The Toronto Blue Jays clearly won the 12-player blockbuster trade with the Miami Marlins. Odds makers even thinks as much, dropping their World Series odds from 100-1 just two weeks ago down to 9-1.
After the trade became official, we saw a version of what the Jays lineup will look like come opening day in 2013. But what about the Marlins lineup? Fans are upset with the fire sale, upset with Jeffrey Loria, but let’s be realistic here. The Marlins have to actually write out a lineup card on opening day against the Nationals in Washington, whether they want to or not.
What will lineup look like? Who will be the starting five?
When you actually look at the projected lineup you wonder if the team will even come close to 60 wins. Just to compare, the Houston Astros, who are in a ton of trouble this year moving to the American League West, have similiar issues with their lineup and may struggle to come close to their 55 win season of 2012.
|Marlins projected lineup (with 2012 stats)||Astros projected lineup (with 2012 stats)|
|1. LF – Juan Pierre: .307/.351/.371||1. 2B – Jose Altuve: .290/.340/.399|
|2. CF – Justin Ruggiano: .313/.374/.535||2. SS – Jed Lowrie: .244/.331/.438|
|3. 1B – Logan Morrison: .230/.308/.399||3. 1B – Brett Wallace: .253/.323/.424|
|4. RF – Giancarlo Stanton: .290/.361/.608||4. DH – Matt Dominguez: .284/.310/.477|
|5. 3B – Yunel Escobar: .253/.300/.344||5. LF – Fernando Martinez: .237/.300/.466|
|6.2B – Donovan Solano: .295/.342/.375||6. 3B – Tyler Greene: .230/.274/.400|
|7. C – Rob Brantly: .290/.372/.460||7. RF – J.D. Martinez: .241/.311/.375|
|8. SS – Adeiny Hechavarria: .254/.280/.365||8. C – Jason Castro: .257/.334/.401|
|9. Pitcher Spot||9. CF – Justin Maxwell: .229/.304/.460|
Note: The Marlins are thinking of moving Escobar to third, but have also reportedly been discussing him in trades with other clubs.
It’s hard to believe that two major league lineups might not even be the best in most Double-A games. (minus Stanton of course!)
|Marlins Projected rotation (with 2012 stats)||Astros Projected Rotation (with 2012 stats)|
|1. Ricky Nolasco: 4.48 ERA / 3.76 FIP||1. Bud Norris: 4.65 ERA / 4.23 FIP|
|2. Henderson Alvarez: 4.85 ERA / 5.18 FIP||2. Lucas Harrell: 3.76 ERA / 3.75 FIP|
|3. Wade LeBlanc: 3.67 ERA / 4.04 FIP||3. Jordan Lyles: 5.09 ERA / 4.53 FIP|
|4. Nate Eovaldi: 4.30 ERA / 4.13 FIP||4. Dallas Keuchel: 5.27 ERA / 5.74 FIP|
|5. Jacob Turner: 4.42 ERA / 4.79 FIP||5. Jarred Cosart: 2.60 ERA / 2.98 FIP (AAA)|
Note: If the Marlins deal Nolasco, Alvarez will be the #1 starter? For the Astros, Norris and Harrell can compete against the new division rivals – Angels, Mariners, Athletics and Rangers – but unless they upgrade 3 through 5, it’s going to be a long year, new uniforms and all.