Archive for the ‘Predicting’ Category

It will be “Turner the Burner” against the Giants

Posted by Oliver Macklem under Michael Turner, Predicting, Reggie Wayne, Ryan Fitzpatrick on Dec 12, 2012

First impressions are often very misleading in fantasy. At first glance, it appears starting Michael Turner against a Giants run defense that allows the 9th fewest fantasy points to running backs, is a bad idea. However, a Giants team that has many holes in their secondary, won’t be focused on Turner. New York will be scrambling to cover Roddy White, Julio Jones & Tony Gonzalez, leaving Turner with a favorable number of defenders in the box. That’s why I’m giving Turner the Green Light to be in all fantasy lineups this week. The same can’t be said for Reggie Wayne and Ryan Fitzpatrick.

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Pierre Garcon vs. Josh Gordon…who ya got?

Posted by Sean Tomlinson under Josh Gordon, Pierre Garcon, Predicting on Dec 09, 2012

I usually decide what clothes I’m going to wear on any given day by selecting the items with the fewest buttons (#bloglife). So like many of you, struggling with close calls and Sunday strategy is commonplace, and the importance of last-minute decisions is heightened now over the next three weeks during the fantasy playoffs. So each week let’s work through a difficult call together that may or may not be from one of my rosters in a blatant attempt to crowd source.

Often these tough calls involve lower tier wide receivers under consideration for a WR3 or flex spot. We’ll list the arguments — either supporting or otherwise — for player each rapid fire stylez, and then make a call that’s sure to fail. This week: Josh Gordon vs. Pierre Garcon.

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Sunday Decision: Antonio Gates has name value and little else, so bench him

Posted by Sean Tomlinson under Antonio Gates, Predicting on Dec 09, 2012

You like to think that you’re environmentally conscious with every roster spot. Nothing is wasted, and everything has a purpose, which is why as an Antonio Gates owner, you’ve had a difficult time convincing yourself to roster two tight ends, especially now during the fantasy playoffs, when games and points carry significant monetary value.

You need to rid yourself of that archaic belief, preferably sometime over the next three hours.

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Matchup Mining: There are very few QBs who should be started ahead of Kaepernick this week

Posted by Sean Tomlinson under Predicting on Dec 07, 2012

I’m not sure if I’ve mentioned this at all lately, but it’s fantasy playoff time. The first casualty this week then was productivity, with all work matters completely disregarded. This raises the stakes further, because you may soon be unemployed, meaning next week’s groceries could ride on the results of the coming weeks.

We aim to provide a public service that may also help to feed you, so as a complement to Oliver Macklem’s sit ‘em/start’em post earlier this week in which he wrote that Russell Wilson could be just the best, throughout the playoffs every Friday we’ll recommend a few value plays.

You’re thinking “what the hell is a value play?”, and even if you’re not thinking that, I’ll explain it anyway. For our purposes here, a value play is a player who’s either sparsely owned, or stashed on benches and sparsely started. The aim is two-fold: to explore some appealing sleeper plays and matchups that may be overlooked, and to make bold predictions while giving you a neighborhood blogger man to publicly rip for ruining your fantasy season. You’re welcome.

We’ll ponder a quarterback, wide receiver, running back, and a tight end every week. Annnd go.

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Ride with Russell Wilson against the Cardinals

Posted by Oliver Macklem under Alfred Morris, C.J. Spiller, Predicting, Russell Wilson on Dec 05, 2012

The playoffs are in full swing and every start-sit decision is crucial. This week, we give permanent green-light status to a rookie QB, consider benching one of Buffalo’s unappreciated running backs, and throw up the red light for one star running back.

 Green Light: Russell Wilson

It has been a pleasure to watch Russell Wilson develop this season. With 15+ fantasy points in each of the last 5 weeks vs CHI, MIA, MIN, NYJ and DET, he’s proven that owners don’t need to flex him out against good defenses anymore. Critics cautioned he would struggle in the pros because he wasn’t tall enough to see over the offensive line. Yet somehow, Wilson has gone through the season with just eight interceptions, while getting just 1.4% of his passes knocked down at the line of scrimmage (the league average is 1.9%).

Taking on an Arizona Cardinals defense that has allowed the third fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks this season appears to be a daunting task. Not for Wilson. In seven road starts, he has eight TDs and eight INTs. Yes, that means he has zero interceptions at home and 11 touchdowns to boot. With Sunday’s game coming at home in Seattle, I’m giving Wilson the full green light. Read the rest of this entry »

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Greg Jennings will be a “situational player”

Posted by Sean Tomlinson under Greg Jennings, Predicting on Dec 02, 2012

Know this as you’re making those last minute roster tweaks: Greg Jennings definitely won’t be Greg Jennings.

You’ve known that all week, or at least you should have. Jennings is playing for the first time since Week 5, but he should be viewed with the same levels of joy and caution that will greet DeMarco Murray tonight. Sure, it’s swell that he’s back, and it’s nice and fun to finally be able to start a player who cost you a second-round pick. But that doesn’t mean you should actually start him.

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If you can avoid him, don’t touch DeMarco Murray

Posted by Sean Tomlinson under DeMarco Murray, Predicting on Dec 02, 2012

A healthy DeMarco Murray has the potential to be highly effective tonight against an Eagles defense that’s on par with the fierce units fielded yesterday throughout America on Pop Warner fields. The problem, of course, is that a healthy Murray is a football species we’ve only really heard about, and he can only be discovered hidden in rocks far beneath the Earth’s crust.

You’re excited that Murray will most likely be active tonight for the Cowboys-Eagles game after he practiced all week, and barring some kind of last-minute strike by the fantasy gods from high above, that still appears to be the case. He’ll play, and he’ll play for the first time since Week 7.

After spending a second-round pick on Murray this year, you’re facing conflicting emotions. Mostly, you’re filled with rage after your top running back missed six games, and he’s only now returning during the final week before the fantasy playoffs in most leagues. For many of you — especially those who whiffed on Felix Jones on the waiver wire — that blow was far too difficult to sustain, and you’re now either out of the playoffs, or desperately reaching. Therefore, Murray is an asshole.

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