The fantasy owner is a very instinctive, reactionary creature. Often, the more conservative among us need to be reassured that everything will fall into place as expected, and our predetermined narrative for the season will play out in a beautifully choreographed theatrical performance.
What results is a hopeless quest for certainty in a game where there is none. That’s why as speculation continues to build that there will be a nearly even 50-50 split between Jamaal Charles and Peyton Hillis in the Kansas City backfield, Charles owners are breaking out in cold sweats while clutching a bottle filled with alcoholic nectar.
We were all aware that a time share would be coming in KC, especially after Charles’ ACL tear early last season that will likely prompt the need for caution this year. But surely the split would still favor the running back who’s only one year removed from having 1,935 all-purpose yards, 1,467 of which came on the ground.
Not so, says the Kansas City Star’s Adam Teicher, who spoke with Mike Florio during yesterday’s PFT Live and said that the platoon will be close to an even split in carries “in a perfect world”.
“They intend to get these guys a similar amount of work,” he added, also saying that the Chiefs’ total rushing attempts for the year should hover around 500.
You just spent a third-round pick on Charles, so this may trigger your face-to-palm reflex. It shouldn’t.
Charles isn’t a volume runner, and he isn’t a goal-line runner either. Even if the ideal scenario comes to fruition and he doesn’t struggle with his knee and he comes even remotely close to repeating his 2010 season, you didn’t draft him as a scorer. You drafted him to be an efficient yardage compiler, and that’s what he’ll do, even with a straight split with Hillis. In fact, Hillis will help Charles’ numbers by keeping him fresh.
Consider the 2010 season, and Thomas Jones’ role. Jones also had a fine season alongside Charles, finishing with 896 yards. How many carries did he receive? 245. Charles led the league in rushing yards while averaging an incredible 6.4 yards per carry, and adding 468 more yards through the air, although despite those gaudy yardage numbers he only scored eight times.
And how many carries did he get that year? 230. Yep, less than Jones.
And now the links part of the links post…
- Adrian Peterson will be a game-time decision in Week 1. When you remember that he tore his ACL in the final game of the season last year, the fact that it’s even possible for him to play in the opening week this year is, well, just so very Adrian Peterson of him. [Tom Pelissero]
- Andy Dalton left the Bengals’ loss to Indy last night with an elbow injury. Settle down, he’s fine. [Joe Reedy]
- Is this the year that Jay Cutler stops forcing you to put your head through drywall? [Brad Evans]
- There were some major defensive injuries last night as the final preseason week rolls towards its merciful conclusion. Those in IDP leagues may want to re-consider that Michael Brockers pick. Ditto for Courtney Upshaw. [Gregg Rosenthal]
- Eagles owner Jeffery Lurie takes the same attitude in reality towards Michael Vick that fantasy owners have in fantasyland. Expectations are extremely high for Vick, but so is the caution and hesitation. [Sheil Kapadia]
- So what is this Total Team Construction strategy you speak of, and how does it work? [Fake Teams]
- We end with a quick non-fantasy rant. If the Jets lose their first two games — or even just their first game — the Skip Bayless army of talking heads that are a stain on our society and an insult to rational thought will undoubtedly say something like “we saw this coming in the preseason, when they lost four games, and now they’ve lost six straight.” No, they will have lost two straight. Two, that’s it. Since the games are meaningless and so is the scoreboard, the preseason is a time for experimentation, especially for a team like the Jets that’s installing a new, very unorthodox offense. At most the starters play three quarters, meaning much of the Jets’ failing was on the shoulders of second and third teamers who will be cut today. Since 1995, seven teams that went winless in the preseason have reached the post season, and that includes the 2000 New York Giants, who went to the Super Bowl. [Rich Cimini]