Earlier this week I told a half lie, which is only half as bad as a full lie. Relaying the latest report on Rob Gronkowski’s ankle, the post in question was titled “Don’t worry, Rob Gronkowski is fine.” He still is fine, at least in the sense that the danger of him missing the Super Bowl is very minimal.

But now as more information begins to trickle out as it always does with Super Bowl injuries, we’re learning the extent of Gronk’s ankle ailment, and while the latest word certainly isn’t crippling, it’s not promising either. It’s somewhere in the vast, vague wasteland in between.

Father always knows best, and Gordy Gronkowski, the man of the Gronk household, told WIVB that his son has a high-ankle sprain. He made those comments Wednesday, but they’re just surfacing now through Tom Curran of CSN New England.

This isn’t surprising news, or at least it shouldn’t be. When he was tackled by Bernard Pollard in the third quarter of last Sunday’s AFC Championship game, Gronkowski’s ankle bent in a direction that ankles were not designed to bend, and after the game he was hobbling around in a walking boot. He wasn’t on the field for New England’s first practice yesterday to prepare for their Super Bowl showdown against the Giants, and he’ll likely either sit out entirely or be a limited participant and nurse the injury until testing it next week as the regular game-week practice schedule picks up.

Gronkowski being inactive for the Super Bowl still remains unlikely. However, now that we know the nature of his injury, we have a little bit more ammunition during our week of speculation, and I’m still pegging the over/under on Gronkowski name drops in this space before Feb. 5 at around 42.

While he can easily play through a high-ankle sprain, it’s an injury that’s been notoriously cumbersome depending on the severity. Late in the season we watched as Ben Roethlisberger played through his own high-ankle injury, and he was wildly ineffective and clearly restricted. Roethlisberger threw three interceptions and had two fumbles (one lost) during a 20-3 drubbing on the road against San Francisco in Week 15, and his passer rating was a season low 52.3.

Although his father says Gronkowski will be fine, and Bill Belichick is saying nothing and will continue to say nothing, what’s troubling for the Patriots is that Roethlisberger didn’t even have a Grade 3 sprain, the most severe variety.

Gronk will play, but he might not quite be Gronk. The solution and remedy? More nurses. Many, many more nurses.

XLVI Preview: Special teams

We’ve broken down all layers of offense and defense when it comes to the matchups that lie ahead in Super Bowl XLVI. And although it’s a myth that special teams special teams are one-third of the game, it is a fact that crucial special teams plays are a big reason why the Giants got past the 49ers and the Patriots survived the Ravens to get to where they are right now.

So, let’s complete our due diligence and break it down.

Kickers

Lawrence Tynes (Giants): Twice in four years now Tynes has made a game-winning kick in overtime to send the Giants to the Super Bowl. What many might not remember is that Tynes missed two potential game-winners earlier in that 2007 tilt with Green Bay, including a 36-yarder with no time left on the clock. So despite the big-time overtime kicks, Tynes still scares Giants fans. He’s already missed twice in these playoffs from 40 yards or less (one was blocked) and he made only four of eight attempts from beyond 39 yards during a regular season marred a bit by injury. His overall percentage of 79 was below the league average.

Stephen Gostkowski (Patriots): He hasn’t actually been asked to make many big kicks of late (his two field goals against the Ravens were from inside of 30 yards), but Gostkowski has only missed one kick since Week 12…and that was from 51 yards out, in New England, in December. He’s simply one of the most consistent kickers in the league, and he’s been above the league average four of the last five years. He’s less of a liability than Tynes is on gimmes, and he’s also been better from long range.

Punters

Steve Weatherford (Giants): The veteran had a career year after supplanting golden boy (is it possible to be a golden boy punter?) and scapegoat Matt Dodge in training camp. All year long he was solid, not spectacular. He’s held steady in the playoffs, and has the second-most punts inside the 20-yard line among playoff punters. He did a fantastic job in a punt-riddled matchup with Andy Lee and the 49ers last weekend.

Zoltan Mesko (Patriots): Believe it or not, Mesko hasn’t even been the best punter on his own team in terms of average these playoffs. That distinction goes to Tom Brady, who had a 48-yarder on a bit of a lark in the divisional playoffs. A fifth-round pick in 2010, Mesko lived up to high expectations during the 2011 regular season by posting the third-highest net average in the league. But his numbers have dropped a bit on a small sample size in these playoffs. Mesko’s good, but he’s not a game-changer at this early stage of his career.

