I don’t often get caught up in trends, because so much changes from year-to-year and week-to-week in this league, but this one has become quite popular here at GLS ever since our guy Joe Fortenbaugh threw it my way last week. From Fortenbaugh’s column earlier this afternoon: “Over the previous 15 seasons, teams that have had to travel 1,500 or more miles to play a midseason Thursday game coming off a Sunday contest have gone 0-12 straight up and against the spread.”

Of course, the Eagles are traveling nearly double that distance in that scenario tonight, which is why I can’t figure out how 4-7 Philadelphia is somehow a three-point favorite against 4-7 Seattle on the road.

I don’t care what the numbers say, I don’t trust Vince Young. And against a solid Seattle defense that can get takeaways, I think he’s due to make some mistakes. The pressure will be on Young because LeSean McCoy could have trouble against one of the league’s best run defenses, if Andy Reid even lets him run the ball at all. On top of that, McCoy’s status is still up in the air with a toe injury.

While the Eagles have lost three of four and will be without Michael Vick and Jeremy Maclin, Seattle is fairly healthy and playing decent football (relatively speaking).

Plus, Marshawn Lynch has been pretty hot, which doesn’t bode well for Philadelphia’s terrible run defense.

I wouldn’t be shocked to see the Seahawks win handily, but I’ll take them by a touchdown. And for once, I have a lot of confidence in this pick. (Which probably means you should put all your on Philly.)

GLS prediction: Seahawks 24, Eagles 17