We’ll get into the two goats for tonight’s 4-2 loss in a little while, but I would like to mention Detroit’s starter Max Scherzer who threw seven innings, giving up only two runs on seven hits and a walk while striking out nine batters. Despite tiring near the end of his outing, Scherzer mixed his speeds very well and confused Jays batters for most of the night.
Most Important Play Of The Game
With one out in the bottom of the eighth inning and Austin Jackson on second base, Jhonny Peralta hit a short liner to right field off of Shawn Camp. Jose Bautista got a bad jump on the ball and ran in late, diving at the last second and taking his eyes off the ball as it came in. It went past him and allowed Jackson to score and Peralta to get all the way around to third base.
The Tigers probability of winning increased by 25% on the play. So, uh, when is this guy moving to third base?
Biggest Disappointment Of The Game
With the bases loaded and one out in the top of the sixth inning, Aaron Hill grounded into a 3-2-3 double play, decreasing the chances of a Toronto Blue Jays victory by 21.5%. It’s the equivalent of approaching a girl, getting along and burping just before asking her out.
The Shamsky Award
Named after Art Shamsky, who single handedly increased the Cincinnati Reds’ chances of winning by 150.3% in a losing effort during a game in 1966, The Shamsky Award is given to the player on the losing team who contributes the most to them winning.
Technically, tonight’s Shamsky should go to Jose Bautista whose two hits and one run batted in increased the Jays probability of winning by almost 12%. But his attempted dive, even if it was a tough play, cost the Jays the game in the eighth inning.
Therefore I’m giving it to Adam Lind, whose solo home run in the fourth inning added to his total WPA of 6.1%.
The Aggravating Thing That John Farrell Did
Why would you leave lefty Marc Rzepczynski in to pitch to right handed batter Magglio Ordonez? It’s not as awful of a call as you might imagine. Over his career Ordonez has been a good hitter against both right handers and left handers. However, there is a .033 difference between his career wOBA of .405 vs. lefties and .372 vs. righties.
The Statistics You Won’t Believe
Coming into tonight’s game, both Mike McCoy and Juan Rivera had a higher wOBA and OPS than Jose Bautista this month.
After 100 plate appearances this season, Jose Molina is getting on base more than 39% of the time.
Eric Thames’ BABIP is .452, his regular batting average is only .298. That’s the biggest difference in baseball and the second highest BABIP of any player with more than 50 PAs.
In the month of June, Victor Martinez has not swung and missed at a single pitch in the strike zone.
Only Miguel Olivo has seen a higher percentage of sliders than Rajai Davis this month.
Yunel Escobar swings at fewer pitches outside of the strike zone than any other player on the Blue Jays, including Jose Bautsita. Only seven other batters in the American League swing at less.
Juan Rivera has ground into more double plays than any other player on the Blue Jays.
Jason Frasor’s shaky, but scoreless seventh inning was an official shutdown, increasing his team’s win probability by 8.9%. It’s his tenth of the season. Unfortunately, Shawn Camp was given an official meltdown for his part in a disastrous eighth inning, but in fairness it should be at least partially shared with Jose Bautista and Marc Rzepczynski.
Carefully Selected Quote Cliche Of The Game
From Baseball Prospectus, tonight, like the last few nights, I’ll go with:
When it comes to my at-bats, I should have done a better job. He kept us off balance. You’ve just got to tip your cap. We had our chances through this lineup to get a hit. Opportunities are there, but we just haven’t seen them get that hit.
Stray Observations Of The Game
Comerica Park is so beautiful. If you’ve ever been to Detroit before and then were shown photographs of the Tigers’ ballpark, you would never believe its location.
Why do telecasts show a player’s RBIs even when there’s no one on base?
Miguel Cabrera’s run in the second inning left me curious. It looked as though Yunel Escobar got the relay from Victor Martinez’s double with plenty of time to throw home, but he just sort of watched him score instead.
In the early going, Zack Stewart had the rare combination of being incredibly unlucky with hits and incredibly lucky with outs. He gave up nine hits and a walk tonight, and while several of the hits were of the seeing eye variety, a few of his outs were the direct result of great defensive plays by Aaron Hill.
In the top of the seventh, Rajai Davis attempted a bunt with two out and a runner on second. From what I could tell the infield was playing back, and so I don’t think that this was a horrible idea.
In the bottom of the seventh, first base umpire Ed Rapuano watched a sac bunt unfold right in front of him, but completely froze on making a call. He eventually said that Andy Dirks was safe, but was rightly overruled by the home plate umpire. Jim Leyland did not appreciate this, and was thrown out of the game.
Jose Valverde is only charming when he’s not pitching against your favourite team.
Don’t forget that The Score is airing the first episode of Eastbound And Down at 11:15 PM EDT tonight. After the show, check out Getting Blanked for a review of the pilot episode.