Returners

Although New England’s Danny Woodhead has looked good on kick returns in the playoffs, neither team really has an edge in that category. Both failed to take a kickoff to the house during the regular season, and Jerrel Jernigan and Devin Thomas have been just as good as Woodhead and Julian Edelman.

But the Pats have been much better on punt returns, with an average that is four yards better than New York’s. They also scored a touchdown on a punt return (Edelman in Week 11 against the Chiefs), and had two 20-yarders (the Giants had none). I’ll go with Edelman, who also took one to the house against the Dolphins in 2010, and Wes Welker over Aaron Ross and Will Blackmon.

Coverage/intangibles 

I guess the most important thing to mention here is that the Giants forced (or at least recovered) two fumbles on special teams in the NFC championship game against San Francisco, with the unheralded Jacquian Williams and Devin Thomas making huge plays. And that’s important, because Edelman has fumbled three teams on returns this year, losing one.

Edge: Patriots.

  • Amidst all the idiotic death threats and Twitter hate Kyle Williams received from grown, adult men, it’s fitting that a seven-year-old wanted to reach out directly to the 49ers kick returner and offer words of encouragement through his old-fashioned, scribbled snail mail letter pictured above.
  • Devin Thomas insists that the Giants’ punt coverage unit wasn’t targeting Williams’ head.
  • We’re a few days away from officially being able to say that it’s Super Bowl week, but sadly we’re still seeing headlines about the Jets’ dysfunction and disarray, even though New York’s other team hasn’t played a game in nearly a month. This time the headlines have been generated by Darrelle Revis, who told Manish Mehta of the New York Daily News that Rex Ryan had no idea how deep the locker room divide went.
  • The other major non-Super Bowl headline we’ve read all week is the same one we’ll be seeing all offseason. It pertains to the situation of a certain Colts quarterback, and as Bob Kravitz writes, even those who were stubbornly clinging to the belief that Peyton Manning isn’t done in Indy are likely struggling with their delusion now. Manning responded to Jim Irsay‘s comments yesterday with more exclusive comments to Kravitz after the Colts owner called him “a politician,” and No. 18 predictably said it wasn’t his intention to create a divide or personal conflict with his initial comments earlier this week. I just used the word “comments” three times in that sentence. The word tossing in Indy is just beginning folks.
  • If Manning is released, his agent Tom Condon said he’ll “consider his options.”
  • Alright, so if we’re going to dwell on dramatics today, let’s at least return to the Super Bowl, a game that Chad Ochocinco might play in, but probably not. For the first time in his professional life Ochocinco has been humbled, and he told The Associated Press that he’s happy and wouldn’t change a thing about this year, but his competitive side is still angry.
  • If you think Lawrence Tynes was nervous before his game-winning and NFC Championship-clinching field goal against the 49ers last Sunday, try being his wife.
  • Filip Bondy thinks that with the Patriots’ seven-year run without a championship, this Super Bowl is Bill Belichick‘s last chance to prove that he’s still a mastermind, and that he hasn’t instead regressed to become “just another smart coach.”
  • I once had a conversation with someone who has a legitimately intelligent football mind, but they still truly believed that Trent Dilfer had a better career than Dan Marino solely because Dilfer won a Super Bowl. Sadly, that kind of thinking is far more common than it should be, even though the coach who won that Super Bowl with Dilfer says that you need an elite QB to win a title, and a QB doesn’t become elite just by winning one game, even if it’s the championship game.
  • Andrew Luck is arguably the most anticipated and hyped quarterback prospect in a draft since the man he’ll likely replace in Indy was drafted, which is why those in the agent business were puzzled when he selected an agent who has no experience whatsoever.
  • When he returns from Hawaii Ben Roethlisberger plans to spend some quality time with Art Rooney II, because after Bruce Arians wasn’t offered a contract he’s curious and worried about the direction of Pittsburgh’s offense.
  • Jerome Bettis was the kingpin of elementary school when he ran an illegal candy ring (1:40 mark of the video below)…

Super Bowl XLVI could end up featuring some lackluster pass defense. That’s because, despite having quality pass rushes, only two teams gave up as many passing yards during the regular season as the Giants and Patriots did. Including the playoffs, these two teams have given up 300 or more pass yards in 19 of the 37 games they’ve played in this year.

