Say what you will about Aaron Hill’s horrid hitting, but the guy sure can play some mean defense. He even collects outs for the other team. Heyo!

We’ll get into the two goats for tonight’s 4-2 loss in a little while, but I would like to mention Detroit’s starter Max Scherzer who threw seven innings, giving up only two runs on seven hits and a walk while striking out nine batters. Despite tiring near the end of his outing, Scherzer mixed his speeds very well and confused Jays batters for most of the night.

Most Important Play Of The Game

With one out in the bottom of the eighth inning and Austin Jackson on second base, Jhonny Peralta hit a short liner to right field off of Shawn Camp. Jose Bautista got a bad jump on the ball and ran in late, diving at the last second and taking his eyes off the ball as it came in. It went past him and allowed Jackson to score and Peralta to get all the way around to third base.

The Tigers probability of winning increased by 25% on the play. So, uh, when is this guy moving to third base?

Biggest Disappointment Of The Game

With the bases loaded and one out in the top of the sixth inning, Aaron Hill grounded into a 3-2-3 double play, decreasing the chances of a Toronto Blue Jays victory by 21.5%. It’s the equivalent of approaching a girl, getting along and burping just before asking her out.

The Shamsky Award

Named after Art Shamsky, who single handedly increased the Cincinnati Reds’ chances of winning by 150.3% in a losing effort during a game in 1966, The Shamsky Award is given to the player on the losing team who contributes the most to them winning.

Technically, tonight’s Shamsky should go to Jose Bautista whose two hits and one run batted in increased the Jays probability of winning by almost 12%. But his attempted dive, even if it was a tough play, cost the Jays the game in the eighth inning.

Therefore I’m giving it to Adam Lind, whose solo home run in the fourth inning added to his total WPA of 6.1%.

The Aggravating Thing That John Farrell Did

Why would you leave lefty Marc Rzepczynski in to pitch to right handed batter Magglio Ordonez? It’s not as awful of a call as you might imagine. Over his career Ordonez has been a good hitter against both right handers and left handers. However, there is a .033 difference between his career wOBA of .405 vs. lefties and .372 vs. righties.

The Statistics You Won’t Believe

Coming into tonight’s game, both Mike McCoy and Juan Rivera had a higher wOBA and OPS than Jose Bautista this month.

After 100 plate appearances this season, Jose Molina is getting on base more than 39% of the time.

Eric Thames’ BABIP is .452, his regular batting average is only .298. That’s the biggest difference in baseball and the second highest BABIP of any player with more than 50 PAs.

In the month of June, Victor Martinez has not swung and missed at a single pitch in the strike zone.

Only Miguel Olivo has seen a higher percentage of sliders than Rajai Davis this month.

Yunel Escobar swings at fewer pitches outside of the strike zone than any other player on the Blue Jays, including Jose Bautsita. Only seven other batters in the American League swing at less.

Juan Rivera has ground into more double plays than any other player on the Blue Jays.

Shutdowns/Meltdowns

Jason Frasor’s shaky, but scoreless seventh inning was an official shutdown, increasing his team’s win probability by 8.9%. It’s his tenth of the season. Unfortunately, Shawn Camp was given an official meltdown for his part in a disastrous eighth inning, but in fairness it should be at least partially shared with Jose Bautista and Marc Rzepczynski.

Carefully Selected Quote Cliche Of The Game

From Baseball Prospectus, tonight, like the last few nights, I’ll go with:

When it comes to my at-bats, I should have done a better job. He kept us off balance. You’ve just got to tip your cap. We had our chances through this lineup to get a hit. Opportunities are there, but we just haven’t seen them get that hit.

Stray Observations Of The Game

Comerica Park is so beautiful. If you’ve ever been to Detroit before and then were shown photographs of the Tigers’ ballpark, you would never believe its location.

Why do telecasts show a player’s RBIs even when there’s no one on base?

Miguel Cabrera’s run in the second inning left me curious. It looked as though Yunel Escobar got the relay from Victor Martinez’s double with plenty of time to throw home, but he just sort of watched him score instead.

In the early going, Zack Stewart had the rare combination of being incredibly unlucky with hits and incredibly lucky with outs. He gave up nine hits and a walk tonight, and while several of the hits were of the seeing eye variety, a few of his outs were the direct result of great defensive plays by Aaron Hill.

In the top of the seventh, Rajai Davis attempted a bunt with two out and a runner on second. From what I could tell the infield was playing back, and so I don’t think that this was a horrible idea.

In the bottom of the seventh, first base umpire Ed Rapuano watched a sac bunt unfold right in front of him, but completely froze on making a call. He eventually said that Andy Dirks was safe, but was rightly overruled by the home plate umpire. Jim Leyland did not appreciate this, and was thrown out of the game.

Jose Valverde is only charming when he’s not pitching against your favourite team.

Don’t forget that The Score is airing the first episode of Eastbound And Down at 11:15 PM EDT tonight. After the show, check out Getting Blanked for a review of the pilot episode.

Comments (15)

  1. “The Statistics You Won’t Believe

    Coming into tonight’s game, both Mike McCoy and Juan Rivera had a higher wOBA and OPS than Jose Bautista.”

