Archive for the ‘Jacoby Ellsbury’ Category

RICH! SO F*&KING RICH

RICH! SO F*&KING RICH

The bad old days are here again. The New York Yankees, as is their five-year tradition, are spending money like only the New York Yankees can. The Brian McCann signing isn’t even official yet (press event Thursday) and now the Yankees have signed Jacoby Ellsbury to a seven-year contract reportedly worth more than $150 million dollars. US dollars. Legal tender.

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Boston Red Sox v New York Yankees

Where have all the stolen bases gone? It’s not worth sending out a search party, but players are stealing fewer bases these days:

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Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

I love projections. Using empirically-derived weights, they reach back just far enough for data to give us a glimpse into the future. They ignore all the things that we hunger for on a daily level: swing changes, health, mindset, team cohesiveness. Just: what does this player’s past numbers say about his future?

I hate projections. They don’t care about any of the things we care about on a daily level. And if we were all going to play fantasy using the same set of projections, it would be mighty tough to trade players. Or draft players. Or do anything. The beauty is in between the numbers, where our intuition lives.

I use projections, and I also don’t. Of course this is the ‘real’ answer. Much like the debate about stats versus scouts in real baseball, no fantasy baseballer can ignore the day-to-day changes in a player’s profile, nor can they ignore the baseline set by projections. The truth is almost always in between.

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Boston Red Sox v New York Yankees

UPDATE: After the game, Ellsbury updated his condition, and it seems as if he should be fine.

“I just stepped on the base and kind of rolled my ankle a little bit,” said Ellsbury. “It just got a little tight, but it’s nothing of a concern. … The way I feel, I feel good about it.”

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Boston Red Sox outfielder Jacoby Ellsbury was forced to leave today’s spring game against the Philadelphia Phillies after he appeared to injure his ankle while sliding back into first base.

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