So, did we all survive Day 1? We had some technical difficulties that slowed production a bit during the afternoon yesterday. To reduce the long story to a few words: the Internet guys around here didn’t have Internet, sort of. But that matters little now, other than the fact that I’m already on my third java-based drink after staying up far past my designated bedtime last night catching up on some writing, such as documenting the latest Michael Vick breakage.
We’re still super excited about this new space, so excited that it’s difficult to describe it without sounding like a pimple-faced fifth grader. One thing I didn’t mention during yesterday’s lengthy intro in which we all sat around a figurative (literal?) pizza box with cheap beer is, well, this. This exact post. It’s staying too, and making the trip from the old GLS format, but the only aspect of it that’s coming over is the title, because we sort of like it. Now, instead of linking to general news items below and expanding on one in the space above, this will primarily be fantasy based. I think you’re probably catching on to a theme here…
Anyways, normally the item highlighted here will be something more recent that’s surfaced on the Internet machine within the past 24 hours and more likely from this morning, like an important news item with fantasy impact, or an interesting piece of analysis from a fellow blogger. Today’s item that starts us off is the rare exception, but it’s definitely interesting.
As draft season reaches its peak over the next few weeks, there’s an important fact that should be obvious, but often isn’t. Many fantasy owners — and I include myself in that group — often overlook something that ESPN’s Matthew Berry pointed out in his Draft Day Manifesto.
Overwhelmingly when we evaluate and compare players, we look at the larger picture. We assess players by their overall production, and observe that Player X had more receiving yards than Player Y last year, or Player A had more yards per carry than Player B.
There’s nothing inherently wrong with that thinking, but there are many scenarios in which that overarching view doesn’t give an accurate picture. Instead, the picture is a little skewed.
Berry explained that fantasy football is a game based on weekly results and weekly production. So then why are overall yearly numbers often the sole basis for a comparison?
The difference between trying to win every week and trying to win every season is the difference between Steve Smith’s and Roddy White’s seasons. Smith scored 176 points. White scored 173 points. Both played 16 games, so essentially, Steve Smith was 0.18 points better than Roddy White every week, right? Wrong. In fact, White outscored Smith in 8 of the 15 weeks in which they both played. So which one actually had the better season?
Again, there’s nothing wrong with using overall numbers, but when you’re putting together your draft board, dig just a little deeper. Consistency pays, and sometimes only a few points can be the difference between a mediocre finish, and a shot at a championship.
And now the links part of the links post…
- I won’t go quite so far as to call Andre Johnson undraftable, but it’s remarkable that he’s still almost universally considered a second-round pick. [SB Nation]
- Are you the paranoid type? Good, because here’s 40 players you should avoid. Somewhat surprisingly, Wes Welker lands at No. 9. [Evan Silva]
- And since there isn’t nearly enough negativity in our debut edition of the revamped links, let’s toss in some more, because awful news isn’t just awful, it’s reality. So here’s another list of potential busts, and this time it’s led by Robert Griffin III. [Dave Richard]
- In defense of Michael Turner, his fantasy value, and his imminent demise. [Andy Behrens]
- Peyton Hillis: Not just a handcuff anymore. [NFL.com]
- Need to cram for a draft tonight? Drew Magery, kids. [Deadspin Hater's guide]
- Will we get an Adrian Peterson sighting this Friday? Nope, probably not. [Adam Schefter]