Tim Tebow won’t play quarterback again in the NFL. I can’t make that statement definitively, though I can make it with confidence. If he wasn’t able to stick with the only team that showed true interest in him, and the only team that had two coaches ideally suited to develop his limited passing skill (Bill Belichick and Josh McDaniels), then he’s out of options.
Therefore, this is mercifully one of the last times I’ll waste any space around here on Timmy. But after a familiar line was repeated so much over Labor Day weekend following Saturday afternoon when Tebow was officially axed, I felt compelled to address a logical fallacy one more time.
Tebow can play in the Canadian Football League if he chooses to, though he reportedly has no interest in that, as he foolishly remains interested only in being an NFL quarterback. But the CFL isn’t a default option, and being effective after coming north isn’t just a mere matter of marching. No, there’s far more reason to believe that if he were ever given a chance to start in the CFL, Tebow would actually be worse.
It doesn’t take long to see why. The CFL operates with just three downs, and is therefore inherently a passing league. And when trying to complete even the simplest pass — like, say, an out or hook to a receiver split out wide — the quarterback has to deal with a wider field and more distance to cover. Tebow’s looping mechanics would lead to even more interceptions, and more anguish.
Oh, there’s a place for the running quarterback in the CFL, and we’ve seen that in the past with Doug Flutie, Jeff Garcia, and others. But as Andrew Bucholtz noted in his thorough debunking, they still had the ability to, you know, throw. Even more troubling for Tebow is the recent CFL offensive trend that’s the exact opposite of what we’ve seeing south of the border:
While the NFL’s gone more towards running quarterbacks lately with guys like Russell Wilson and Robert Griffin III, the CFL’s gone the opposite way and become even more pass-focused. Stars like Calvillo and Ricky Ray are known for being pocket passers first and foremost. No quarterback ran for over 500 yards last year, and the only one who even came close was B.C.’s Travis Lulay. It’s also notable that the quarterback who most frequently had “mobile” used to describe him, Edmonton’s Steven Jyles (whose mobility was cited as a key point in the disastrous trade for Ricky Ray), was arguably the worst starter in the league last year (and was replaced down the stretch), but his completion percentage of 58.6 per cent (the lowest of any regular starter) was still 10 points above Tebow’s NFL career average. Simply put, rushing ability alone does not make one a good CFL quarterback. If a run-focused quarterback like Tebow can’t make it in the increasingly run-oriented NFL, why would he be a natural success in the CFL?
Tebow will either try to do his best Denard Robinson impersonation at some point to at least maintain an NFL job, or descend to the Arena League. But not the CFL.
More notes, stray thoughts, and other such randomness
Pryor starting is almost officially official
About 24 hours ago, Terrelle Pryor starting for the Oakland Raiders in Week 1 seemed like a formality after Matt Flynn did another Matt Flynn-ing of the preseason. But we were still awaiting the word of one important man: head coach Dennis Allen.
And that word has yet to officially arrive. But unofficially, Pryor is the starter according to Vic Tarfur, who passed this along late last night:
Terrelle Pryor has been named the Raiders starting quarterback for the season-opener on Sunday, according to two league sources. Coach Dennis Allen told both Pryor and Matt Flynn his decision Monday morning and said he wasn’t going to say whom he chose for competitive reasons.
Since it’s the year 2013 and even the slightest leak finds its way onto our computer screens, this was going to happen anyway, and probably soon. Monday night is admittedly a little quicker than expected, but someone’s loose lips would have sunk this ship by Wednesday at the latest, when local beat writers were set to learn who took the first-team practice reps.
I’ll repeat it again: Terrelle Pryor will matter for fantasy purposes. In fact, he’ll become the most significant test of your ability to separate fantasy and reality. In reality, he’ll be sufficient at best most weeks, primarily because the team around him will be far worse than that. But in fantasy he’ll be a sort of Tim Tebow circa 2011 with better throwing ability. His habit of picking up yards on the ground comes with consistent fantasy value, and weeks when he’ll get 10 fantasy points through that running alone are easy to foresee.
Oh, Jets (again)
Yesterday Brady Quinn was given refuge by the Jets on the same day that Graham Harrell was cut, adding to a quarterback situation that’s horribly awful, but still good enough to keep John Idzik out of a Downey for Clowney run (still trying to make that stick). With the move, Idzik said something without really saying it: Mark Sanchez will be out for Week 1.
Sure, Geno Smith may have started even with Sanchez healthy. But at minimum the pioneer of the butt fumble brings a level of familiarity with the offense. Now if Smith goes down or losses track of either the end zone boundary or what color of jersey he’s throwing to again, the Jets will be forced into trotting out Quinn or Matt Simms.
This is looking more and more stunningly incompetent by the day…
Maybe let’s ease up a little on the Ryan hate though, guys
If only because the regular season hasn’t quite officially started yet. Save some for December.
Look, I know that Rex Ryan is an increasingly easy target, though a much less ballooned one recently. But maybe — just maybe — if a head coach wants to do something with his personal life which is entirely removed from his professional life, he’s entitled to that. He has the ability to take care of the latter first, and make time for the former. Because without some sort of balance, insanity prevails.
But no, Ryan isn’t permitted this, according to the latest New York media roasting led by Manish Mehta. During cut down day Saturday he was present to watch his son suit up in the Georgia-Clemson game (it was Seth Ryan’s first game as a walk-on wideout for Clemson, though he didn’t actually play). He spent much of the afternoon generally looking like this…
Got to talk to ol Rex Ryan at the Clemson game! pic.twitter.com/OyHP2Npo05
— Josh Sutton (@tiger3josh) September 1, 2013
Ryan took care of any cut-down day responsibilities prior to his tailgating, and then on Monday noted that since it was in the evening, Saturday’s game was the only one he’ll be able to attend all year. While it’s commonplace for a jettisoned player to get an office meeting with the head coach, I’m not sure that it’s mandatory. Idzik could perform the same duties, while Ryan goes about the business of ever-so briefly having a life outside of football (well, NFL football at least).
When keeping it real goes wrong
These words were actually said by an NFL player who drank far too much orange juice over the long weekend: “You can’t arrest me, I’m a Colts player”.
That now former Colts player is John Boyett, the safety who was arrested for disorderly conduct and public intoxication after he refused to leave a bar when he was denied entry. Since he’s a real charmer, Boyett also threatened to break an officer’s jaw. He’s since been cut. Oh, did I mention he was a sixth-round pick? Yep, that’s a whole lot of leverage there, John.
So you’re saying threatening an officer and random bar patrons leads to both an arrest and unemployment? I thought this was America.
So, you drafted Sam Bradford…
This is dated, but it’s a worthy reminder of Sam Bradford’s possible super sleeper status since we’re now getting set to conclude the 2013 fantasy draft season, and he’ll finish as the 21st ranked quarterback on average despite the Rams’ many offensive additions. Back in late May Bryan Fontaine broke down St. Louis’ new offense, and most notably for Bradford’s outlook, the improved red-zone hands of his new targets.