The Pats were beat for 20 or more yards through the air a league-high 79 times during the regular season. New York wasn’t far behind with 60 (fourth-worst in the NFL).

But there’s good news. Both units had a keen ability to make big plays — Giants’ DBs had 18 picks this year, while Pats’ DBs had 15 — and both have performed fairly well in the postseason. New England shut down Tim Tebow after his best game of his career, but they made Joe Flacco look like Joe Montana at times in the conference title game. New York’s coverage has been superb against Matt Ryan, Aaron Rodgers and Alex Smith, but they were beat by two home runs against the Niners.

Overall, the Patriots are giving up almost 100 fewer yards through the air on a per-game basis than they did in the regular season, while the G-men have been more than 50 yards better.

Neither team has a truly good cover corner. Sure, New England’s Devin McCourty was an All-Pro as a rookie last year, but McCourty has been mediocre in coverage outside of an eight- or 10-game stretch in 2011 in which he was arguably the best corner in football. It’s been a rocky ride for McCourty this year, and although fellow corner Kyle Arrington made the Pro Bowl with seven interceptions, he’s been beaten time and again this year. Beyond that, it’s Antwaun Molden and Nate Jones, so depth is also an issue.

And at the safety position it’s been a revolving door all year long, starting in the preseason when the Pats cut both starters, Brandon Meriweather and James Sanders. That was a bold move that spelled B-e-l-i-c-h-i-c-k, and it has not paid off. Patrick Chung is a good young starter, but he missed nearly half the season with a foot injury. He’s back now, but with little support. James Ihedigbo, Sterling Moore and Julian Edelman (yeah, that Julian Edelman) have been forced into responsibilities beyond their means. That group has made some decent plays (Moore was a bit of a hero with two big pass breakups against the Ravens), but there’s been no consistency.

New York’s top corner, Corey Webster, has a tremendously high ceiling and has been an impact player in recent seasons. I can’t believe he hasn’t been to a Pro Bowl. He had some good moments this year, but got beat a lot too, suffering from a lack of support from the likes of Aaron Ross and rookie Prince Amukamara. The pass D has really missed Terrell Thomas, who went down in the preseason with a knee injury.

But at least they’re deeper than New England on the back end. Amukamara is still a quality contributor in coverage and Deon Grant is a versatile backup at safety, where starters Kenny Phillips and Antrel Rolle aren’t short on experience and talent. With help from Grant, those former first-round picks might be physical and talented enough to keep New England’s dangerous tight ends from exploding.

But does that patchwork New England secondary have the ability to keep up with a loaded group of Giant receivers? Remember what Eli Manning did to this defense in that regular-season matchup? Well that was before Victor Cruz became a superstar, and Hakeem Nicks didn’t even play in that game. This Pats D has been dominated all year by strong receiving groups, and they’re about to face the strongest one yet. It’s nice that they’re healthier now than they’ve been in a while, but they’re still quite susceptible in all spots and they’ve still been victimized by poor communication far too often.

Edge: Giants.

Fans don’t necessarily buy the jerseys of the most talented or skilled players on their team. They buy the jersey of the most popular player, and often the most popular and the most skilled aren’t the same person.

There are only a handful of kickers who have been notable enough to warrant a jersey purchase (Adam Vinatieri?). So I can’t think of any reason why a sane, logically-thinking Ravens fan would have wanted to buy a Billy Cundiff jersey before this past weekend, and I definitely can’t think of one following his wayward kick in the AFC Championship game.

But for the two kids out there who really want to reside in a garbage can for an entire school day and proudly wear their Cundiff jersey, we learned today that their oddly desired piece of team apparel is still obscenely expensive for a kicker’s jersey ($107), and there’s a special delivery method.

According to the witty and angry folks at fansyes.com, which sells custom NFL jerseys, anyone who orders their commemorative Cundiff jersey will have to wait for it to arrive at their neighbor’s house, the one immediately to the left.

Thanks, Sportress of Blogitude.

If your Super Bowl party doesn't have Cape Cod potato chips, you're doing it wrong.

