Archive for the ‘Week 7’ Category

Overall, Week 7 was a pretty terrible week for me. I went just 3-7-1 ATS on Sunday, but there’s a reason that I don’t bet on every game every week. I went 2-1 with my recommended wagers and managed to turn a profit despite having a dreadful overall record.

For the most part, I’m an anti-public bettor, and this happened to be one of the few weeks in the season where the sportsbooks got destroyed by the public. Indianapolis, Green Bay, Dallas, New Orleans, and Pittsburgh were all huge public plays and they all covered. The only big public play that didn’t cover was Oakland against Jacksonville, and I happened to be on the wrong side in that game as well. A number of outcomes certainly could have gone a little differently, but as a colleague of mine used to see, it is what it is.

Anyways, without further ado, here were my thoughts from Week 7.

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Week 6 was a pretty average week, but I made another slight improvement to my record, running my Sunday predictions against the spread up to 43-33-2 on the season. My recommended wagers are 14-10-1 (58%), which is a little lower than I’d like, but I’ve still managed to be profitable despite having lost two of my five-star plays this year. I strongly considered a six-star play this week but ultimately decided against it—I’ll explain why a little bit later on.

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Week 7 composite rankings

Drew Brees will thoroughly enjoy throwing against the league's 31st ranked secondary.

Numbers? We got ‘em. Lots of ‘em.

Culled from five experts — NFL.com‘s Michael fabiano and Matt Smith, and Jamey Eisenberg, Nathan Zegura, and Dave Richard from CBSSports.com — and filtered through a calculator capable of only basic addition and division (read: myself and Devang Desai), you’re encouraged to use the composite rankings below as your fantasy bible this week. Or at least your fantasy pamphlet.

On to the listicles.
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