Would Jagr be Effective?

Hey, it’s early summer! That means it’s time for Jaromir Jagr to talk to the media about coming back to the NHL. (It’s a time of year easily distinguishable from late summer because by late summer Jagr has signed with a KHL club).

That also means it’s time for me to run his numbers over in Russia through Gabriel Desjardins’ league translator and try to get a rough idea of what kind of role he might play if he returned to the league.

As promised, here’s a look at Jagr’s work since 2004-05, with the numbers from his time in the KHL run through the league translator (all totals adjusted to an 82-game schedule):

Season League Goals Assists Points
2004-05 KHL 34 49 83
2005-06 NHL 54 69 123
2006-07 NHL 30 66 96
2007-08 NHL 25 46 71
2008-09 KHL 31 35 66
2009-10 KHL 29 27 56
2010-11 KHL 26 44 70

Based on Desjardins’ numbers, I’d probably project Jagr as a 25 goal/60 point player.

Of course, it’s also worth noting that Jagr was a plus-6 player on a team that finished plus-56. That’s not a good number – and last year Jagr was plus-19 on a team that was plus-24.

Then again, the coaches kept sending him out there. He actually played more per game this season than he did last year (his 18:38 was second among forwards on his Omsk club). He also fired more pucks at net this season than last year – his goal scoring only dropped because his shooting percentage dipped.

At the right price, assuming Jagr was serious about returning to the NHL, I think he could be effective – particularly as a second-line forward on a competitive club.