Archive for the ‘Ponderings’ Category

vernon-davis-arms2

The 49ers lost Michael Crabtree for most of the 2013 season when he ripped apart his Achilles while running around in shorts. That will suck for so many obvious reasons, most notably his absurd yards after the catch. Of Crabtree’s 1,105 overall receiving yards this past season, 536 of them came after he caught a football.

But there’s a more specific reason for spirit crushing following Crabtree’s tear: his relationship with Colin Kaepernick, which is second only to the sophomore quarterback’s undying affection for giant turtles. Including the playoffs, Kaepernick started 10 games for the 49ers in 2012, and Crabtree was often the subject of his throwing gaze. He averaged 102.3 receiving yards per game while scoring nine of his 12 touchdowns with Kaep as his quarterback.

The potential for haunting nothingness goes far beyond that surface layer, though, and please avert your eyes if you don’t want this quick refresher of the numbing numers we posted in the hours after Crabtree’s injury:

Alright then, so here’s what’s becoming clear: Kaepernick needs to not only find a new favorite target, but also a guy who can stretch the field vertically while vacuuming up those high volume throws. Enter Vernon Davis…maybe.

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vick-ballard2

Maybe Ahmad Bradshaw just needed a little convincing, and there’s nothing more compelling than an upside down old guy offering large sums of cash while he’s loaded on some form of obscure drug following hip replacement surgery. So, here we are.

After a week of courting and negotiating, Bradshaw has officially found a new team, signing a one-year deal worth $1.1 million with the Indianapolis Colts. And with that, we wave a solemn good-bye to Vick Ballard’s 2013 fantasy value. Well, most of it at least.

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jermichael-finley2

The problem with Jermichael Finley isn’t so much the fact that he’s sucked. It’s that he’s sometimes sucked compared to our expectations, and he’s been inconsistent.

So does the problem lie with our expectations, or him? Ummm, both?

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jamaal-charles-again2

When Andy Reid touched down in Kansas City, the glee surrounding the rising fantasy potential of Jamaal Charles was instant. Which, in turn, was pretty impressive, because in Charles we have a running back who chugged for 1,509 yards on the ground in 2012 after recovering from a thoroughly sliced and diced knee. That included two games with over 200 yards, and another one with 165. He didn’t pretend to be normal.

But there was still an element missing which would have taken Charles from an elite 192 fantasy points, to something even better than elite, if that exists.

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doug-martin-point2

There are many reasons why being an NFL running back is enjoyable. Mostly, getting paid to play football for a living and being at a marquee offensive position sounds like a lot of fun. Oh, and the money isn’t bad, and I’ve also heard speculation that attractive members of the opposite sex take kindly to large men with money. However, I cannot verify that with any journalistic integrity.

The only awful part is the horribly short shelf life which often results from the constant pounding. Unless they peak late in their careers (think Fred Jackson, who’s still been productive in his early 30′s), we begin to start counting down to the moment a running back will begin to sip lemonade in a rocking chair when he’s in his late 20′s.

It all feels so cruel, and it’s a process that’s accelerated when the running back in question is the motor of his offense for many years, and he therefore sustains a lot of punishment quickly due to his high volume touches. And thus we’ve arrived at Doug Martin, and the perhaps premature (he’s only entering his second season) yet still real reasons for concern about his workload, and the possibility of a slight fantasy tumble.

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zach-ertz2

Chip Kelly has created curiosity this offseason, and he’s mostly done that by existing. Descriptions of the new offense he’ll roll out with the Eagles range from vague, to there’s no way in hell it’ll work so let’s just give the Eagles 16 losses now because they’re the worst.

Drawing equal attention has been the quarterbacks, with Michael Vick the sort of presumed starter, while a mid-round pick was just spent on Matt Barkley, and Nick Foles has sometimes been getting the most first-team reps in OTAs. Whatever, you guys can have your quarterback quandary. Because I’m so hipster, I’m wondering about the tight ends.

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coby-fleener-again2

I’m not sure what, exactly, we expected from Coby Fleener last year. He was a rookie at a position where first-year players can certainly produce, but only the truly elite go boom immediately. That’s because, you know, they’re elite.

Fleener didn’t fall into that category right away, though he could quickly develop into something pretty awesome soon. There was a reason for hoping high, though, because of the ready-made connection he had with Andrew Luck, his quarterback at Stanford. Those who believed firmly in that connection and saw fun late-round fantasy value in Fleener were rewarded when that rosy relationship led to 10 targets in Week 1 that Fleener turned into six catches for 82 yards. Included among those grabs was one of Fleener’s five +20 yard catches on the season.

But alas, that quick breakout hope was fleeting. Such is the life of the rookie in an offense filled with rookies, with targets inconsistent. Missing a quarter of the season with an injury didn’t help matters, and Fleener finished with an average of just 23.4 receiving yards per game. Over his last five games after returning from that shoulder injury he recorded just 59 total yards on only one catch per game.

Now Chuck Pagano thinks Fleener’s production is about to spike quickly in 2013. That’s pretty important, because Pagano has a say in such matters.

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