We play a game based on more than just sacrificing all contact with your loved ones for several months. Yes, fantasy football cuts much deeper than that, but at its core the obsession is driven by two key factors: the need to balance risk and safety in player evaluation — which we discussed at length during the peak of draft season — and irrational reaction.
Oh c’mon now, we’re all guilty of having a jerky knee. I am, you are, and your wife who plays fantasy football just so she’s able to have some kind of interaction with you definitely is. When Victor Cruz dropped three passes Wednesday night, it was widely proclaimed that he wasn’t, in fact, the next Victor Cruz, and instead he’s a bust. That reaction was motivated by angst, which was understandable when those who spent a high draft pick on Cruz had to watch those balls hit terra firma. Once that anger dies down, though, rational thought should take over, and we realize that one bad game is…one bad game.
However, the reaction surrounding another player in that game is a little confusing. Fantasy owners made a steep investment in Cruz, which is why they were so bitter immediately. But those souls that are filled with the devil’s anger also watched as the Kevin Ogletree of life grew that game, and he had eight catches for 114 yards and two touchdowns.
As I wrote earlier this week, expecting Ogletree to instantly become the next Laurent Robinson is premature, and is another example of a leaping reaction. But really, who cares? The price you would pay for Ogletree off the waiver wire is what, dumping your other fifth wide receiver who might blow up too but probably won’t and maybe will but you never really know?
We play a weekly game based on weekly production. So treat it as such, and if you have even the slightest need for WR depth, make a move in which there’s zero risk due to the minimal investment you’re making in Ogletree. I’m writing this rallying cry because we’re well over 24 hours removed from the game, and yet Ogletree is still somehow available in 89 percent of ESPN leagues.
He’s the third wideout on Dallas’ depth chart, which means his production will be inconsistent, and his ability to explode again largely depends on the health of Miles Austin and Dez Bryant. Or at least that’s one common view, and it’s not an incorrect one. Rotoworld’s Patrick Daugherty is a little more optimistic, and thinks that while the opportunities may be a little scarce if Austin and Bryant are healthy, they may actually open up space for Ogletree.
But like Laurent Robinson before him, there’s no reason to believe Ogletree can’t consistently benefit from opposing defenses’ preoccupation with Dallas’ top two wideouts. That is not to say Ogletree has the title of “Next Laurent Robinson” all cinched up. One game is one game, after all.
It is one game. But the Cowboys have a recent history of utilizing multiple wide receivers, meaning although it’s far from guaranteed, it’s possible that Ogletree could give you decent WR3 value down the road.
And now the links part of the links post…
- So you’re telling me that Alfred Morris is going to get a sizable share of the carries this week for Washington? Still hate you, Mike Shanahan. [National Football Post]
- When looking at the fantasy points scored per quarter by running backs, it’s not surprising to see Arian Foster leading. But Kevin Smith in the top 10? [Fantasy Douche]
- We’ll have our regular injury roundup post later today after teams start wrapping up practice, but here’s a speed round with some left over bits from yesterday, starting with James Harrision. He didn’t practice yesterday, and his status for Pittsburgh’s opener is still uncertain. Rejoice, Peyton Manning owners. [Sporting News]
- Prince Amukamara is able to hop now. Progress! [Newark Star-Ledger]
- Adrian Peterson won’t be a game-time decision, as Vikings head coach Leslie Frazier said that we’ll know his status later today or sometime Saturday. Either way, you still shouldn’t start him. [Minneapolis Star Tribune]
- We’ll take the over on 89.5 rushing yards for Rashad Jennings, thanks. [Roto Arcade]
- There’s a new Terrible Towel design made by a 12-year veteran of the U.S. Army, and it’s sort of filled with awesome. [Total Steelers]
- The worst part about the Lambeau leap? Getting grabbed by men. Because men in Green Bay are really excited to grab other muscular men. [PFT]