I’m not brave enough to subject myself to Mitch Albom’s “The five people you meet in heaven,” but I heard enough Albom keister kissing when his emotionally strangling book came out years ago to know the general plot line. Dude dies, meets five people, and they tell him something about his life that he wouldn’t have known otherwise. The heart is left to ache, weep, and whimper.

The Super Bowl and your Super Bowl party–whether you’re hosting or attending–is no time for weeping, but there is one similarity between the people living in Albom’s imagined heaven, and the strange inhabitants of Earth that you’ll discover at your Super Bowl party.

You’ll learn something from them, because they all have a message for you. Yes, buried somewhere deep beneath the layers of macho manliness is an intellectual experience on Super Bowl Sunday. I kid you not, my fellow pigskin prognosticators, and I challenge you to take even a few brief seconds to have a ghostly, out-of-body experience as the beings around you laugh, chortle, and yell at a box with flickering light.

When your mind briefly leaves the body and the eyes take a fleeting break from the television, you’ll see things you could have never seen otherwise, things that can’t be unseen.

You’ll see people, and for three hours they’ll hardly be people. They’ll be caricatures of people you once knew.

You need at least a week to prepare for this experience, so here are the 10 people you’ll likely meet on Super Bowl Sunday, and how to manage them.

Feel free to add others you’ve encountered in your past Super Bowl travels.

1. The constant phone talker/texter/messenger/general vacuum for all normal human interaction

Cause: Present everywhere in our daily lives, the negative effects of this creature are far more damaging when the need for sustained concentration is high. These people suffer from both supreme boredom, and the inability to fake an interest in a subject they don’t care about.

Solution: Cell phone jamming devices are impractical for one night, and cumbersome. So build a sound-proof bubble specifically for this person, and carve out a peep hole. If this contraption is structured properly you will not hear the gleeful screams of the constant texter when they learn that Jane is going on a second date with Johnny.

Remember when cell phones first came out and they were just giant boxes? Those were the good ol’ days. Now human interaction is a lost art.

2. The double dipper

Cause: Greed, and a total disregard for basic hygiene.

Solution: Early in the evening closely monitor the movement of each hand as it travels from the chip bag, to the dip, to the mouth, and back again. Identify those who skip the most important step in the chip dip cycle: re-chipping. When the double dipper is identified, be discrete, and slowly secure a separate dip for both yourself, and the other single dippers. The double dipper will then be successfully isolated.

Those who live a gluttonous life are doomed to a lonely existence, and they will also be restricted to just one flavor of dip.

3. The table circler

Cause: Similar to the double dipper, greed is at play here, but sheer bottomless hunger is the primary motivator.

Solution: There is no counter attack for the circler once the night is underway. Their act is subconscious, and once the circular pattern begins it will not stop until the entire food supply has been drained. The presence of the circler must be anticipated with pre-game research and preparation, and the table should be positioned in a manner that makes circling impossible.

This is most commonly done with a wall, which isn’t ideal because then the evening’s eats are not in a central location. Assign a threat level to your circler during your research, weigh your options, and proceed carefully.

4. The guy who brings homemade salsa and thinks it’s really good

Cause: Inflated self-esteem, and far too many hours watching Guy Fieri lick spoons on the Food Network.

Solution: Consume heaping helpings of the non-mouth scaring salsa on the table prior to trying the rogue salsa. The taste of the devil’s paste that dances down your throat should be minimized, and no one’s feelings will be hurt.

5. The Reaction Mirror

Cause: This person lacks football knowledge, and likely sports knowledge in general. Their actions aren’t necessarily motivated by a desire to fit in–instead they want to share and participate in your excitement, but they just don’t know how. So when there’s yelling in the room of any kind, the Reaction Mirror will also yell, usually loudly, dramatically, and with far more animation that what’s required.

Arms will flail, feet will kick, and drinks will be spilled.

Solution: Don’t fight the Reaction Mirror, embrace them for your amusement. When there’s a first quarter incompletion on a three-yard checkdown, jump and run to the other side of the room. They will follow.

6. The Agitator

Cause: This person is a casual football fan, and often even less than casual. But to become more engaged in the game, they need to pick a team, and they intentionally side with the team that the majority of the room is not supporting, and they do this loudly in an attempt to annoy the most passionate and die-hard fans in attendance.

