and every Toronto Blue Jays game being broadcast on Rogers Sportsnet, getting to third base with two out is not much of a value add (run expectancy increase of .029), especially considering the cost of attempting to do so.

There’s an old adage in baseball that’s probably actually accurate for once: you don’t want to be the third out of an inning at third base.