After a strong 8-4 ATS record in Week 10, I followed up with an even better 9-3 ATS mark in Week 11, hitting my first 6* play of the year in the process. Pittsburgh didn’t make it easy, but a win is a win. Hopefully the good times keep rolling this week.
My picks this week are headlined by a pair of 5* selections, making this one of my stronger cards of the season. Let’s get to it.
After going 8-4 ATS in Week 10, I was able to follow up with a strong 8-3-1 ATS record in Week 11, including cashing in on three of my five recommended wagers. Most importantly, I was able to cash in on my first 6* recommended play of the year as the Steelers stayed within the number against the Ravens.
As usual, I have plenty of excuses for my losing wagers, so let’s get this started.
After a great struggle in Week 9, I rebounded nicely overall in Week 10 with an 8-4 ATS record. Unfortunately, three of those four losses came on plays that I used for my recommended wagers, and I was only able to go 3-3 ATS with my six recommended plays. I hit Kansas City +13 against Pittsburgh on Monday night but lost my Thursday night play when I went with the Dolphins over the Bills, so I really don’t ride any momentum into this week.
I will say, though, that I like the board this week. There appears to be a ton of heavy public plays in Week 11 and for the most part, I disagree with the majority of the public’s heavy bets. That’s usually a good thing. There’s also been a couple of major line changes after last week’s action, which creates a number of opportunities to grab some line value with underrated teams. Hopefully this week turns out like I hope it will.
Week 10 was a great improvement for me in terms of overall record as I went 8-4 ATS on Sunday. But unfortunately, I lost half of my recommended wagers for a small loss. I really wish I could have a couple of those wagers back, and you can probably guess which games I’m referring to.
After the public’s slaughter of the books last week, you would have went three for five if you blindly bet against the staggering public plays yesterday afternoon (Patriots, Giants, Broncos, Lions, Cowboys).
Anyways, I have plenty of excuses for my incorrect picks this week, so let’s get this started.
Last week wasn’t a particularly good week for me as I went only 5-7 ATS. I didn’t really have a strong opinion on Monday night’s game and got burned by taking the Jaguars +4 on Thursday night. My recommended wagers have still produced a profit of 11.18 units on the season, but I’d definitely like that number to be higher right now.
This week will be particularly difficult to handicap because of last week’s public slaughter. The books got absolutely crushed in Week 9 with all of the major public plays covering the spread. I’ll be extra cautious in betting on publicly backed teams this week, but that doesn’t mean that I’ll avoid them entirely. I’m feeling a strong bounce-back week.
Week 9 was merely an average week for me. I went 6-6 ATS but only 2-3 on my recommended wagers, losing multiple units in the process. Of course if the Falcons hadn’t kicked a field goal with 20 seconds left last night, I would be pretty happy right now, but that’s not the case. The public made an absolute killing this week, and usually these are the weeks where I tend to fair poorly, so I’m actually not too disappointed with this week’s record.
Anyways, without further ado, here were my thoughts from Week 9.
After going only 3-7-1 ATS in Week 7, I rebounded nicely with an 8-4 ATS performance in Week 8. I did whiff on my two mid-week picks though as both Arizona and Kansas City got annihilated. Regardless, I’m now up to an 18-12-1 ATS record with my recommended wagers this season for a very profitable +15.67 units.
I really like the board this week. I’m a little scared that I’m on the same side of a couple huge public plays, but for the most part, I haven’t swayed in any of my opinions this week. Hopefully I can duplicate my performance from last weekend.
