When Jarome Iginla scored his 23rd goal of the season last night, I found myself trying to do some quick math in my head. Was he on pace for yet another 30 goal season? Last year Iginla became the 10th player in NHL history to score 30 goals in 10 straight seasons. He put his name among greats like Wayne Gretzky, Phil Esposito, Bobby Hull, Marcel Dionne, Jaromir Jagr, Mike Gartner, Mike Bossy, Jari Kurri and Darryl Sittler. Not bad company. OK, back to the math, oh yeah, I suck at it. So I pulled up my calculator and starting crunching numbers to see if we could see another Iggy 30 goal season.
Let’s start with his goals per game pace. He has 23 goals in 58 games, that’s good for a 0.39 goals per game clip. If he kept up that pace that means he would finish with 32 goals and the streak would continue. Done, post over, congrats Iggy on another 30 goals season.
If it was only that easy.
Since he started this streak, the lowest goals per game average that he has finished a career with is 0.39. That was 2 years ago when he finished with 32 goals. Every other season he was far ahead of this pace.
However, this is Jarome Iginla we are talking about. He has been a notoriously strong finisher. He has 24 games left to pick up 7 goals. On average during the streak, Iginla scores 14.5 goals per game in his final 24 games. Last season he scored 20 goals in the last 24 games!
Let’s look at some of those remaining games. Iginla has scored 34 career goals against the Avs/Oilers/Wild, that’s the most against any team. The Flames play each of those teams two more times before seasons end (not to mention 2 games against Vancouver which he has 27 career goals against). Those numbers are obviously higher because they play in the same division. Outside the Northwest he has scored 30 on Phoenix, 29 against Nashville and LA, and 28 against the Ducks; he has 7 games remaining against one of those 4 teams. Of the 8 games that we have not accounted for yet, all but two of them are against teams that are not in the top 12 in overall defense.
Not only do I think he scores 30, but I things he flirts with 35. Now whether or not he can do it for 4 more seasons after that to tie Jagr and Gartner for the overall record for consecutive seasons with 30 goals, that will need a lot more math and its far too early in the morning!
Let’s head to the link
Hey Canuck fans, when you start vandalizing a guys church, you have officially gone too far (Vancouver Sun)
Speaking of moronic Canuck fans, this one is going to the clink for 17 months (Pro Hockey Talk)
Please don’t let this trade be a sign of things to come on deadline day (Puck Daddy)
Pavel, forget practice, please grab a pen and paper and tell us the teams you would be willing to go to (The Fourth Period)
Katie Baker from Grantland looks at the Red Wings streak, the Blackhawks slump and the rest of the week in the NHL (she also quotes someone very familiar in the 2nd paragraph)
Speaking of the Wings, according to Pierre LeBrun , they will not be making a deal for Nash
Is Alexander Ovechkin a victim of his own fame? (SI)
Fire and Ice talks about how the Devils room seems to be pretty happy
The Nashville Predators are doing what…well..they always do. (Score Nation)
We could see Mike Green back on the ice this weekend (Washington Post)
and finally a SIIIIIIIIIIIICK OT winner by Ribeiro last night