NLCS Workout Session

With spring training finally underway for pitchers and catchers, team executives are already thinking about strategically setting up their team rotations this spring in order to have them ready for the season. Many teams around the league are set one through three, but have question marks with the back end of the rotation. Who wins those battles is far from being decided, but we can at least speculate at this point the look of each team’s rotation heading into the season.

Over the next week, we will take a look at how each team’s rotation looked to start the season in 2012 compared to the projected look for 2013.

We start with the National League West.

San Francisco Giants

2012 Opening Day Rotation 2013 Projected Rotation
1. Tim Lincecum: 10-15, 5.18 ERA, 4.18 FIP 1. Matt Cain: 17-8, 2.95 ERA, 3.31 FIP
2. Madison Bumgarner: 16-11, 3.37 ERA, 3.50 FIP 2. Madison Bumgarner: 13-9, 3.37 ERA, 3.20 FIP
3. Matt Cain: 16-5, 2.79 ERA, 3.40 FIP 3. Tim Lincecum: 13-9, 3.47 ERA, 3.34 FIP
4. Barry Zito: 15-8, 4.15 ERA, 4.49 FIP 4. Ryan Vogelsong: 11-10, 3.75 ERA, 3.68 FIP
5. Ryan Vogelsong: 14-9, 3.37 ERA, 3.70 FIP 5. Barry Zito: 11-11, 3.94 ERA, 4.33 FIP

Thoughts: As you can see, the Giants made no changes from 2012, keeping their rotation intact for another season.

Los Angeles Dodgers

2012 Opening Day Rotation 2013 Projected Rotation
 1. Clayton Kershaw: 14-9, 2.53 ERA, 2.89 FIP  1. Clayton Kershaw: 18-7, 2.65 ERA, 2.67 FIP
 2. Chad Billingsley: 10-9, 3.55 ERA, 3.34 FIP  2. Zack Greinke: 15-10, 3.45 ERA, 3.16 FIP
 3. Chris Capuano: 12-12, 3.72 ERA, 3.95 FIP  3. Hyun-Jin Ryu: N/A
 4. Aaron Harang: 10-10, 3.61 ERA, 4.14 FIP  4. Josh Beckett: 13-7, 3.26 ERA, 3.62 FIP
 5. Ted Lilly: 5-1, 3.14 ERA, 3.92 FIP  5. Chris Capuano: 10-11, 3.90 ERA, 3.97 FIP

Thoughts: Big changes in L.A. this year, as Greinke joins a rotation featuring ace Clayton Kershaw and a host of others with experience. The Dodgers also have Chad Billingsley, Ted Lilly and Aaron Harang on the roster as depth in case the Dodgers suffer early injuries in spring. Billingsley, who missed time last season with an elbow injury, chose to have platelet-rich plasma injections in the off season over Tommy John surgery.

San Diego Padres

2012 Opening Day Rotation 2013 Projected Rotation
 1. Edinson Volquez: 11-11, 4.14 ERA, 4.06 FIP  1. Clayton Richard: 12-12, 4.29 ERA, 4.06 FIP
 2. Cory Luebke: 3-1, 2.61 ERA, 2.80 FIP  2. Edinson Volquez: 9-10, 3.98 ERA, 4.15 FIP
 3. Dustin Moseley: 0-0, 9.00 ERA, 5.29 FIP  3. Jason Marquis: 6-9, 4.50 ERA, 4.46 FIP
 4. Clayton Richard: 14-14, 3.99 ERA, 4.62 FIP  4. Tyson Ross: 2-4, 4.25 ERA, 3.97 FIP
 5. Anthony Bass: 2-8, 4.73 ERA, 4.02 FIP  5. Anthony Bass: 8-7, 3.61 ERA, 3.70 FIP

Thoughts: The Padres have been rumored to still be looking for veteran pitching even after signing Freddy Garcia to a minor-league deal. If Ross or Bass don’t work out early, the team may turn to Eric Stults or Casey Kelly.

Arizona Diamondbacks

2012 Opening Day Rotation 2013 Projected Rotation
 1. Ian Kennedy: 15-12, 4.02 ERA, 4.04 FIP  1. Ian Kennedy: 13-10, 3.49 ERA, 3.66 FIP
 2. Daniel Hudson: 3-2, 7.35 ERA, 4.84 FIP  2. Brandon McCarthy: 11-9, 3.46 ERA, 3.54 FIP
 3. Wade Miley: 16-11, 3.33 ERA, 3.15 FIP  3. Trevor Cahill: 12-11, 3.79 ERA, 4.14 FIP
 4. Trevor Cahill: 13-12, 3.78 ERA, 3.85 FIP  4. Wade Miley: 12-10, 3.57 ERA, 3.43 FIP
 5. Joe Saunders: 9-13, 4.07 ERA, 4.08 FIP  5. Patrick Corbin: 8-9, 3.92 ERA, 3.45 FIP

Thoughts: The addition of Brandon McCarthy for the injured Daniel Hudson is a nice upgrade for the snakes. The depth they have with their starters is a major strength for Arizona, with Tyler Skaggs and Randall Delgado waiting in the wings.

Colorado Rockies

2012 Opening Day Rotation 2013 Projected Rotation
 1. Jeremy Guthrie: 8-12, 4.76 ERA, 5.10 FIP  1. Jhoulys Chacin: 9-9, 3.92 ERA, 4.11 FIP
 2. Jamie Moyer: 2-5, 5.70 ERA, 5.54 FIP  2. Jorge De La Rosa: 8-9, 4.23 ERA, 4.14 FIP
 3. Juan Nicasio: 2-3, 5.28 ERA, 3.99 FIP  3. Jeff Francis: 8-10, 4.55 ERA, 3.92 FIP
 4. Jhoulys Chacin: 3-5, 4.43 ERA, 5.15 FIP  4. Juan Nicasio: 10-8, 4.23 ERA, 3.95 FIP
 5. Drew Pomeranz: 2-9, 4.93 ERA, 4.81 FIP  5. Drew Pomeranz: 9-8, 4.61 ERA, 4.35 FIP

Thoughts: I had to check several times to make sure I wasn’t seeing things in regards to Moyer starting the season as the Rockies #2 last year. It’s going to be a long year in Colorado if this projected staff takes the mound. Tyler Chatwood and Christian Friedrich round out the Rockies top 7.

Stats and projections Via: Fangraphs

Comments (6)

  1. Man that Rockies rotation is terrible. All they did was replace Moyer with Francis which is not what I would really call an upgrade of epic proportions. Gonna be a looooong year at Coors.

  2. like the write up on these, looking forward to the other 5.

    Man, LA is deep, but I think SF is going to have the best rotation in that div. If Tim and Barry rebound, they could have 3-4 Ace level pitchers on that team, they may even be one of the best in the MLB by the time Sept rolls around.

  3. the d-backs also look pretty good…

  4. How does the Rockies 2012 rotation win 17 games and the projected wins for 2013 total 44…

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