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Whenever my calender still says April and there’s a serious NFL injury, that’s bad (#analysis).

A year ago we experienced this on what at the time seemed like a more minor level when Eagles tackle Jason Peters went down. We knew that meant horrifying fantasy football things for Michael Vick, but it was difficult to determine exactly how damaging Peters’ absence would be.

When the answer was only 10 starts, well, that sucked.

But now here in early April we have a much more direct injury with potentially significant fantasy implications to one Rob Gronkowski. Or as he’s also known: the best fantasy tight end ever.

We learned last night that Gronkowski has experienced a setback with his injured forearm after two surgeries, and specifically an infection where a second metal plate was placed. As is the case with any injury this early in the offseason, determining the length of a possible absence is difficult at best. But any chatter at all about missed regular-season time already is downright petrifying.

Such devil speak surfaced through the Boston Herald and ESPN’s Adam Schefter. But quite predictably, there’s some confusion. And, also quite predictably, it’s being fed by Confucius himself, Gronkowski’s agent Drew Rosenhaus.

 

We wouldn’t expect our boy Drew to say anything else, as his job in this type of situation is to say nice, wonderful things about his client. But this is one of the rare times — and maybe the only time — I’m inclined to give the man who asks for another question every time a question is asked a little credibility.

And that’s definitely not out of respect. Nope, far from it. Instead, Rosenhaus is pushing some pretty simple reasoning.

Again, look at that calendar and see that it’s April. Then also see that if he does opt for surgery — an uncertainty at this point — Gronkowski will have about four months to recover. He’ll miss offseason activities, and likely most of training camp, but the very worst case scenario would be maybe missing one game.

That’s my diagnosis which is based on no medical expertise whatsoever, and it’s the early reason for optimism. The bad news, of course, is that if he does go under the knife again, Gronkowski will have undergone three procedures for the same injury.

I often hesitate to use the “injury prone” label for fantasy purposes, because even if a player misses time frequently, there’s often little connection between two very different injuries. But now, Gronkowski’s situation is frightening.

Playing a highly physical game is demanded of his position, and he often takes that several steps further by seeking contact in the open field. Now another awkward tumble could lead to more missed time due to a nagging injury, and worse, you’ll have little but tears after spending an early-second round pick on the league’s most productive fantasy tight end.

Clearly, Gronk is still very much worth the gamble. But if you’re the guy inheriting that risk in August, though, be very aware of it, and perhaps spend a little earlier on a TE2 for insurance.

I assume Gronk spent the entire weekend in a dark room eating cookie dough and watching re-runs of The Bold and the Beautiful while weeping on his forearm, right?

gronk girls

Oh, alright then.

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