I don’t believe in Cam Newton. I think his skill set is great, but I think we underestimate the importance of the mental aspect of being a successful professional quarterback. I worry about Newton’s persona, his history and his intelligence.

I think the Buffalo Bills, who pick third overall, would be smart to pass on a hit-or-miss player like Newton — or Blaine Gabbert, for that matter — and instead continue to build the defense with surer things like Von Miller or Marcell Dareus.

ESPN analyst and former NFL quarterback Trent Dilfer disagrees:

“If you’re going to win a Super Bowl with Ryan Fitzpatrick, you better have the Baltimore Ravens’ defense that I played with. That’s the only formula to win a Super Bowl without a dynamic, playmaking quarterback.”

Dilfer said [Ryan] Fitzpatrick could be Buffalo’s answer at quarterback “for a year or two, yes, but that’s about it.” Dilfer insisted the Bills must draft Auburn quarterback Cam Newton if the Heisman Trophy winner still is on the board at No. 3.

“His unique skill set is going to fit Buffalo,” Dilfer said. “He spins the ball at an incredibly high rate. He can knife it through the wind and the bad weather. His physicality in the run game will help them in bad-weather games, in the short-yardage game.

“He’s the perfect fit, and you have a good — good — serviceable quarterback in Ryan Fitzpatrick to play while you groom [Newton]. It’s a no-brainer in my opinion to take Cam Newton.”

I agree with Dilfer’s assertion that Ryan Fitzpatrick is not the answer, but that doesn’t mean the team has to spend its top selection on a signal caller. Wait 32 picks and you might be able to land Ryan Mallett, who’s the best natural passer in the draft, or Jake Locker, who was slated to be a top pick just a few months ago.

Or wait for the new league year to launch and invest in a veteran on the market. This may end up being a great year for guys like that, with Kevin Kolb and Kyle Orton slated to be shopped around.

I don’t like seeing teams waste top-five picks on quarterbacks in good years, but this isn’t even a good year for potential franchise QBs. I don’t think Dilfer is considering how many first-round quarterbacks flame out. I don’t understand his logic.