Solution: Repeatedly remind The Agitator of their lack of team knowledge, and ask them to name players on their team of choice. This will likely fail, since The Agitator is the most difficult Super Bowl species to combat because they are proud of their little knowledge. Their lack of knowledge is a power source, and they feed off of your annoyance.

A deep Zen place is the only true solution, especially if your team is losing.

7. The chronic prop bettor

Cause: The general impulse to gamble, and the belief that the outcome of every conceivable event has a monetary value.

Solution: There isn’t one, because none is needed. Typically the chronic prop bettor is fun and engaging, and their inventive wagering creates ways to keep others focused solely on football, which can help to contain the table circler, and possibly the double dipper. This makes the prop bettor far more friend than foe.

8. The quiet but eerily tense game watcher

Cause: Bottled and volatile emotion that could erupt at any moment.

Solution: The opposite of The Agitator, this person needs silence, and therefore they have no desire to be in this party atmosphere. But they are, and they’re dangerous. Don’t touch them.

9. The TV yeller

Cause: The TV yeller is another antithesis, this time to the intense game watcher above. Driven by adrenaline, they often use terms like “we” and “they” to address the two opposing teams. They may also be wearing shoulder pads.

Solution: Put them in the bubble with the chronic texter.

10. The guy who clearly researched random stats before the game

Cause: A desire to demonstrate superior knowledge that doesn’t exist. This person also wants to use that fake knowledge to impress a specific section of the room, usually the Reaction Mirrors who are often but not always female. When those two interact, false knowledge spreads and multiplies.

Solution: Ask them to explain the Cover 2.

Few figures remain from the last Super Bowl meeting between the Giants and Patriots, but the four faces of that game are once again the most important and featured members of this one. Giants head coach Tom Coughlin and quarterback Eli Manning are looking for their second Super Bowl together, while Patriots head coach Bill Belichick and quarterback Tom Brady are in search of ring No. 4 as a tandem.

And while there are still more than a few chapters to be written on guys like Wes Welker, Rob Gronkowski, Aaron Hernandez, Jerod Mayo, Hakeem Nicks, Victor Cruz, Osi Umenyiora and Jason Pierre-Paul, Manning, Coughlin, Brady and Belichick are already locked in as legends of the game, with all four in the Hall of Fame conversation regardless of what happens the rest of the way.

So in anticipating of next weekend’s game, we have an opportunity to speculate on what a win would do for the legacies of those four men.

Coughlin: If he wins this thing, he’ll officially become the most under-appreciated two-win Super Bowl champion head coach in NFL history. There were calls for his head only months before the Giants won in 2007, and he was again considered to be on the “hot seat” as recently as this past December. Only Chuck Noll (4), Joe Gibbs (3), Belichick (3) and Bill Walsh (3) would have more championships than Coughlin, and the fact that he’d have beaten Belichick twice would have to be worth something.

Manning: He’d obviously pass his big brother on the Super Bowl wins list, which is amazing when you consider that Peyton has won 68 percent of his regular-season games, while Eli has won only 58 percent of his. Peyton’s numbers are also far better right across the board. Previously, there was never much of a debate as to which Manning was better. Now, the debate would become very active and very real. Only Terry Bradshaw, Joe Montana, Brady and Troy Aikman would have more rings than Manning, and you could probably make the argument that he never had the support those guys did. And again, beating Brady and Belichick in two Super Bowls — both as an underdog and in one case breaking up a perfect season — adds to the lore.

Belichick: He and Brady would become the second coach-quarterback tandem in NFL history to win four Super Bowls together (Noll and Bradshaw). Belichick’s already a Hall of Famer, but also consider that he earned two rings as a coordinator with the Giants and that might be enough to think of him as the most successful coach in NFL history. No one has ever won six championships in strictly coaching or coordinating roles.

Brady: He’s also obviously a Hall of Fame lock, but a win next Sunday would move him in front of Montana and into the top spot on the all-time postseason victories list with 17. He’d also tie Montana and Bradshaw with his fourth ring, giving him — and I’m guessing here — at least three or four more years to capture one more title and become the first-ever quarterback to win five. That 2008 game was still a blemish that’ll hurt him, especially considering that Montana and Bradshaw never lost in the Super Bowl, but 4-1 looks a hell of a lot better than 3-2. And if Brady can’t come through and win again as a favorite, he’ll take heat for having gone seven straight seasons in his prime without earning a Lombardi Trophy.

