First impressions are often very misleading in fantasy. At first glance, it appears starting Michael Turner against a Giants run defense that allows the 9th fewest fantasy points to running backs, is a bad idea. However, a Giants team that has many holes in their secondary, won’t be focused on Turner. New York will be scrambling to cover Roddy White, Julio Jones & Tony Gonzalez, leaving Turner with a favorable number of defenders in the box. That’s why I’m giving Turner the Green Light to be in all fantasy lineups this week. The same can’t be said for Reggie Wayne and Ryan Fitzpatrick.
Green Light: Michael Turner vs New York Giants
With Turner averaging 3.7 yards per carry this season and the Giants allowing the 9th fewest fantasy points to running backs, this looks like a bad match-up. However, Turner comes in riding a streak of 4 straight games with a touchdown. In a high-paced game against the Giants, it is likely that Atlanta will find themselves in a couple goal-line situations and that is where Turner thrives. The Giants will also have their hands full with this receiving corps, so don’t be shocked to see Turner rip off some big runs. Last week, he was limited to 20 plays because of an elbow injury, but his name was absent from this week’s injury report, indicating that he is completely healthy. Make sure you have Turner in your lineup this week.
Yellow Light: Reggie Wayne @ Houston Texans
After a torrid start to the season, Wayne has slowed down in recent weeks. He has a total of 10 catches and 115 receiving yards in the last two weeks. This Sunday, against the Texans’ 19th ranked pas defense, Wayne will be seeing a lot of Jonathan Joseph. A pro-bowler in 2011, Joseph is the lone bright spot in a mediocre Texans secondary. He can cover Wayne in the slot or on the outside. Joseph returned last week against the Patriots after missing the previous two weeks with a hamstring injury. How quickly he continues to recover from that injury will determine how successful Reggie Wayne is on Sunday. It’s a risk you should avoid if you have the necessary depth to bench Wayne.
Red Light: Ryan Fitzpatrick vs Seattle Seahawks (in Toronto)
The key to this match-up rests on the appeal for potentially suspended cornerback Richard Sherman. If Sherman plays, he will shadow Bills’ top receiver Stevie Johnson. Sherman has been one of the best CB’s in the NFL this season, and if Buffalo can’t throw to Johnson, their options become very limited. Fred Jackson is on the IR (again) and there is only so much C.J. Spiller can do, to take pressure off Fitzpatrick. The Harvard grad hasn’t thrown for more than 250 yards in any of his last 4 games and things look bleak with Chan Gailey at the helm. Last week, Stevie Johnson openly called for Gailey to turn play-calling duties over to his QB. Fitzpatrick has problems of his own though – his decision-making is questionable, his footwork is atrocious and he takes too many risks. Do whatever you can, to avoid playing Ryan Fitzpatrick this week.
As always, feel free to post any start’em-sit’em questions you have in the comments and I’ll give you my two cents worth.