With Indiana’s loss to Wisconsin in the Big Ten semifinals on Saturday afternoon, the debate over which four teams deserve No. 1 seeds in the NCAA tournament and which team deserves the No. 1 overall seed was reopened.
On that note, here are 10 teams that probably think they have a shot at one of the four available No. 1 seeds. The teams are listed in order of their RPI ranking. Included is each team’s overall record, their record against teams that were ranked at the time of the matchup and how they fared in their conference tournament.
Duke: 27-5 overall, 4-2 against ranked teams, eliminated by Maryland in ACC tournament quarterfinals
New Mexico: 28-5 overall, 4-0 against ranked teams, will play UNLV in the Mountain West championship game tonight
Louisville: 28-5 overall, 5-3 against ranked teams, will play Syracuse in the Big East championship game tonight
Miami: 26-6 overall, 3-2 against ranked teams, will play winner of UNC/Maryland in ACC championship game on Sunday
Indiana: 27-6 overall, 7-2 against ranked teams, eliminated by Wisconsin in Big Ten tournament semifinals
Michigan State: 25-7 overall, 5-6 against ranked teams, will play Ohio State in Big Ten semifinals tonight
Gonzaga: 31-2 overall, 1-2 against ranked teams, won WCC tournament
Florida: 26-6 overall, 4-1 against ranked teams, will play winner of Vanderbilt/Mississippi in the SEC championship game on Sunday
Kansas: 28-5 overall, 4-1 against ranked teams, will play Kansas State in Big 12 championship game tonight
Georgetown: 25-6 overall, 6-2 against ranked teams, eliminated by Syracuse in Big East tournament semifinals
With many of the teams listed here still in play in their respective conference tournaments, a lot will be decided with regards to seeding by the championship games of the Mountain West, Big East, ACC, Big Ten, SEC and Big 12.
While I don’t necessarily agree with it, Duke and Indiana sound like near locks for No. 1 seeds despite their conference shortcomings, and No. 1 ranked Gonzaga, who boasts the best record among the teams and a conference crown, should be a strong candidate for a top seed despite their weak schedule. When you look at it from that angle, six teams – New Mexico, Louisville, Miami, Michigan State, Florida and Kansas – likely head into their final game or two with a fighter’s chance at a top seed come selection time, with only Georgetown pretty much guaranteed to be on the outside looking in at a No. 1 seed.
Need any more reason to watch the next 24 hours of conference tournament action?
UPDATE: Check out the latest take on the race for No. 1 seeds here.