Florida Panthers v Toronto Maple Leafs

With the NHL season heading down the homestretch, fans of bad (and mediocre) teams that aren’t in terrible shape (like myself and the Islanders) are starting to wonder just how likely it is that they squeeze into playoffs. Well, The Globe & Mail’s James Mirtle did the work for us today, because he is excellent and worthy of much praise.

From Mirtle himself:

In the East, it currently looks like the cut-off will be about 52 points, which is very low if you project it out over a full 82-game season (about 89 points).

In the West, it’s slightly higher at about 53 points, which is closer to about 91 over a full season.

Okay. So using those projections, how well does your team need to fare down the stretch?

Penguins and Blackhawks fans are laughing. Panthers fans are crying…yet not entirely hopeless. See for yourself. 

First, the East:


And second, the West:


There it is in black and white, folks. Time to run to your schedules and predict just how painful your team’s collapse will be (assuming you’re all negative fans like myself).

(S/t to Pro Hockey Talk)

Comments (13)

  1. This article makes me sad. 11-4-1 is a tall order for a team that has dropped 6 in a row.

  2. Leafs can’t blow this,can they?

  3. I want some more gray in my life.

  4. Bruce McCurdy pointed out on twitter today that Columbus got three points out of two 0-0 games this year. If they had gone for the gusto and had two 4-2 games, they would have only got two points. #systemisbroken he says. https://twitter.com/BruceMcCurdy/status/316938957772443652

    He’s got a really good point here. It’s a 48-game season, and a team only needs 52 or 53 points to get a playoff spot. Where’s the incentive to do anything but try to prevent the other team from scoring goals?

    • Isn’t that an entire half of the game? Don’t people say defence wins championships? I’m not sure why you say it is better to “go for the gusto.”

      • Im a preds fan they have been trying to win with defense since 98 and that has not worked at all but it probably has something to do with Barry trotz being a joke 15 years i think its time for a change

  5. So you’re saying there’s a chance? (Avs fan)

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