    I assume you mean in June?

  2. “Coming into tonight’s game, both Mike McCoy and Juan Rivera had a higher wOBA and OPS than Jose Bautista.”

    I assume that there’s something missing in this sentence, because, well…

  3. I actually do believe that Rivera has hit into more DPs then any other Blue Jay!

  4. Eric Thames’ BABIP is .452, his regular batting average is only .298. That’s the biggest difference in baseball and the second highest BABIP of any player with more than 50 PAs

    sooooooooooooooooo????????????????????

  5. I, too, have no problem believing Rivera has hit into the most double plays.

    It’s funny you mentioned the beauty of Comerica PArk, because last night I said how it’s nice that in the skyline view from inside Comerica all the buildings still have windows. If you ever take the Windsor-Detroit tunnel, one of the first things you see is a hulk of a burnt out building, windowless, empty.

    Did anybody else see Valverde after the Rivera double play? He wanted some lovin from the first baseman (don’t remember who was playing first), and the guy went right by him. So Valverde says fine, and halfheartedly does his arm thing at first.

  6. “Jose Bautista got a bad jump on the ball and ran in late, diving at the last second and taking his eyes off the ball as it came in. It went past him and allowed Jackson to score and Peralta to get all the way around to third base.”

    Bautista’s play was very catchable, it actually went through his outstretched legs, so I’m not exactly sure how you can fault him for diving for it. If you believe him (and I’m not sure why you wouldn’t), he missed it because it got caught in the lights.

    “The Tigers probability of winning increased by 25% on the play. So, uh, when is this guy moving to third base?”

    Hopefully never. He’s a career -9.6 UZR/150 at third with -25 DRS. In RF, he’s only a -2.2 UZR/150 with 12 DRS (3 DRS in 2011). Still can’t say I understand this urge to put Bautista at a position he is far worse at (doesn’t anybody remember this from last season?), a position that he doesn’t want to play, and a position that he won’t be playing for longer than a few months. What’s the point, exactly? To get an extra win out of a season that doesn’t matter, anyway? Leave Bautista in his better and preferred position instead of making the best player in baseball into a stopgap solution.

  7. Bautista’s OPS and wOBA in June: .794, .340
    Rivera’s OPS and wOBA in June: .758, .333
    Mike McCoy OPS and wOBA in June (in only 31 PA): .770, .343

    If that’s Bautista slumping, I think we’ll take it. Small sample size, obviously, but this also makes me wonder why Farrell continued to start the always horrible Jayson Nix over McCoy.

  8. I hope for better analysis from you than Feschuk-like kneejerk reactions based on difficult plays (http://tinyurl.com/3fsyeem). If you’re going to argue one way, you better back it up with facts. We all should.

  9. Bautista ran down a couple of well-hit balls in the Cardinals series that certainly looked like hits. And Fullman’s correct — his UZR is way worse at 3B.

    Granted, he’s not the best rightfielder in baseball, but he shouldn’t be demonized for one play that he has already claimed got past him because of the lights.

    A Fluke accident. It happens.

  10. Please. The third base comment is tongue in cheek. I don’t think the dive was the right call, or that Bautista is necessarily a great right fielder, but I see no point in moving him third just to move him back whenever Brett Lawrie is ready to play. It’s not like they need to get Rivera and Patterson into the lineup.

  11. And I very much resent the Feschuck comparison. Very much.

  12. Two things about that article (other than the obvious kneejerkness)….the first is that Bautista does not seem as ready and willing to play 3B as many were saying last week.

    The second was this justification for the move: “to provide more regular playing time to the Jays’ rotation of outfielders, including Juan Rivera, Corey Patterson, Rajai Davis and Eric Thames.”

    So while we’re not going to see Nix any longer, the move is designed to make us see more of Rivara, Patterson, and Davis? Not exactly the best trade off in the world.

    I’ve been in favor of platooning Patterson and Davis in CF, but Wilner was going on about Snider being given the chance to play CF last night. It’s an intriguing option.

  13. “Please. The third base comment is tongue in cheek. I don’t think the dive was the right call, or that Bautista is necessarily a great right fielder, but I see no point in moving him third just to move him back whenever Brett Lawrie is ready to play. It’s not like they need to get Rivera and Patterson into the lineup.”

    How am I to know that? You spent some of this review blaming him for a loss that wasn’t exactly his fault at all. I could be wrong, but weren’t you in favor of moving Bautista to 3rd last week? I haven’t been watching your live streams lately…perhaps I’m mistaken and you’ve said differently.

    If you were going to move Bautista to 3rd, it should have happened at the beginning of the year, before three months of Jayson Nix futility helped the team fall out of the race and before Bautista was in the middle of a 5.1 WAR season at RF. It very much surprised me that the Jays were going to treat their superstar player as a stopgap solution, and I suspect it surprised Bautista too. I wouldn’t go so far to say that the Jays have disrespected him, but it’s a possibility.

    “And I very much resent the Feschuck comparison. Very much.”

    Haha, it was too easy after reading both articles this morning.

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