Aside from the odd blackout in cities like Tampa, San Diego and Buffalo, the NFL proved to be recession-proof in recent years. Profits are up, and ticket prices continue to rise in most locations.

But nothing gives a clearer indication of how lucrative the league is than the Super Bowl.

This game alone is a huge reason why CBS, NBC and Fox pay a combined $3.1 billion annually to air NFL games. The host broadcaster rotates from year to year, with NBC selling 30-second ads during this year’s game for as high as $4 million (a significant increase from last year).

That’s because while the NFL is a niche sport in all places not America for the majority of the year, the Super Bowl seems to transcend its limitations both domestically and internationally for this one game.

While World Series games typically average between 10 million and 20 million viewers, the Super Bowl, which of course is just one game, typically has drawn over 100 million viewers in recent years. And while it’s a myth that a billion people watch worldwide, the game still fetches millions more globally, which means it is still outdrawing regular-season games within the United States and might even be challenging World Series games within the country. That’s quite valuable.

Ticket prices are almost irrelevant to the league, because the face value of between $800 and $1200 would only generate about $60 million. But thousands are given away to players, sponsors, award winners and league employees. The tickets that are sold — typically to season-ticket holders and draw winners — are often dealt away on the secondary market at a considerable markup.

This year, tickets are being scalped for an average of $4,000, a price that is 10 percent higher than in 2011. That’s what happens when two big markets like New York and Boston meet under such circumstances.

Too steep? You can still hit up Indy for the weekend and take in the Super Bowl experience. This year, you can spend about 100 bucks for the right to sit in the stands and watch Media Day (seriously) or take in the Maxim Super Bowl Party for about $1,400 (again, seriously). Unfortunately, your flight to Indy alone could cost upwards of $1,000, while your stay will likely be a little more expensive than normal (or a lot more if you’re planning on sleeping close to the stadium). More on that from the Staten Island Advance:

Most nearby hotels are already out of rooms for Super Bowl weekend. And those that still have rooms are charging at least $2,500 for a four-night stay, nearly $1,700 more than the weekend before or the weekend after.

Fans are obviously biting. Some can afford it, but most probably can’t. Still, every flight and hotel will be filled and it’ll be a boon for the Indy economy as well the league’s coffers. The rich get richer; the poor get poorer. But at least fans making the trip will have a lifelong memory.

The big question: In an age of “crystal-clear HD” and plasma screens and DVR and surround sound and pizza delivery and, um, indoor climate control … is it worth it?

Experience is a coaching qualification that’s tossed around frequently in late December and January as transitions between coaching regimes are well underway, and new foundations are slowly beginning to form.

It’s also often a highly overvalued qualification, and one that can be very manageable. Two teams filled vacancies yesterday with coaches who have never been head coaches at the NFL level, and they also only had one year as a coordinator on their résumés.

But although there’s concern about Dennis Allen and Chuck Pagano and their ability to be fine leaders of men in Oakland and Indianapolis respectively (not everyone’s Tim Tebow, after all), there’s still one certainty. They’ve been exposed to an NFL environment, and through their dealings with the mood swings of players in their various coaching stops they’ve acquired the skills to manage petulant professionals.

We can’t say that about Greg Schiano, the head coach of the Rutgers Scarlet Knights who could be the new head coach of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers very, very soon.

If Chip Kelly taught us anything it’s that high-profile college coaches wear furry slippers, and they can turn around and go back through a door before it even shuts. Kelly was so close to beating Schiano to Tampa Bay and becoming the Bucs head coach Sunday night that for a brief time he formally left his position at Oregon.

Kelly had reportedly accepted the Tampa job, and when he then changed his mind Monday morning and decided to remain at his posh college football perch, Kelly had to get his old job back because Oregon administrators had already given his title to offensive coordinator Mark Helfrich. When a coach leaves, the grieving period lasts mere seconds in both the NFL and college.

But let’s assume for a moment that Schiano doesn’t pull a Kelly, and that he is indeed fast-tracking towards a deal with the Bucs, as Peter King reported in one of the links above (the first “very”). In most situations–like those that Allen and Pagano are walking into–a lack of NFL head coaching experience is a concern that lingers, but it can be pushed to the background.

