Rob Pizzola

robpizzola

@robpizzola

Recent Posts

If you look up the word “mediocrity” in a dictionary, you’ll find my Week 15 picks. I finished Sunday with an overall record of 7-7 ATS, going 3-3 ATS with my wagers. The three wagers that I won (Broncos, Cardinals, and Panthers) all won with ease, while the three wagers that I whiffed on (Rams, Bucs, and Jaguars) never really stood a chance. It was just one of those days.

Anyways, without further ado, here’s my recap from each game in Week 15.

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While my Week 14 record of 6-7-1 ATS wasn’t very impressive overall, I was able to connect on four of my five recommended wagers. I also nailed a play on the Patriots on Monday Night Football and the over on Thursday Night Football to increase my run to 6-1 ATS in the past week. Hopefully the trend continues.

I really like the board this week. I had to be extremely selective to narrow down my picks to a respectable amount of games, but I could have easily bet on a dozen games with confidence. Without further ado, here are my Week 15 selections.

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Bowl season is upon us. Translation: It’s time to start betting on games that you ordinarily would never bet on unless you were in a substantial hole with your bookie. There’s nothing better than relaxing like a sloth on your living room couch while watching a bunch of 20-year old kids decide your economic fate. Good times.

I don’t live and breathe college football like I do the NFL. I spend most of my Saturday watching college games and getting berated by my wife for being glued to the TV, but I definitely have more of a soft spot in my heart for the pro game. With that being said, I still love to bet on college football and I feel as though I’m pretty good at it.

However, rather than providing only my opinion for this season’s Bowl games, I’ve rounded up a group of guys that love the game just as much as I do, if not more.

Andrew Webster is a football liveblogger for @theScoreApp and used to work as a Wheel Reporter for theScore Television Network in Canada. He is admittedly biased to everything Philadelphia (Phillies, Eagles, Villanova, steak sandwiches, and general douchebaggery), but he knows the college game inside and out. Webster used to be assigned to be our in-house handicapper for ScoreMobile’s college football picks before he decided to take his talents to the Bahamas.

Gino Bottero is also a football liveblogger for @theScoreApp and a personal friend of mine. Gino and I attended university together, and rather than focusing on getting an education, we spent the majority of our days trying to handicap the board. He’s the sharpest betting mind that I’ve ever come across. In his spare time, he enjoys eating penne alla vodka and calling fouls in friendly games of pickup basketball.

Ron Papa is an Information Technology (IT) extraordinaire. When Papa isn’t fixing broken computers and printers, he’s focused on identifying value on the board. We discuss our picks together on a week-to-week basis and I can personally attest to the fact that Papa wins more than he loses. If only he could say the same about his FIFA ’13 skills.

Together, we’ll provide you with our opinions for all of the Bowl games this season. We’ll pick all of the games, no matter if we like the game or not, but our explanations will provide you with our confidence in each selection. Hopefully we can all make some cash together.

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Consensus line: Bengals -4, total 44.5
Current betting percentage: 74% on the Bengals, 58% on the OVER

Individual Team Trends:

  • Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
  • Bengals are 9-4-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Bengals are 1-7-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. loss. (Streaky team)
  • Eagles are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.
  • Under is 5-0 in Bengals last 5 games overall.
  • Over is 9-3 in Bengals last 12 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Over is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 home games.

Head-to-Head Trends:

  • Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Well, the good news is that the Thursday Nighter this week can’t possibly be any worse than the Broncos-Raiders matchup from last Thursday. The bad news is that it’ll still probably suck. But at least we can still wager on it to make things interesting.

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I finished Sunday with a mediocre 6-7-1 ATS record (using ScoresandOdds.com closing lines), but yesterday actually proved to be one of my most profitable days of the football season, as my recommended wagers went 4-1 ATS. I completely whiffed on my Cardinals pick, but nailed all four of my 1:00 wagers for a solid 11.6-unit profit.

It’s no surprise that I fared so poorly with the rest of my selections. Other than the five games that I picked (+1 more missed wager on the Giants), I didn’t really feel too confident in any other games. For a second straight week, though, a lot of games were decided late in the fourth quarter, and a number of spreads were affected.

Anyways, without further ado, here’s my recap from each game in Week 14.

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After a terrible 3-9 ATS record in Week 12, I rebounded nicely in Week 13, finishing the week 7-5-2 ATS and going 3-2-1 ATS with my recommended wagers. I’m not particularly in love with the board this week. I entered this week with a number of games that I was looking to bet heavily, but oddsmakers have done a good job adjusting the lines and ensuring that I lose all line value.

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Consensus line: Broncos -10/-10.5, total 48.5
Current betting percentage: 74% on the Broncos, 56% on the OVER

Individual Team Trends:

  • Raiders are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 against AFC West opponents.
  • Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Raiders are 22-45-1 ATS in their last 68 home games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 road games.
  • Over is 35-16 in Broncos last 51 games overall.
  • Under is 5-1 in Raiders last 6 against AFC West opponents.
  • Over is 7-3 in Raiders last 10 home games.

Head-to-Head Trends:

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Oakland.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Broncos are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
  • Road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

After being treated to a quality NFC South Thursday Nighter between the Saints and Falcons last week, we’re back to the norm when the Broncos pay a visit to Oakland to “battle” the Raiders tonight. The NFL should really consider instituting a rule that prohibits AFC West matchups in primetime. They’re awful. But luckily for everyone reading this blog, we’re blessed with the ability to wager on games as terrible as this one.

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