Schiano’s new situation isn’t one of those situations. Thanks, Raheem Morris.

After early success and promise when he was promoted to the head coaching position at just 33 years old, Morris lost his locker room this year, and much of his talented young core regressed, particularly quarterback Josh Freeman and wide receiver Mike Williams. There were offseason departures that become painful, like the loss of linebacker Barrett Ruud, but Morris’ 2011 team that won four games was nearly the same as his 2010 team that won 10 games, and came one win away from the playoffs.

The Bucs lost 10 straight games by a combined score of 325-174 to end this season, allowing 35 or more points six times. It became the most clear sign in recent memory of a coach who couldn’t keep his locker room from fading and crumbling despite his elite football mind.

So we’re now set to believe that Schiano will fare better? He may have thrived at Rutgers, or at least had recent success. He started as the sideline leader there in 2001, notching only three wins in his first two seasons, but then finishing over .500 for the past seven years. An 11-2 record in 2006 was Rutgers’ best season under Schiano, but even during that seven-year run of moderate success he still had at least four losses in every year except ‘o6.

Overall Schiano’s record at Rutgers was 68-67, but he’s been widely praised for resurrecting a team that won only 11 games during Terry Shea’s five-year tenure between 1996 and 2000. Still, his most recent NFL employment came 14 years ago when he was a defensive backs coach in Chicago, and prior to that he was also a Bears defensive assistant for two seasons between 1996 and 1997.

College coaches are fickle, and there’s a vast coaching graveyard littered with brilliant college minds that excel at instructing young and gifted athletes who take and obey orders without question.

It feels like Schiano will come from the college lineage that gave us Bobby Petrino and Nick Saban, and not the one that’s blessed San Francisco with Jim Harbaugh.

The New York Giants’ defensive scheme is always interesting because of their personnel groupings, whether it’s the use of three defensive ends creating a “Race Car” package along the defensive front or three safeties in their “Big Nickel” package. These packages are used by other teams but not to the same extent or effectiveness.

Despite the intriguing personnel packages, the coverages used by the Giants pass defense are often not overly complicated, and they settle for man-to-man coverage unless the opposition has a game-changing skill player, as they did in the NFC Championship game against the San Francisco 49ers. While the Giants did use a plethora of man coverage concepts against explosive 49ers tight end Vernon Davis, they also had moments in which they bracketed him to prevent a big play.

An example of this was seen midway through the fourth quarter when the 49ers came out in 12 personnel against the Giants’ aforementioned Big Nickel — three safeties — package.

With a signal from quarterback Alex Smith, the 49ers’ personnel grouping adjusted from the traditional 12 to a 12-spread package when Davis shifted to the wide left. This forced Giants safety Kenny Phillips to come into the box to walk out with Davis, which suggested man coverage.

San Fran's 12-spread package widens the strong side safety.

Along with the alignment adjustment by the Giants defense, a call was communicated by linebacker Michael Boley to Phillips that would ultimately result in a variation of Man-Free coverage, which has the underneath pass defenders in man coverage, while the free safety in the middle of the field plays zone.

Cover 1 (Man-Free) diagram courtesy of Smartfootball.com

New York’s variation of the coverage concept featured Boley helping to cover Davis, who already had Phillips on him. Boley would contribute to the double coverage by running underneath Davis while Phillips covered over the top of the tight end, creating what is known as “bracket” coverage.

Giants bracket Davis out of man-free coverage.

Bracket coverage is a double coverage that can be formed by any two defensive players that cover either underneath and over the top of the pass catcher or each side of him. This is an effective and common coverage in the NFL, and one that’s done through several coverage variations.

Moreover, what makes this an appealing topic for this week’s post is the matchup against the New England Patriots tight ends that the Giants defense will face in the Super Bowl. In their last meeting, the Giants willingly played a lot of man coverage against the Patriots’ duo of Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez, and they gave up 12 catches for 136 yards and two touchdowns. Duplicating that performance likely won’t win them the Super Bowl, which may force the Giants to play more bracket coverage against Gronkowski and Hernandez.

While the defense gave up a 17-yard scramble to quarterback Alex Smith on the play outlined above, they likely won’t allow the same run to the athletically limited Tom Brady, which is why bracketing could be very effective.